Global Wildfire Peril Lead @GallagherRe_ Wildfire modeling and atmospheric science Tennis enthusiast and former 'pretty decent' junior player

Boston, MA
I did grown up things yesterday. (Thanks, @Hotshot_Movie, for the assist with some images.)
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I really do need to accept this truth, as depressing as it is 😞
It is an unfortunate reality that people who talk incessantly about themselves and their achievements really do get taken more seriously than those who consider such things to be gauche. I need to stop being surprised by this.
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How is this dude only 23?! He looks like he has grown kids and drives a beaten up Ford F-150…
Payton Tolle is an absolute gem 😭
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Just this one post today. Hug your loved ones and be kind to one another. You never know what the next day will bring. ❤️
Today we will lead the world in commemorating the 25th anniversary of 9/11. Twenty-five years after the day that changed our world forever, we will come together to read aloud the names of those lost. Join us live: ow.ly/vJlK50ZIr05
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If anyone engages in this level of sustained eye contact, my advice would be to run away as far as possible and don’t look back. You in danger 😬
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Please read these statements and article. Chief Z @KZagaris and Chief Garcia @firechiefanf represent the pinnacle of knowledge and experience in wildland fire; when they speak like this we should listen.
The United States 🇺🇸 (Fed/State/Local) can and must do better to build a system that’s better trained, better equipped and better led to meet this challenge. A more purpose built system with a more robust and more resilient workforce for the future. The United States Wildland Fire Service led by proven leaders such as Chief Fennessy is a giant step toward this future. Our legacy system and the great wildland firefighters that do this work have done a tremendous job but our current and future challenges will demand much more for more of the year across more of the country. This future system must be prepared for more risk reduction work AND more wildfire response both! 🇺🇸🔥
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So I see A24 is releasing another psychological horror movie. Looks really scary. Is the twist ending that he turns out to be the psychopath murderer or is it her all along?
YOU CAN SEE EVERYTHING, a documentary by Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim. Featuring Elizabeth Holmes. Only in theaters this October.
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After an extensive review by an independent panel of experts, it has been determined that I am in fact hilarious. I feel completely vindicated and consider the matter closed henceforth.
It has come to my attention that I might not be as funny as I had previously believed. Please stay tuned for further updates as these revelations are reviewed.
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A succinct explanation for why my interest in the furor over Navier-Stokes solutions is mostly just academic. They don’t describe physically realistic scenarios of fluid behavior. They’re telling us if/when the equations break down and no longer represent reality accurately.
When a fluid PDE like Navier-Stokes develops a finite-time singularity, it is not a prediction of a physical explosion. It is a mathematical warning sign. The warning basically says: "The assumptions made when forming this model have reached their limit, and this equation cannot reflect physical reality in the situation you're trying to model."
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Me watching the public discourse regarding the “solution” to the Navier-Stokes equations here today…
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For the folks getting swept up in today’s “we’ve solved Navier-Stokes” nonsense, read this excellent summary by @DrChrisCombs Tl;dr it’s mostly just an esoteric mathematical exercise that scientists working in practical fluid dynamics applications don’t care that much about 🤷‍♂️
Some thoughts on the Navier-Stokes news from a professor of aerospace engineering: 1) take a deep breath 2) posts indicating we "solved Navier-Stokes" are incorrect and overblown. A very specific mathematical proof involving a niche scenario for Navier-Stokes has *potentially* been shown (that a perfectly smooth incompressible initial condition with finite energy could produce a singularity--note the assumptions here piled on to an equation set that already involves some assumptions). 3) there is no general closed form solution for N-S and that's not what this news is about 4) this is more of a mathematical curiosity than anything else and could matter a lot to mathematicians but basically changes nothing in the way N-S are used in practice 5) there are already very useful exact solutions to Navier-Stokes that greatly simplify the equation set with the right boundary conditions/geometry like laminar flow through a pipe or a 2D Taylor-Green vortex 6) in aerospace, we already treat N-S as an approximation in many instances and are well aware of its limitations. we don't outright solve these equations anyway and regularly chop off terms or simplify parts (at the expense of accuracy) to make them easier to deal with. 7) to be honest I have never found this specific problem to be particularly interesting because we know a core assumption of N-S is a "continuum" fluid where you ignore molecules and assume hydrodynamic scales >>> molecular scales. We know a real fluid cannot have infinite velocity or energy. But clearly you can push equations outside of their bound of validity and make them produce funky results and singularities.
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Amazing work by @firechiefanf
We manage fuels year-around on the Angeles National Forest to reduce the potential of devastating wildfire impacts. Constructing and maintaining fuelbreaks is one component of the hazardous fuels program on the forest. The term “fuelbreaks” often refers to a strip of land in a strategic area such as a ridge top. The fuelbreak concept and fuel modification practices have been developed extensively since the 1950's and is integral to land-use and fire suppression planning.   Fuel modification practices include clearing of original brush by hand, mechanical or prescribed burning, depending on the specific project. The Front Country Fuelbreak Project is a series of 18 fuelbreaks along the foothills north of Interstate 210. This project aims to have vegetation treated to enhance community protection, reduce the risk of loss of human life, structures, natural resources from wildland fire and potential flooding. Fuelbreaks also give firefighters improved opportunities for tactical operations and safety.    The photos highlight the work on the Sunset fuelbreak that is currently in progress. The work underway is in partnership with the Rivers and Mountains Conservancy.  The Photo on the left is before treatment, and the photo on the right is post-treatment.   @RMConservancy
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It has come to my attention that I might not be as funny as I had previously believed. Please stay tuned for further updates as these revelations are reviewed.
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Well, I made a little joke about leather grips getting slippery and @benpearlgolf got offended, blocked me and then made fun of the fact that I *choose* to play with a classic set of irons. Seems a bit extreme… @thwacknicklaus, not so much a Proper Golfer 😒
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Reupping, just because I love Ida… I love Yo La Tengo and Sonic Youth too, but Liz and Dan’s harmonies are just 🔥 Ida - Temping piped.video/SUyJRopLXOA?is=Mjs9…
The competition for best indie band from the NY/NJ area featuring a married couple is pretty stiff. Ida wins it for me (albeit narrowly). piped.video/p9qo5MwPBes?is=EEt2…
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Always listen to @Hotshot_Movie Golf courses are absolutely one of the safest places to be in a fire. Short, well watered grass doesn’t burn.
FYI, golf courses are a great place to be for a fire, and they're often used as safety zones and staging areas for firefighters. Evacuating from a golf course is likely going to present way more hazards for you than just chilling in the green grass.
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The competition for best indie band from the NY/NJ area featuring a married couple is pretty stiff. Ida wins it for me (albeit narrowly). piped.video/p9qo5MwPBes?is=EEt2…
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I don’t always agree with Gabriel on the climate-fire topic, but nuances aside, he’s 100% correct here. We waste so much time debating the impact of climate on fire, we tend to forget that “we’re dancing with the one we brung” as far as today’s fire environment is concerned.
Let’s not do the whole “I thought climate change started the fire” dunking here. I hate the climate histrionics as much as anyone, but it’s disingenuous to pretend to not understand that they’re saying climate is increasing the probability of ignition, not causing the ignition. The climate issue is moot for two main reasons: the climate is certainly changing…to be very much like it was around 100 years ago when we had the dust bowl and a TON of fires. Weather plays a major role in fire activity, but it’s not unprecedented and it’s cyclical. Secondly…what are you gonna do about it? You’re not changing the weather, so even if we accept the premise that CO2 is the control knob for wildfires, it ain’t changing anytime soon, so if fires are becoming more likely, you should have an increased sense of urgency to do the things that are under your control: fuel reduction and home hardening. The climate discussion is irrelevant not because it’s inherently wrong, but because it’s a waste of time.
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Nah, sorry pal, this is Hotshot crew training. Satanic army of darkness is a mile down the road on the left. @Hotshot_Movie @digyourcorner @WishiwasinCR
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The wildfire conspiracy theorists have been out en masse around here lately 🙄 Read @Hotshot_Movie👇for a clear and succinct explanation of what actually is going on…
I can! They didn’t start at the same time. They flared up at the same time, after lightning pushed through the area and started holdovers. They smolder invisibly until a wind event pushes through and blows them out. It happens every single year since the beginning of time.
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A taxi driver meets an undocumented immigrant and together they collect some rocks that are essential for a pseudo-religious ceremony.
A bunch of filthy dudes dressed in yellow rake dirt in the forest
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