I don’t always agree with Gabriel on the climate-fire topic, but nuances aside, he’s 100% correct here.
We waste so much time debating the impact of climate on fire, we tend to forget that “we’re dancing with the one we brung” as far as today’s fire environment is concerned.
Let’s not do the whole “I thought climate change started the fire” dunking here. I hate the climate histrionics as much as anyone, but it’s disingenuous to pretend to not understand that they’re saying climate is increasing the probability of ignition, not causing the ignition.
The climate issue is moot for two main reasons: the climate is certainly changing…to be very much like it was around 100 years ago when we had the dust bowl and a TON of fires. Weather plays a major role in fire activity, but it’s not unprecedented and it’s cyclical. Secondly…what are you gonna do about it? You’re not changing the weather, so even if we accept the premise that CO2 is the control knob for wildfires, it ain’t changing anytime soon, so if fires are becoming more likely, you should have an increased sense of urgency to do the things that are under your control: fuel reduction and home hardening. The climate discussion is irrelevant not because it’s inherently wrong, but because it’s a waste of time.