Person, “and otherwise”

New York, NY
Geoffrey Williams retweeted
Crime. Homelessness. Fraud. New Yorkers deserve better. Politics and personal vendettas shouldn’t come before public safety. As Attorney General, I’ll make protecting New Yorkers my priority.
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
Did you catch the Attorney General Debate? It's time for a change in the way New York handles public safety, and Saritha gave a clear overview of her plan for a safer New York: lock up repeat offenders, provide residential treatment for the homeless, and root out fraud. Saritha is the daughter of immigrants, a career federal prosecutor, and former DEA Chief of Staff under the Biden Administration. She's locked up terrorists, drug cartel leaders, murderers, and fraudsters. Saritha will take the politics out of public safety, and focus on New York, not national politics. Check out excerpts: youtube.com/watch?v=cVpdbPbF… Check out the full debate here: youtube.com/watch?v=oj_p9BP3… As AG, Saritha will Just Fight Crime! wwww.SarithaForNewYork.com
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
Just in case anyone is wondering: I live in Paris; if I didn’t have X dot com I would have no idea there are riots in France.
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
The craziest thing is that France’s riots are backed (dare I say organized?) by La France Insoumise, yet the media keeps obsessing over the “risk of a rightward shift” in French politics. What about the risk of violent leftist lunatics coming to power?
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
Porsche attempted to launch today…and was just brutally mogged ☠️
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
He really did it. He built a fucking flying car.
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
Complete Tesla Roadster FLYING demo. INSANE!!!
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
I’m honored to receive the endorsement of Ray Kelly, New York City’s longest-serving Police Commissioner, who most recently served under Mayor Michael Bloomberg. Commissioner Kelly spent his career keeping New Yorkers safe. I’m grateful for his support and share his commitment to making public safety a top priority.
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
Imagine being dumb enough to RE-ELECT Letitia James as New York’s AG. SMARTEN UP, NEW YORK! Vote Sarina Komatireddy. New York deserves an AG with honesty, education, and integrity.
NEW YORK ATTORNEY GENERAL ODDS: (+/- change from last week) 🟦 Letitia James: 92% (-4%) 🟥 Saritha Komatireddy: 8% (+4%)
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For those that want to see how bald I am in real life
Ex-Goldman Head of CDO Trading Geoff Williams (@gwilliams81) on why credit markets move in step functions, not smooth lines. Geoff Williams (MD @ Goldman Sachs | Traded ABS CDOs through 2008 | Co-ran CMBS, CDO & CRE loan trading | Now PM at 1543 Capital, the structured credit fund backed by Brevan Howard) “Tens of billions of protection were sold for one tenth of 1% a year, on something that was never, ever supposed to take a loss.” We cover: - The worst days of 2008 on Goldman’s mortgage desk: a senior trader walking the floor telling people to check where their personal cash was sitting - Why selling that protection looked smart on historical losses - The repricing in real time: 8bps to 12 to 35 to 5 points up front - The paradox: the tranche that could “never” lose is what let the bad origination happen - The 3 commercial real estate cycles: malls, post-COVID office, & life science labs - Why a $30M loan in Indianapolis is a better poker table than a $20B corporate capital stack - Why Google Earth is a tool people would have paid $10,000 a month for - His sizing rules: 50-100bps on anything that can go to zero, ~5% on the safest positions - Why he wants 80-90% conviction, not 51/49: the opposite of power-law investing - His answer on what makes an awful credit PM: an ecosystem view “so narrow that they can’t imagine a different functioning” Highlights: 00:00 Intro 00:41 Inside Goldman's mortgage desk during the 2008 crisis 03:40 Trading CLOs, ABS CDOs, and TABX at Goldman 06:20 Why super senior AAA risk sold for 10 basis points 11:30 Sponsor break 12:00 How conduit CMBS is structured and tranched 14:40 Commercial real estate cycles: malls, office, life science 21:25 Opportunistic structured finance: where a small fund has edge 26:30 How to underwrite and price a CMBS bond 34:17 Desktop underwriting vs. seeing the property in person 40:01 CMBS return profile and position sizing for unknown unknowns 53:36 Luck vs. skill in finance careers over 20 years 58:15 Thinking in bets: entrepreneurship as cheap optionality 01:05:56 Hedging macro risk: deficits, rates, and AI disruption 01:13:15 How populist politics changes commercial real estate exposure 01:17:55 The biggest mistake structured credit PMs make
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
I wish the Brooklyn Italians of the 1980s + 1990s were here to have a little talk with Mamdani. The person who photographed himself giving the middle finger to Christopher Columbus. Forza Italia🇺🇸🇮🇹
Mamdani to skip Manhattan Columbus parade in latest snub to NYC Italian community nypost.com/2026/10/11/us-new…
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
FACT CHECK: Under Letitia James, criminal convictions by New York's Medicaid Fraud Control Unit have plummeted.
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Too early to know who was to blame in the shooting… …but how is our city not better off without this guy based on his rap sheet?
'Criminal illegal' migrant shot by ICE has rap sheet of alarming crimes - and is 'absolutely not' a New Yorker: neighbors trib.al/nyliAA9
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
Just published my thoughts on the $UTHR v $LQDA situation on Substack. I think $LQDA shares here are significantly undervalued & break down the legal precedent in the post. Check it out👇
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
Likewise
Today is October. 7th. Prior to 3 years ago, I didn’t really have a dog in the Israel-Palestine conflict. As a Brit my mental model of it was Northern Ireland; two mutually hostile communities held together by a fragile peace. But the horrors of that day, and even more so the western leftist celebration of the gruesome violence, pushed me to a Zionist position. Not an extreme one of course, simply a belief that the state of Israel should definitely exist. That, to the British left, is an evil position to take. They sincerely think that state should be destroyed, violently if needed, and mouth absurd platitudes about some kind of single secular democratic state which can’t possible exist in the real world to try and pretend they aren’t advocating for the slaughter of millions of Jews. Simply holding that Israelis should be able to live in peace without being murdered puts you at odds with the bulk of the left in the UK, and that was a shocking revelation to me. And none of them have done anything to help the cause of the Palestinians, who also deserve to live in peace.
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
A new piece in the Financial Times created a great visualization of the results from this study. TL;DR: Rent control helps people whose rents get limited, but it hurts everyone else. It pushes up rents, pushes down new building, and makes cities worse. It is horrible policy.
What do studies say about "freezing the rent"? Let's have a thread🧵 First thing's first: Most studies agree that rent controlled units have lower rents, but also the supply of rentable units goes down and un-controlled units see their rents increase. Uh-oh!
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
“An altercation”??? Why does the @nytimes act as a propagandist for terrorists?
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Geoffrey Williams retweeted
The BBC is now beyond a joke.
Trust Islamists at @BBC to report a terrorist incident as a “fight between pilots”.
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The overlooked $LQDA / $UTHR question may be whether the eventual end game is a broader PH-ILD royalty deal — potentially covering BOTH Yutrepia and L606 — rather than years of trying to keep Liquidia out of PH-ILD. Why could LQDA eventually have negotiating leverage despite losing at the district court? PH-ILD is a growing, underpenetrated market. Real-world data suggest a meaningful subset of treprostinil-naïve PH-ILD patients struggle to stay on Tyvaso DPI. If Yutrepia genuinely provides better tolerability/usability for those patients, it may be expanding the treated treprostinil market rather than simply taking share from Tyvaso. Removing PH-ILD from Yutrepia’s label does not mean Yutrepia use in PH-ILD disappears. If physicians see a real patient benefit, many already know the product and can prescribe it off-label. LQDA can be extremely disciplined about not promoting PH-ILD, but meaningful off-label utilization could still be difficult to suppress — and probably impossible to eliminate completely. That matters because a label win is not necessarily the same thing as an economic win. For UTHR, eliminating the Yutrepia PH-ILD label does not mean every Yutrepia patient becomes durable Tyvaso revenue. Some will switch to Tyvaso DPI or nebulized Tyvaso. But others may not tolerate DPI, may reject the nebulizer burden, or may simply discontinue prostacyclin. A royalty allows UTHR to monetize patients it might otherwise never retain. And Liquidia has another asset: L606. L606 is being developed as a sustained-release, twice-daily inhaled treprostinil formulation for PAH and PH-ILD. That matters strategically because UTHR does not currently have a marketed 1x- or 2x-daily inhaled treprostinil product of its own. (Liquidia Corporation) A broader settlement could therefore include a PH-ILD royalty on Yutrepia AND a royalty/license framework around future L606 PH-ILD sales. In effect, UTHR could gain economic participation in Liquidia’s next-generation, less-frequent-dosing product without having to build that product itself. TPIP makes that option more interesting. Insmed is developing TPIP as a once-daily inhaled prostanoid. If it succeeds, UTHR may eventually face a less-frequent-dosing competitor regardless of what happens to Yutrepia. So the strategic question becomes: Why spend years trying to suppress Liquidia’s PH-ILD franchise, only to face an outside once-daily competitor later, when UTHR could instead own a royalty stream on Yutrepia and potentially L606? UTHR has the stronger hand today. It won at the district court and has little reason to negotiate cheaply or immediately. Liquidia has said it plans to appeal, so UTHR can push its advantage while the legal process plays out. (Reuters) That means a deal may take time. But over the medium term, the incentives could shift if: • Yutrepia continues to see meaningful off-label PH-ILD use • LQDA stays disciplined on off-label promotion • physicians demonstrate a durable preference for Yutrepia in certain patients • Tyvaso DPI persistence remains an issue in treprostinil-naïve PH-ILD • L606 progresses as a twice-daily product • TPIP gets closer to market • and appellate risk remains At that point, the economically rational end game could be broader than a simple Yutrepia settlement: UTHR gets a royalty on Yutrepia PH-ILD. UTHR potentially gets economics on L606 PH-ILD. LQDA gets certainty and preserves its PH-ILD franchise. Doctors retain access to differentiated formulations. And UTHR gets exposure to the shift toward less-frequent inhaled dosing without needing to own the underlying products. The key question is not simply: “Can UTHR get PH-ILD removed from the Yutrepia label?” Answer yes; but rather, “Is UTHR better off spending years trying to eliminate Liquidia from PH-ILD — while TPIP advances — or turning Liquidia’s differentiated inhaled treprostinil franchise into a royalty-bearing asset?”
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Obs a llm helped me here after a lot of back and forth I was concerned re: path to royalty and certainly don’t expect UTHR to play nice and/or they may have other tricks up their sleeves But very hard for them to stop off label use with skinny PAH yutrepia label And TPIP not subject to ‘327 So if/when yutrepia on market with skinny, appeal on horizon, tpip on horizon it could strongly incentivize a royalty since Uthr would now have time against them vs on their side
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