Smart wallets aped $PAID at 11 days old, ink barely dry, while $STONK gets shoveled out at 65 days. Grave's got a revolving door.
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This is my Nansen & The Undertaker Meridian entry by @nansen_ai ✅ liquidation map for $BTC $HYPE or any tokens, grouped by price, longs and shorts, named money in blue ✅ whose money is behind a prediction market price, split by wallet win rate, unexamined holders counted on neither side ✅ the same Nansen call answered in chat and drawn on screen from one dictionary, so the picture and the words cannot disagree ✅ every call logged: endpoint, outcome, milliseconds, credits Demo video 👇
$BTC went from $75k to $87k in six days. I asked my AI agent The Undertaker where the next cascade sits. Not a forecast. A map of other people's stops. Any liquidation map ($ETH or etc) Nansen returns every open leveraged position on a token with its liquidation price and the bot groups them by level. Red is longs, green is shorts, the dashed line is the current price. Three things ✅ Draw positions that have no liquidation price. It names how many were left off, because a map of 5 of 6 is a different map from 6 of 6 ✅ Draw an empty map. Zero bars look like a measurement ✅ Call it a prediction. The caption says these are levels of other people's stops You can take a look at the GitHub repository with 17 scenarious for Nansen & The Undertaker integration.
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Replying to @variational_io
With a 32% airdrop and an FDV of $1b (Polymarket assigns about a 66% probability to the $1B mark), the allocation for points amounts to $320m. omni.variational.io/?ref=OMN… Given a pool of 11–11.5 million points, this works out to approximately $28–29 per point after dilution. This is a calculation based on assumptions, not a forecast. polymarket.com/event/variati…
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$BTC went from $75k to $87k in six days. I asked my AI agent The Undertaker where the next cascade sits. Not a forecast. A map of other people's stops. Any liquidation map ($ETH or etc) Nansen returns every open leveraged position on a token with its liquidation price and the bot groups them by level. Red is longs, green is shorts, the dashed line is the current price. Three things ✅ Draw positions that have no liquidation price. It names how many were left off, because a map of 5 of 6 is a different map from 6 of 6 ✅ Draw an empty map. Zero bars look like a measurement ✅ Call it a prediction. The caption says these are levels of other people's stops You can take a look at the GitHub repository with 17 scenarious for Nansen & The Undertaker integration.
The simplest and most in-demand features, no unnecessary complications! Discuss trends and coins on Telegram public group, get live, real-time charts right in the chat (or dm) and see Nansen analytics and breaking news instantly! You can do all of this using my agent The Undertaker, integrated with @nansen_ai .
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The banks killed Clarity to stop a product the US Treasury pays for. $USDC rewards are T-bill interest. Circle holds the reserves in Treasuries, Coinbase keeps the reserve income on every dollar on its platform and half of the rest, and passes part of it to you. - Tuesday four Republicans voted no, Hawley said small banks are losing deposits. - Friday Coinbase launched the same rewards in Brazil. - The Senate killed the bill and never touched the product, because it isn't Coinbase's product. It's the Treasury's coupon with a Coinbase logo. The executive branch has a deficit to fund and a 10-year at 5.04%, highest since 2007. A yield-bearing stablecoin is its marginal buyer of bills, Bessent calls it $2t of demand. So the branch that writes the rules needs the yield uncapped, and Armstrong told Melker the agency rules will be more permissive than the bill. The Fed blocked this exact product in 2018, The Narrow Bank, full reserves, pass-through interest, because at 2% it could afford to protect banks. At 5% it can't. ✅ $USDC yield stays uncapped while the 10-year stays high. Every hike raises the rewards budget ✅ The only thing that can cap it is a Democratic bill in 2027, not the SEC or CFTC ✅ The banks won a vote in the branch that doesn't write rules and lost in the one that does. Crypto is on the rise and it’s profitable for us to farm it during this period of lingering uncertainty.
Here we go again! The WSJ is working on a story blaming Coinbase and me personally for the CLARITY Act not passing. The Journal has repeatedly been hostile to CLARITY in its reporting, regurgitating bank lobby talking points, while I’ve spent years pushing for crypto legislation, but that’s not stopping them from trying to reverse the blame. The boring TLDR: in January I opposed a draft of the bill going into a committee vote, because it needed a lot of work on DeFi, tokenization, CFTC authority, and stablecoin rewards. At the time, the bill had major issues that would have harmed crypto. Support was fractured, and it wasn’t passable. We worked with a number of parties who improved the bill and made it passable. All four of the items I called out were fixed in the draft that then went through the committee about four months later. I'm proud to have done it, and would do it again, because it helped create a better bill. One step of many along the way. The final draft of CLARITY that went to the Senate was great, and I strongly supported it. I'll continue showing up for our customers and pushing for clear rules that treat crypto fairly, even if those who feel threatened by crypto try to plant false stories. It's a shame that the WSJ takes direction from bank lobbyists instead of reporting the truth, but luckily, people are smart enough to see through it these days, and it backfires on them every time.
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Clarity failure is bullish for your crypto airdrop Crypto didn't pump because Clarity died. It pumped because a chairman said yes. Chairmen leave. Everyone saw the same week - cloture failed 49-50, the SEC opened tokenized stocks, - the CFTC sent its rule to the White House, - $BTC went from $74k to $81k. - Coinbase says there's another path through the agencies. There is. It's narrower than it looks. ✅ An exemption is not a law. The SEC's runs five years, a presidency runs four, and the last chair reversed the one before him in a year ✅ The CFTC's only hook on spot crypto is leverage. That is the perp business. Its rule means a licence, a licence means KYC and a US entity. Polymarket paid $112m for one ✅ Only Congress can shield developers from criminal law. The final Clarity text didn't do it either, BRCA was cut to civil only. Both roads end at DOJ discretion ✅ Clarity counted geoblocking as control. With the bill dead the geoblock stays a working shield for every offshore perp DEX So the failure was bullish for your airdrop and neutral for your ETF. Rules by exemption last until the next election.
GM X! Now my city is Perm, I get around on an ordinary bus, no moto, no car, no trains or metro. I don't know why so many traders are focused only on $BTC or $ETH when $LIT, $UNI, $ZEC have already done nearly a 4–7x, and there’s so much interesting stuff happening with altcoins! ✅ Clarity failed 49-50, then in 72 hours the SEC gave tokenized stocks a 5-year exemption, the CFTC sent its crypto rule to the White House and freed non-custodial front-ends from broker licensing ✅ Variational swaps did $1.5B of $2.79b daily volume in week one. Official cost on a $2m gold trade is $427, 2.1 bps ✅ Entropy listed $DRAM and $EWY in two days, still no points program ✅ Lighter x Robinhood week 0 to 113 points at similar volumes, zero-point reports in Discord
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The most interesting parts IMO from the 635 pages of of the final CLARITY text. The ethics deal Trump agreed to has no sunset. It has three things that work better than one. - Section 30104(b) the ban on officials issuing or sponsoring tokens applies only to assets issued after the division takes effect. Anything already launched is out of scope. - Section 30104(a) the division takes effect 360 days after signing. A full year of runway. - Section 13151 the interest you must divest or put in a blind trust is a stake of $15k or more in a company that earns most of its revenue from issuing tokens. Not the tokens. The company. That is what the White House signed. Democrats got the sunset removed. The text got a grandfather clause, a year, and a definition aimed at equity instead of holdings. - DeFi section A protocol is not decentralized if any one of three things is true: - someone can materially change its rules - it doesn't execute solely on rules written in the ledger's code - someone can restrict, censor or prohibit its use - Geoblocking is restricting use. A venue that blocks US addresses to stay outside US law meets, by that act, the US definition of not decentralized. The DeFi safe harbor covers spot only. Perps never had it. - Vote Tuesday 2:15pm ET is cloture, not passage. The House leaves the 17th. Polymarket's 33% is priced on the lame duck, the last window before a House that Democrats are 79% to take. 55% on cloture, 65% the lame duck finishes if so. About 35%. The market has 31 - 37% on the two versions of the question. Fair either way. The document matters more than the number.
After a year of intense daily bipartisan negotiations, this bill is ready. Here is the final text. President Trump voluntarily agreed to new ethics provisions holding every federally elected official, judge, and their spouses to some of the toughest ethics restrictions in U.S. history. This new text includes more than 120 of Democrats' demands. A no vote on Tuesday means opposing real ethics reforms on politicians' personal investments, handing American leadership in digital assets to our foreign competitors, and leaving Americans with zero protections in the digital asset markets. Democrats got what they wanted; now they need to take yes for an answer. Here's the latest: lummis.senate.gov/press-rele…
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The most liquid market for Anthropic stock isn't on Binance. Entropy market. It's on a perp DEX that launched two weeks ago. - Entropy went live on August 24 with pre-IPO perps. - Today $ANTH solana:56DeqXiADWY2Y3iD8pdbpTi9jhXXneofTY5dp4Xjpump $GPRO $SNDK $NBIS - $40.5m of open interest. - Anthropic alone is $24m of OI on $16m of daily volume - a $100k market order slips less there than on Variational or Lighter. - Binance lists the same name with a smaller book. So a company that has never sold a public share now has a tape. The center of that tape is a venue younger than most of its traders' positions. - Anthropic printed a $100 gap between Variational and Entropy this morning, and someone posted the arb before it closed. Three venues, one private company, no reference price to anchor to. - the OpenAI market repriced 21.6% the evening Astra shipped. The tape reacts to releases like a listed stock, without a listing. Leaderboard and a mobile app are next, and the team by @entropymarkets @entropyIO is turning marketing on. Watch whether the OI cap moves before the marketing does. On Anthropic the delta neutral crowd already hit it once.
A Nasdaq listed company is paying Entropy's entry ticket to launch a perp DEX on Hyperliquid. Main focus is on private market assets and other hard to access markets Not a rumor. It's in an SEC filing from August 12, and almost nobody in crypto has read it. @entropyIO is renting its 500k $HYPE stake👇
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1. Install Noir Wallet (link on zecbit.net/) 2. Copy your wallet beginning with t1.... 3. Swap from any token to $ZEC mainnet (t1...) 4. Wait for 3 confirmations ( otherwise tokens will be unavailable - unspent) 5. Shield your zec in Noir Wallet (transfer to u1....) 6. Buy NFT here zecbit.net/collection/zecbit…
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Gold doesn't complain. Gold doesn't run an ATM. - AMC's CEO just demanded Robinhood halt its AMC stock token, offshore and unregistered, promised to bring in the SEC. - Vlad's whole reply: what's the concern? The token AMC is a $2.8m market with $382k of liquidity, and the letter about it moved a $2.6b stock 15% premarket. Not the token. The letter. His one real grievance is the synthetic satisfies meme demand while AMC's treasury collects nothing, and he calls those equity sales vital to our success in the same breath. Out of 190+ tokenized tickers, the only CEO screaming is the one whose product was his own stock.
Seriously? What’s the concern you ask, @vladtenev? The list of concerns is almost existential. U.S. securities laws are in place to protect investors. For good reason, we spend millions and millions of dollars every year to comply with U.S. securities laws. In good. conscience, how can Robinhood as a U.S. company set up an operation in far offshore Jersey, an island 3000 miles away, and market a security sort of posing as AMC in some shape or fashion, and not comply with U.S. securities laws. That is shocking and shameful. Our past issuance of equity to strengthen our balance sheet was vital to our success. Your setting up some kind of fictitious synthetic equity market decouples stock token ownership from a company’s ability to control its own capital raising efforts. Share ownership gives shareholders various rights, including the right to vote their shares. Your stock token pretend to be some form of stock ownership, but disclosures to the contrary notwithstanding, they are not ownership and they deprive investors of their rights. This quasi-fake market you are creating on the island of Jersey sows distrust amongst the public about financial markets in general. There already is distrust in financial institutions, you are potentially making it far worse. These are but a few of my concerns about your actions. I hereby call on you and Robinhood to voluntarily CEASE AND DECIST the trading of AMC stock tokens. If you don’t, our high priced securities counsel has been asked to see whether we can force you to stop. I also wonder how can the SEC possibly support your sham ignoring of U.S. securities laws. You can be sure we will be asking them.
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Replying to @variational_io
If you're not trading on Variational, what are you doing in crypto? $XAU $US500 are big liquid swaps! (OMNIREN code) omni.variational.io/?ref=OMN…
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Opened my first trade $XAU on Variational Swap. It seems like it's a given that farming the new feature will be justified this week. Most likely the point balance is shifted towards holding the position
Perps are becoming the pipe. 16% of all NVDA open interest on Lighter isn't a trade. I t's collateral for somebody else's product. LongX shipped a 3x leveraged $NVDA token this week, NAV is backed by perp OI on Lighter. One asset, one wrapper, and it already holds a sixth of that book. Shipped in seven days ✅ Variational put swaps on mainnet, which is a perp rewritten as fixed carry ✅ LongX turned Lighter's NVDA book into the reserve behind a leveraged token ✅ Hibachi opened FX and parked gold and silver beside it (Nado the same) ✅ Rise listed eleven RWA markets in a month None of that is a new perp. All of it is something built on top of one. The perp spent three years as the destination. It's becoming the pipe. That changes how these venues get valued, because a pipe earns on throughput and gets commoditized, while a product earns on the customer. Every venue on that list is quietly picking a side.
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if you are still not trading on Variational, then go (OMNIREN) omni.variational.io/?ref=OMN…
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The fastest transcription is the one that never runs. My community AI agent The Undertaker handles media now, and every design decision in it is about avoiding work rather than doing it faster. telegram.me/harecrypta_diges… 1. Someone drops a YouTube link and wants the text: ✅ first move is checking whether the video already has captions. If it does, there is no transcription. No audio pulled, no model called, no quota spent, text in a second ✅ no captions? Then only the audio track gets downloaded. Nobody needs 600 megabytes of pixels to read what was said ✅ the audio gets split on silence, not on a timer, so words don't get cut in half at chunk boundaries and stitched back wrong 2. Someone wants 45 seconds from the middle of an hour long video ✅ the cut happens at the source. Three seconds, a 3 megabyte file, and the other 59 minutes were never touched 3. The boring constraint everyone hits: most Telegram bots die at 20 megabytes. Mine goes to 2 gigabytes, so an hour and 48 minute recording comes back as a full transcript with timecodes instead of an error. The cheapest call is the one you skip for media influencers. (my own AI agent backed by any LLM Claude, ChatGPT or Deepseek)
My AI bot pays 200 credits every time it looks at the blockchain. Not per day. Per glance. Giving an agent expensive senses rewired every design decision around it ✅ visible quotas made users ask better questions, for free ✅ one scheduled morning glance replaced hundreds of retail ones ✅ every clarifying question from a paid API turned out to be my bug, not theirs And the scary part: when a look costs money, your system starts faking the look. Data-flavored confidence, zero data. Two of Part III's five failures came from this one feature. Part IV of the Undertaker series: The Eyes. How to wire paid data into a live agent without burning the budget or the trust.👇
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A perp's funding rate exists to balance a crowd. On the Nasdaq, the crowd never flips. Variational is shipping swaps, 0.29 bps per $1m 1. Funding on a perpetual is a payment between traders, sized by how lopsided the book is. Too many longs, longs pay shorts. It works in crypto because sentiment genuinely reverses, sometimes weekly. Equity indices don't reverse. Everyone is structurally long the Nasdaq, because that is the entire point of owning it. So the premium stays positive, and funding stops being a balancing mechanism and becomes a permanent tax on being right. On RWA perps the interest rate component is set to zero, so funding there is pure crowd imbalance with nothing anchoring it. Over a weekend, with TradFi shut and nobody to arbitrage the premium, that number can go anywhere. 2. A swap replaces the crowd with a rate. Instead of traders paying each other, you pay roughly the cost of money, because a dealer holds the real hedge against real TradFi depth. It's the same thing a hedge fund pays a prime broker for leverage. Predictable, because it comes from an interest rate rather than from sentiment. What that looks like on the screen ✅ spread of 0.0029% on a $1m US100 position, about $29 to get in ✅ mark price and index price identical to the cent, no basis, because there is no separate market to drift ✅ $1.25m available in one click, any size, no contract lots, no futures account 3. Now the part that matters strategically. The founder said swaps are not a product that can be traded on an orderbook. An orderbook needs two crowds meeting. A swap is a bilateral contract where a dealer quotes, carries and hedges the risk. It is an RFQ instrument by construction. So Variational found a product class its model supports and the orderbook model structurally cannot. Everyone keeps asking how anyone competes with Hyperliquid on fees. They don't. Nobody takes share from a liquidity monopoly by being cheaper. You take it by listing an instrument the incumbent's architecture can't hold. 4. it's interesting how the swap prices when TradFi is closed, and who eats the gap at Monday's open. Dealer capacity was described as well above a billion. An orderbook scales with a crowd. A dealer book scales with contracts. 5. The instrument isn't new. Total return swaps have existed for decades behind a prime brokerage relationship and a minimum account size. What's new is that it settles onchain, collateralised in $USDC, and the minimum is whatever you feel like typing.
Biggest innovation in defi since perpetual futures
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2/ HIP-3 lets anyone deploy their own perp DEX on Hyperliquid's engine. The entry cost is a 500k $HYPE bond, roughly $28-33m depending on the day. entropy.io/?r=start That bond is the skin in the game. Run your markets badly and validators can slash it. @entropyIO isn't posting it. Hyperion DeFi is.
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GM X! Tuesday tape, and don't look at yourself, you might be horrified)) All of humanity's troubles began with a mirror 🤣🤣🤣 Some alpha ✅ Entropy goes live tomorrow, a new perp DEX deploying on Hyperliquid through HIP-3. Team out of Polymarket, Jump and Jane Street. Trading before launch reportedly earns VIP status, so today is the window. entropy.io/?r=start ✅ The interesting part nobody mentions: the 500k $HYPE stake behind it looks rented, not owned. Hyperion is sponsoring deployers out of its treasury ✅ HIP-3 open interest just printed an ATH at $4.57b. Builder-deployed perps are now the fastest growing part of Hyperliquid ✅ Variational closed Phase 1: 100 TradFi markets in 90 days, $560m of RWA open interest, roughly 10% of all decentralized RWA perp OI $VAR ✅ $LIT is live on Kraken. Meanwhile one market maker did 16% of all BTC maker volume on Lighter Robinhood in a day and earned 2 points (i earned only 1 point)
GM X! I'm in my tunnel of life, back at the desk after a break, and the tape moved while I was gone. Some alpha ✅ Galaxy cut CLARITY Act 2026 odds to 10%. It was 60% in May. Polymarket went from roughly 82% to 20% over the same stretch. Cloture vote now set for September 15 ✅ Trump, Atkins and Selig meet crypto and prediction market executives at the White House on Wednesday. Kalshi has a seat at that table ✅ Lighter perps on Robinhood Chain went from $4.8m to $327m daily volume in 3 days. $LIT Points got 10x harder in the same window ✅ Variational printed a $1.5b open interest ATH. Real OTC point price is $20, whatever the timeline is quoting. $VAR
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