Hypnotherapist, Brain-trainer, author, speaker He/Him TransformingChanges.com Mastodon: @isucceed@mastodon.online Substack: isucceed.substack.com

N 42°12' 0'' / W 121°43' 0''
I interpret your tweet/comment as claiming subject literacy and wanting serious engagement. Instantly block bots, trolls, deliberately thick, false info spreaders, parades of fallacies, tribal bumper-sticker comments, & 4th-grader-level nonsense.
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In a world run by the Epstein class, you will only be informed of the things you bother to actually learn about - and from peer-reviewed science, not conspiracy click-holes (which are sponsored by the same Epstein class).
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You've probably seen the news that the @CDCgov is understaffed and also in the midst of contractor issues. We're watching closely for any CDC data errors. There are a few. The errors are not nefarious, and I wanted you to know we're tracking them closely so you continue to have confidence in our interpretation of the underlying data. This week, we spotted what appear to be four major data entry errors in the CDC data. One is for the Big Island of Hawai'i and the other 3 are in Kentucky. The wastewater value (WVAL) is a relatively arbitrary scale, but usually it peaks around 15 for a large wave, and 30 for a surge. You could definitely see something higher (perhaps 100-200) if there were a weather-related aberration or some other obscure reason; the issue would be exacerbated if only a small population covered. However, these are ridiculously large values. There's probably a mistake in someone's code or a manual data entry error. Maybe someone's dog jumped on the keyboard. Each site measures wastewater on arbitrary scales, using arbitrary metrics, and the CDC basically has to translate them all into a unified language. It could be an issue at the reporting site or the CDC (the CDC should catch this, regardless). Also, when sites are transitioning contractors or methodologies, they track data both ways for a time period to calibrate, and then flip to the new contractor or system. It's possible something is being labeled as one contractor or methodology but should have been the other. Imagine if one company tracked levels per mL and another tracked per L, for example. It would make the levels appear 1000x higher if unrecognized. Hopefully the issues get fixed soon. On the Big Island, I don't think it's a big deal, as it's a mistake of claiming Very High is actually some higher version of Very High, and levels have been quite elevated across the state for some time. In Kentucky, there's a reasonable chance that parts of northern Kentucky are actually having a little lower transmission than they appear, but it's uncertain. We've capped the WVAL at a max of 60 for the time being and added a >60 warning for counties where that is an issue. This seemed a better solutional than just hiding the data from people. We'll consider these sorts of issues if/when they pop up again, but this seems to be an atypical and hopefully one-off problem. By the way, not everything at the CDC is #Bluewashing. Sometimes errors are just errors, and sometimes those errors are in the high direction. We will always try to catch any issue. More and more citizens are doing great work with wastewater data, so it's helpful to note these issues so everyone knows to keep an eye out for them.
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The despicables will continue to be despicable for as long as they're still allowed amongst decent people. #BanishTheTrash.
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Of course.
Exclusive: MLB approached the Trump administration about hosting a game at a national park, officials said, and Grand Teton was scouted. The Tetons are about “wildlife, opportunity for solitude, not for more amusement,” said the county commissioner. wapo.st/4yikat5
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John Bailey retweeted
"Normal" is not a word. It is relative, a private hallucination that lives only in the mind of the person saying it. Everyone carries a different version and calls it the world. A 30 year old drops in the grocery aisle and they call it "normal." Others see the slow collapse they will never connect. A heart suddenly stops and they call it "normal," then blame age, diet, or a life they invent after the fact. Others know it was never a lifestyle story. It was Covid. A child laughs on Tuesday, is gone by Friday, and they call it "normal." "These things happen," they say. "It is what it is" finishes it. Others see another death that will be filed under anything but Covid. "Mild" is the same spell. What was "mild" for them was ruin for others, in the same reality. There never was a "normal." Covid never ended, and “normal” never began. We cannot live with each other on Covid for that reason.
A solution will never come. We live in the space between these 2 realities, divided for all time.
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John Bailey retweeted
Imagine suddenly developing problems with simple arithmetic because you caught a virus that you were told was just a cold.
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RT @morgfair: 👀What does a sister vacation in Texas look like?👀 🇺🇸Democracy, Y'all🇺🇸 🎧 Every time you subscribe, a little b*tch gets her…
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Reminder, waves are not "getting smaller." If you glance at long-term trends, that may seem the case, but the past few years, waves are actually just getting more platykurtic (wider, less pointy). Transmission is only relatively lower since December. Details below.
This is a special graph we only post periodically. It shows 2 things that have considerable implications. 1) Transmission has been lower than anticipated since December, and *only* since December. It's a recent phenomenon, not a long-term trend. WastewaterSCAN has poor longitudinal standardization so sometimes people mistakenly believe waves are getting smaller and smaller (or they say this because their listserv subscribers like to hear it). CDC and Biobot make very long-term data difficult to find. On the PMC 13-wave graph (which integrates long-term CDC and Biobot data, some of which is measured weekly by hand!), wave height gets smaller, but the waves are wider (hard to perceive visually). The take-home is we're in a very weird place in the pandemic, not a trend, but either an aberration or shift. 2) Cumulative levels for the current year (Y7) closely resemble that of Year 2. This is where the debate of aberration vs shift gets interesting. If we are in an aberration of lower than typical transmission, that means many people are walking around with limited short-term infection-derived immunity, and most people are not recently boosted. That would be a tinder box for a saltation variant (MANY variants are circulating), and put us on that scary Y2 path. The alternative is that this is not an aberration but a more meaningful shift, some population-level immunity building through a combination of boosters, infection history, and the most vulnerable dying (social murder), meaning time between infection starting to increase. These divergent hypotheses are the difference between 150 million vs 325 million infections for Y7. If I were a gambler, I'd bet about 200 million. However, you can see the uncertainty. This is a time like no other to monitor the data closely. The good news is that wastewater monitoring is not going away. PMC will keep posting. Retired NASA scientist, Dr. Eastman at WHN (@jlerollblues), is close to having localized *forecasts* too. On Instagram, a new entrant is integrating different data sources with other methodologies. @CyFi10, @amethystarlight, and @CovidDataReport post nuanced updates frequently. My advice would be to talk to the people who will listen and remember that much more important than understanding the risk is knowing you can do something about it. Boosting is the easiest intervention. If someone will mask, teach them how to properly fit their nose wire and do a seal check, get them to upgrade from a KN95 with cheek and chin gaps to an N95 like 3M Aura or 3M VFlex in the riskiest or socially easiest contexts. Easier said than done, but if that pessimistic scenario plays out, they may be ready to listen.
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Covid trolls will be pointing at a graph that shows Covid is killing people and say “see you’re wrong it’s not killing as many people as your worst projections said it was going to kill. See I was right not to protect my child” and still expect us to take them seriously.
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John Bailey retweeted
If you’re making fun of people who are COVID-conscious while also complaining about the increase in people reporting symptoms like POTS, ME/CFS and other chronic symptoms, you are SO close to getting it. So close.
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John Bailey retweeted
Someone is lying to you about COVID and you can either believe sick people or the government.
I do feel bad for the covid-conscious people. Every major health authority said for years “there’s a massive pandemic that’s killing/disabling millions; do not leave the house,” then pretty quickly flipped to “eh nevermind lol.” Reasonable to go a bit insane processing that
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John Bailey retweeted
So, tell me, is the problem over yet, or still getting worse?
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