The Pessimism Tax
Michigan Consumer sentiment recently fell to levels associated with deep economic distress.
At the same time,
- the economy added 172,000 jobs in May.
- Retail sales in May grew 4.9% year over year.
- ISM Manufacturing PMI was 54.0 in May 2026 (expansion >50), up from 52.7 in April — the fifth straight month of growth.
- 1Q26 corporate earnings reported in 2Q26 surged 27%, ahead of expected 12-15%.
That gap deserves attention.