I am the latest victim of the substack curse.
When I launched my substack back in July, I started a new investing account with 100k. The goal was obviously to outperform, and things were going well having peaked at 25% gain me YTD up until Thursday open.
I got cocky and greedy and went against any kind of rule or risk management strategy. Going into
$TRT with 20% of the portfolio.
Report comes out, revenue slightly below expectations but margins better than expected. I think to myself, oh that’s not too bad stock should be fine.
Stock drops 10% at open, I add 5% weighting.
Stock keeps dropping, I’m like wtf this is great r/r here the market is stupid! (lol)
I am now at 50% weighting and it’s around 2pm ET.
I think to myself, this bad boy for sure bouncing from here. I have no cash left so what do I do? I sell my
$BUKS $ESP $TBTC $SCIA $TAYD $PPIH $TMDX $ASTS and whatever else I can get my hands on.
I go to 80% weighting. It is now 3pm and the stock is going straight down. I talk to
$TRT IR and some others, who are clearly panicking but legitimately thought the report was solid and the stock would be up. I’m like everything is fine, people are retarded. I go into 100% weighting, add more cash to my account, AND buy some on margin thinking I can sell the close into open onto some strength.
Today market opens, straight flush. I still have margin left so I add to it. Keeps going down, no bounce, no nothing.
I am faced with a decision, add more money to pay back the margin or realize my losses.
I decided to realize my losses and move on. Unfortunately account was blown. Luckily I didn’t have all my money in it, but I am glad for the lesson.
I think it is an important lesson to understand that in order to outperform, and protect capital, it is essential to differentiate gambling from investing.
Thanks for coming to my TED talk.