In February 2007 Harry Macklowe bought 7 Manhattan skyscrapers for $6.8 billion. He put in $50 million of his own money.
Not bad buildings. Some of the best addresses in New York.
The man who sold them to him was the one who was scared.
The seller was Blackstone. The same week, Steve Schwarzman had just won Sam Zell's office empire, Equity Office, for $39 billion including debt, after a bidding war with Vornado that pushed him to $55.50 a share. The moment he owned it, he started selling it.
The logic on the other side was not stupid. Manhattan rents were rising, towers like these almost never come up for sale, and money was cheap. Macklowe borrowed about $7 billion on short-term loans due in February 2008, betting rents would keep climbing faster than the loans came due.
They did not. By early 2008 credit had frozen and he could not refinance the $5.8 billion he owed Deutsche Bank. He lost all 7 buildings. The GM Building, which he had owned since 2003 and pledged against the debt, went to Boston Properties for about $2.8 billion.
The footage is Schwarzman telling his side. He says he was so scared that they were winning that he could not sleep, because Blackstone could have walked away with about $500 million, the break fee at the time. So he decided to sell half of what he bought the day he bought it. Imagine buying $40 billion of real estate one day, he says, and selling $20 billion of it the same day. I did that because I was scared, because I hate risk. His first rule, he says, is do not lose money.
I have bought something from a person who was clearly in a hurry to sell it, and told myself they just did not see what I saw. Sometimes that was true. The times it was not cost more than the times it was.
You meet a Schwarzman more often than you think. The flipper selling a house 3 months after buying it. The early employee unloading shares the day they vest. The founder who raises and sells secondary in the same round. Their hurry is information, and it is usually worth more than the listing.
Almost nobody asks why the seller wants out so fast.