I shall now therefore humbly propose my own thoughts, which I hope will not be liable to the least objection. art-bin.com/art/omodest.html

Priors confirmed, now back to work everyone
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ads appear while agents generate code. ADS APPEAR WHILE AGENTS GENERATE CODE. 🚀
𝗜𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗱𝘂𝗰𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗞𝗼𝗮𝗵 𝗮𝗱𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗰𝗼𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮𝗴𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀 Built to turn dead time into a revenue line. • Ads appear while agents generate code, run tests, or work through the next step • Designed for the command line, not adapted from a display ad • Interactive, so developers respond with keyboard controls without leaving the terminal
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the arc of the universe is long but it bends towards embracing the dark arts of disguising ads as organic search results
🫤 Apple looks to be removing the background color in App Store search ads, making them easier to mistake for organic search results. Gotta hit those quarterly numbers!
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Airbnb has unique supply so is more insulated from agents going direct to the supplier. Also: "Airbnb Inc. is testing taking a smaller cut of rental fees from hosts, seeking to fight back against a trend of customers booking directly outside of its platform."
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My point is not to pick on Airbnb, but that the analysis of how commerce and marketplaces evolve with personalized agents is a very complicated exercise. Unique supply here means unique vs other marketplaces, but many suppliers are able to go direct, and agents can find them.
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I wonder if there’s a lesson here about speed of diffusion. It was clear to everyone by at least 2021 that selling advertising against your own aggregated audience was feasible & profitable. Walgreens did it! But it’s 2026 and major global companies are only now launching RMNs.
On a long enough timeline, everyone sells ads wsj.com/articles/apple-looks…
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maybe we should muse on this topic some more
Replying to @modestproposal1
This is a much longer topic, but taken to an extreme, an intelligent personalized agent effectively minimizes search costs and renders much of supply aggregation and onsite advertising useless. On a long enough timeline, everyone sells ads, but what if there's no one to sell to?
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“In short, these middleware Aggregators do have utility for agents today; their position does seem fundamentally more fragile going forward, however.”
9-23-2026 ($) •More on Muse, Amazon, and Walmart •Muse and Expedia •Whither Google? stratechery.com/2026/more-on…
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There was, to me, a very funny part of Jeff Dean’s appearance on Dwarkesh when he says “I would love a model that has access to all my emails, all my documents, and all my photos”. I thought at the time boy what company has the right to build that?
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Is it a Christensen world or an Arthur world
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Excited to hear the implications for investors of AI extinction
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“We like short oil and receiving two year rates”
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Been thinking more about this and I think long hard commodities short softs is the best play. Copper - wheat spread a good proxy for p(doom)
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I’ve always wondered how Driscoll’s came to dominate berries. They control 1/3 of the market including 60% of organic strawberries, 46% of blackberries, 14% of blueberries, and all the raspberries. Interestingly it turns out they are actually an IP licensing and marketing firm.
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Blueberry sting operations
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“Avocado toast is over. Jam-slathered brioche is done. It’s pancakes’ time.” 🔥🔥🔥 nitter.net/megmccarron/status/988…
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Every civilized person knows you order table pancakes. Then you can go sweet and savory. Come on this is not a meme this is standard operating procedures.
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Many people are saying it
“I always get pancakes for the table. Unlocks the whole menu. It’s the best. Everyone who steps into a diner is thinking in their head, ‘should I do pancakes?’ But you don’t wanna just do pancakes, but you’d eat pancakes. So you get the pancakes for the table” -Big Cat
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In the last 5 years, SMH and IGV have had a 5 percentage point or more daily spread 20 times. 13 of those are YTD. You can almost literally see when Claude Code caught fire, and the daily range dramatically widens.
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842 basis points today

ALT Seth Meyers Fun GIF by Late Night with Seth Meyers

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nine hundred eighty seven basis points of vibes
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