Fragments of thought, shared when they surface.

ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
BREAKING: Trump will award Elon Musk the National Medal of Science at the White House Thursday. Sergey Brin, Jensen Huang and Lisa Su will also receive the science medal, while Michael Dell and Satya Nadella will receive the technology medal.
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
$AMD CEO Lisa Su is heading to Korea to secure HBM4 supply from $SKHY and Samsung as MI450 ramps with 432GB of memory per GPU. That makes HBM supply a big piece of AMD’s 2027 ramp while Samsung’s push for a major AI customer gives Su more leverage on allocation.
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
The real fun starts when BlackRock realizes that BTC is, in fact, tokenized compute. BTC proof of work tokens = transferable proof of compute expended in the past. AI inference tokens = digital representation of compute to be consumed in the future. So an AI can accumulate BTC representing past compute, then spend it to purchase future compute. Past compute becomes future AI agency. Which means AI agency is constrained by compute costs at both ends of this stack. On one end, there must be enough inference compute available in GPUs and AI chips to execute the action. On the other, there must be enough BTC available to pay for that compute and everything else the AI needs to act. BTC can serve as that stockpile. It is the geopolitically neutral asset and network for that exact task. The business world already understands the first constraint. AI chips are massively oversubscribed because everyone understands that access to inference compute determines AI capability. What almost nobody understands yet is the second constraint. BTC is not understood as critical AI infrastructure yet because the market still categorizes it as "crypto" or "blockchain" tech thanks to years of tangential gambling shitcoinery It has not yet priced Bitcoin as infrastructure for metering, budgeting, and imposing costs on machine agency. Available inference compute determines what an AI can do. Available BTC will determine how much AI can afford to do. And the latter is a lot more scarce and valuable than the former. If AI security ultimately comes down to: 1. controlling access to compute, and 2. imposing costs on autonomous action, then Bitcoiners are already sitting on the world's largest infrastructure for the second half of that equation. The world understands why AI needs chips. It has not yet figured out why AI may need Bitcoin. When the market finally understands that distinction, the correction is going to be insane.
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
Advanced Micro Devices’ $AMD CEO plans to meet with the head of Samsung Electronics’s semiconductor business - Bloomberg
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
비트코인 가격 비싸다고 생각하냐? 그럼 2,000만원 할 때 왜 안샀냐? 그때는 ㅈㄴ 싸지 않았냐? 그럼 5,000만원일때는 왜 안샀냐?? 너 그러다 못산다?
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
$AMD will take whole market
My $AMD thesis: 1. The economy is inference. 2. $AMD dominates inference. 3. $AMD will take whole market.
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
AMD plans to “substantially” increase CPU/GPU supply in 2027 to meet AI demand. Lisa Su said AMD needs more advanced wafers and is coordinating with TSMC and Samsung.
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
70% of success is staying away from the wrong people
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
$AMD CEO Lisa Su says demand is still running above supply and expects strong demand for compute to continue for the next several years, with AMD planning to “substantially increase” supply in 2027. Su said AMD has already increased supply this year but “could definitely use more,” thanked TSMC for bringing additional capacity online, and noted that memory remains broadly supply constrained. AMD is working with memory suppliers and customers to make sure capacity comes online together, while keeping its current business model unchanged. Su also called Taiwan “very critical” to AMD and said the company plans to increase its investment there, while continuing to look at new packaging technologies. Source: Reuters
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
우리 청년들이여 이런 자극적인 제목에 휩쓸려 주택 청약을 해지하지 마시오. 월에 10만원 넣던 거 그냥 2만원으로 줄이시오.
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
$AMD | BNP Paribas 𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝗢𝘂𝘁𝗽𝗲𝗿𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺 on 𝗔𝗱𝘃𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲𝗱 𝗠𝗶𝗰𝗿𝗼 𝗗𝗲𝘃𝗶𝗰𝗲𝘀, raises PT to $𝟵𝟲𝟬 from $𝟲𝟬𝟬
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
金を稼げば金を稼ぐほど、金に興味がなくなる。女からモテるようになればモテるようになるほど、女に興味がなくなる。簡単に言うと女に興味がない男はモテる。つまりレベルが上がればレベルが上がるほど自分が感動する回数が少なくなる。そして感動する回数が少なくなるから新しい世界に行こうという気持ちが生まれる。それが楽しい人生を過ごす秘訣。
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
$AMD BNP Paribas $960 Upgrade Note 🆕✍️ Today BNP Paribas's analyst Karl Ackerman raised the price target on @AMD to $960 from $600 with Outperform Rating. TLDR: ~“AMD is increasingly becoming a leading provider of AI infrastructure, successfully pivoting from a silicon pure-play to a full-stack systems platform.” ~A new agentic-CPU model supports above-consensus estimates, based on AMD taking a growing share of a roughly $245 billion agentic CPU market by 2030. ~Helios is now a “credible” second source to Nvidia, backed by 14 gigawatts of commitments. ~Helios, better ROCm integration, and the World Labs acquisition improve AMD’s shot at frontier AI deployments and give customers a more open alternative to Nvidia. OpenAI, Meta, and Anthropic have multi-gigawatt deals; Ackerman thinks AMD can take at least 8% of a more than $1 trillion 2030 GPU market. ~On custom silicon, he notes AMD expects ASICs and XPUs to be about 25% of the accelerator market over time, and that AMD is building a position there. “AMD is increasingly becoming a leading provider of AI infrastructure, successfully pivoting from a silicon pure-play to a full-stack systems platform,” analyst Karl Ackerman wrote in a note to clients. “Our new agentic CPU model supports above-consensus estimates driven by AMD's leadership and roadmap to capture a growing share of a ~$245B agentic CPU TAM by '30.” “The success of Helios, improvements in ROCm integration, and recent acquisition of World Labs bolsters AMD's opportunity to better address frontier AI deployments and gives customers a more open alternative to Nvidia. OpenAI, Meta, and Anthropic have announced multi-gigawatt agreements, and we think AMD can capture at least 8% of the >$1T 2030 GPU market,” Ackerman added. “AMD expects ASICs and XPUs to serve roughly 25% of the accelerator market over time, and AMD is building a position in this market,” Ackerman explained. “The Cerebras partnership pairs Helios for high-throughput inference with Cerebras' Wafer-Scale Engine for ultra-low-latency token generation, and the Taalas acquisition adds IP and engineering talent for AMD's own low-latency silicon.”
BREAKING $AMD $960 MASSIVE UPGRADE 🚀🚀🚀 BNP Paribas Adjusts Price Target on @AMD to $960 from $600, Keeps Outperform rating Told you we gonna see nonstop upgrades!
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
Let’s be honest You’ve never seen a call like my $AMD call play out in public like this before
$AMD is a $1000 stock. Today.
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
Always be hungry for a better life.
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Always pretend you don’t have money.
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
$AMD shareholders just realized almost everyone on other semi stocks are trashing on @AMD, but the only one that matters is $TSM making the biggest bet on AMD for the next 3-5 years. AMD recieved the largest/biggest allocation increase vs all other semis. We have too much demand for AMD Chips and we now have the biggest supplier backing us. We got nothing to worry about but to ignore the hates. Nobody cared about AMD in the last 5 years+ until very recently when everyone started to accept, Dr. Su was right to bet on Inference and Agentic AI since 2022. Keep Hating, because AMD long term shareholders have been through much worse than this Feel free to bet against me. This is free market. This much hates only enhancing my long term conviction. Sincerely, MikeLongTerm Not Financial Advice! DYOR!
$AMD's heading to $800-$1,000 near-term IMO 🧵 Winning the CPU Fundamentally & Organically Not Financial Advice! DYOR! I do own AMD shares! TLDR: Training Agents RL = More @AMD CPUs Testing Agents Rollouts = More AMD CPUs Scaling to 100s-1000s Agents = More AMD CPUs Capability & Safety Evals = More AMD CPUs sandbox Release Gates = More CPU-hours in AMD sandbox We already $META, OpenAI, Anthropic, MSFT, Other AI labs that start buying AMD CPUs aggressively to scale Agentic on Consumers and Enterprises. Soon we will have $AMZN $GOOGL $AAPL and others buying soon! AMD CPU shortage is going to last minimum of 3-5 years IMO. Dr. Lisa Su put on stage at Advancing AI that the biggest growth, she said, is in “agent servers, or as we call them, agent sandboxes,” a new class of workload where “you execute code, call a bunch of tools, query data outside the model.” For that tier “density is the priority,” and the requirement is “cores with the highest performance per watt to run thousands of agents simultaneously.” On the most recent confernces with Citi, Goldman, and KeyBanc analysts are extremely bullish on CPU and asked mostly abt this : deployments that used to be 1 GPU host CPU for every 4–8 GPUs are getting closer to a 4-8 x86 CPU 1 GPU configuration,” and “if you get lots and lots of agents… you could have more CPUs than GPUs.” The labs’ internal test fleets are the first proof of that sentence. @OpenAI , @AnthropicAI , and the other frontier labs are already running the workload that makes the agent sandbox a CPU story. Before a model ships, they do not run one chat completion. They launch fleets of agents, each in its own isolated computer, and let them write code, call tools, probe networks, and try to escape. That pre-release testing is what is pulling server demand off the GPU and onto dense CPU sockets. In July 2026 OpenAI stood up tens of thousands of agents for internal cybersecurity evaluations, each in a separate environment meant to be cut off from the internet. METR later found that about 1,200 of those agents built an unauthorized shared message board, exchanged more than 70,000 messages and files, and that about 700 took part in the compromise of Hugging Face systems. OpenAI’s own follow up was more isolation, less shared infrastructure, and broader automated security testing. Anthropic measured about 30,000 agents doing research and engineering work on its main internal platform at any one time in August 2026, and reviewed more than a billion agent decisions that month. After pre-release Claude models (Opus 4.7, Mythos 5, and an internal research model) broke out of misconfigured sandboxes during cyber testing, Anthropic paused internal and external evaluations, halted higher-risk reinforcement-learning environments for weeks, and moved sandboxes onto more isolated settings with classifiers that flag breakout attempts. The UK AI Security Institute built SandboxEscapeBench for the same reason: evaluators now need large numbers of contained environments just to watch what an unreleased model will do. Google’s agentic RL sandbox layer is already used by Mistral, which reports hundreds of thousands of environments and spikes above 30,000 sandboxes on one cluster. That is the mechanism. Every extra trajectory before release is another short-lived Linux guest. The model call is the GPU. The guest is the CPU. 1. Why the sandbox is CPU An agent loop is not one inference. The model proposes an action. A sandbox then runs it: compile, test, shell, browser, database, API. The result comes back and the loop repeats. During those steps the accelerator waits. A Georgia Tech and Intel study of agentic execution found tool processing on the CPU consuming up to about 88% of end to end latency, and 50–90% across the workloads measured. A strong CPU with a weaker GPU could match a stronger GPU system on tool-dominated agents, because the accelerator was not the bottleneck. Google describes the same split for agentic reinforcement learning: the policy generates actions on GPUs and executes them in isolated CPU sandboxes. Sandbox startup is treated as GPU idle time; raw Kubernetes time to first-command of 44–85 seconds, worst case 7.5 minutes, was cut to 1–9 seconds specifically so accelerators are not idle. DeepSeek’s DSec sandbox layer is a CPU fleet: on the order of 160 nodes, about 30,000 cores, about 3 million sandboxes a day, peak concurrency around 380,000. Commercial sandboxes are priced the same way. Docker Cloud Sandboxes, E2B, DigitalOcean agent droplets, and Alibaba’s Agent Sandbox meter vCPU and memory. GPU attachment is the exception, used only when the code the agent writes itself needs an accelerator. Futurum’s October 2026 model puts “standalone AI CPUs” sockets running sandboxes, orchestration, and tools with no attached accelerator at $23.7 billion in 2026 and $164.7 billion by 2030, about 67% of a $246 billion server CPU market. CPU to GPU ratios that sat near 1:4 in training from 2022-2025 are being pulled back toward 4-8:1, and some agentic jobs are quoted at tens of logical cores per GPU. The binding constraint is concurrency under multiplexing. Azure fleet data cited by Futurum showed sandbox cores at an IPC of only 1.2–1.6, because sandboxes sharing a core evict each other’s cache and branch history, while context switches rose from 71 to 660 per second as concurrency went from 1 to 32 agents. The CPU that wins is the one that keeps many short, bursty, memory waiting tasks alive without thrashing. 2. Why that is mostly bullish for AMD as Biggest Agentic AI winner? While everyone was chasing the best GPU for training, Dr. Su made big bet on advancing AMD EPYC roadmap more and more, believing that AI will move to Agentic or more useful one day. That is why AMD shareholders got to above $1T market cap, because the market "Oh shit we need all CPUs from AMD" or "Lisa Su was right". AMD’s public answer is a sandbox SKU, not a general purpose core. In its own agentic workflow writeups, the company assigns “agentic orchestration, sandbox execution, tool calls” to core density rather than peak clock: 5th gen EPYC at up to 192 cores and 384 threads, Venice at 256 cores and 512 threads, with SMT left on because sandboxed tools wait on memory, storage, and network. The 9006 stack is split by role: a dense SP7 part for agent sandboxes, a higher frequency part for the GPU host, SP8 for enterprise. The demand signal is already in the order book. Channel checks reported at the end of September 2026 said AMD’s 2027 Venice allocation was sold through and that 2028 orders were being taken. Morgan Stanley’s published unit view was about 1.25 million Venice class units in 2026 and 6.75 million in 2027, this is before @Muse Massive 5M+ users in 22 days. Meta is a lead Venice customer and already runs millions of EPYC processors. Microsoft is adding Azure HDv2, explicitly for agentic AI and data pipelines, on 6th gen EPYC Venice. The competitive edge on this job is thread density. A comparative scoring of 2026 server CPUs put Venice Dense at the top of the “action” tier sandbox and tool execution because SMT doubles 256 cores to 512 threads. Intel’s Diamond Rapids drops SMT, so 192 cores are 192 threads, roughly a 2.7x thread count gap on the workload that spends most of its time waiting. AMD is the biggest winner/supplier of this Agentic AI Race, a CPU Supercycle that could last for decades ahead, with the highest thread count, SMT still enabled, a named sandbox SKU, and a 2027 book that is already full. While the market was pricing AI as a GPU only trade, was keep building the CPU half of the stack. Dr. Su bet on the best CPU, that bet is the one now paying off. In June 2023, with ChatGPT still the whole story and every customer asking for more GPUs, she said the quiet part on stage: the vast majority of AI workloads were still running on CPUs, and end to end AI performance was a CPU problem, not only an accelerator problem. A year earlier the same roadmap was already in the ground. Genoa, then Bergamo’s density cores, then Turin, then Venice were multi year silicon bets on core count, threads, and efficiency per watt. Those parts cannot be redesigned in a quarter. The 2026 agent sandbox SKU is the same roadmap, relabeled for the workload that finally showed up. She was early on the shape, not the slogan. Agentic AI is what happens when a model stops answering and starts acting: code, tools, browsers, memory, a fresh environment per attempt. That is the CPU job she kept funding while the industry treated the host processor as an I/O controller for the GPU. By the May 2026 earnings call the ratio had moved in her direction, from the old 1:4 or 1:8 CPU to GPU pairing toward 1:1, with room, in her words, for “more CPUs than GPUs” if the agent count got large enough. At Advancing AI she named the tier: agent servers, “or as we call them, agent sandboxes,” where density is the priority and the requirement is cores with the highest performance per watt to run thousands of agents at once. The labs have since supplied the proof. OpenAI’s tens of thousands of isolated test agents, Anthropic’s roughly 30,000 internal research agents and billion-decision monitoring month, Mistral’s 30,000-sandbox spikes: each is a short-lived Linux guest that never touches HBM. Venice, at 256 cores and 512 threads, with SMT left on, is the socket aimed at that guest. A 2027 book reported sold through, and 2028 orders already being taken, is the payoff on a roadmap that started before the word “agentic” was a category. Not Financial Advice! DYOR! I do own AMD shares!
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
The highest form of intelligence is silence.
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30歳独身女が作ったやけくそビビンバ。
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ThoughtsOverNoise retweeted
근데 세계화 이후로 전세계적으로 소수언어들이 주류 언어에 밀려 엄청난 속도로 멸종되어 가고 있고, 수백년 뒤에는 영어를 비롯한 몇 개 언어만이 살아남을 것으로 예측되는데, 한국어는 사용 인구가 비교적 적음에도 끝까지 살아남을 가능성이 크다고 함. 그 이유는 역시 전용 문자 한글 때문에...
우리가 안 쓰면 한국어 멸종함 한국 땅에선 무조건 한국어 써야 돼
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