@Polymarket | Prediction markets Focused on probabilities and information flow.
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There’s a free 0.6% just sitting there on Polymarket.
The strangest controversy following the 2026 World Cup final 😂
Not the referees.
Not an offside call.
It was about... a photo.
Trump stood alongside the World Cup champions during the trophy ceremony. Millions of people watched it happen live.
But later, FIFA and the Spanish Football Federation shared team photos where he was no longer there. Some images were cropped, while others were taken from angles that excluded him.
Now the debate isn't whether Trump was standing with the champions.
The real question is what exactly counts as the "Champions Photo."
To me, the answer is obvious: he appeared in the official trophy ceremony photos with the World Cup winners.
That's why I expect this market to resolve YES.
🏆Trump to attend World Cup Final is now trading at 97.6¢ Yes
White House just confirmed he will be at MetLife Stadium on July 19 to present the trophy with Infantino after 🇦🇷Argentina vs 🇪🇸Spain.
The market is almost certain, but some still buy No at 3¢.
People remember the loud boos at last year's Club World Cup final. Others say Trump is unpredictable.
But we now have official confirmation from the White House and long-standing plans with FIFA.
Is 3¢ on No really worth it? Or is the market just pricing in drama?
I'm on Yes. What about you?"
Short, punchy, and ready to post. Want any tweaks?
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KINDAR WITH +$448.7K ALL-TIME PNL JUST WATCHED HIS $50K ITALY TICKET GET WRECKED LIVE
UEFA Nations League, first matchday of League A Group 1, Rome, Stadio Olimpico
Mancini’s Italy vs van Bommel’s Belgium. Elite European football with points from minute one
Score right now: Italy 0-1 Belgium. Mika Godts, 20’, De Bruyne assist on the break
His position: Yes Italy at 44.6¢. 112,031 shares. Value now $17.3K. Down $32.6K. Minus 65%
Joined August 2026. 10 predictions. Biggest win $345.1K. Volume 3.7M. Already printed Bills +$345K and Betis +$145K.
I’m still on Italy. One goal does not close a Nations League night in Rome. If the Azzurri equalize, this book snaps back fast
A sports trader with $533K in total profit on Polymarket just put $27.7K on tonight’s UEFA Nations League opener
Türkiye vs France. First match of the Zidane era. Mbappé is captain and cleared to start
He’s betting NO on Türkiye to win at 88.2¢ - 31,019 shares, $27,762 on the line
This isn’t a random wallet
phonesculptor
→ joined Oct 2025
→ 1,991 predictions
→ $161.8K biggest single win
→ $73.5M volume
→ +$37.1K in the last day alone
Some of his closed winners:
→ Pirates vs Cubs - Pirates at 42.6¢ → +$161.7K
→ UFC: Kuniev vs Almeida - Kuniev at 38¢ → +$109.2K
→ Switzerland to win - Yes at 49¢ → +$76.5K
→ Jake Paul vs Joshua - No at 89.5¢ → +$58K
→ Chelsea to win - No at 80.9¢ → +$54.5K
He sizes big and the curve is almost only up
Tonight the market already treats a Türkiye win as a long shot. He’s sitting on that side while France walk out with Mbappé in the first XI
I’m on a small 2-pick combo on the same UEFA game:
France in regular time + Under 5.5 goals
$10 → $16.04 (1.6x)
Not copying his size. Just the same side of the board
Definitely worth watching this wallet into kickoff
@Polymarket
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KINDAR WITH +$448.7K ALL-TIME PNL JUST WATCHED HIS $50K ITALY TICKET GET WRECKED LIVE
UEFA Nations League, first matchday of League A Group 1, Rome, Stadio Olimpico
Mancini’s Italy vs van Bommel’s Belgium. Elite European football with points from minute one
Score right now: Italy 0-1 Belgium. Mika Godts, 20’, De Bruyne assist on the break
His position: Yes Italy at 44.6¢. 112,031 shares. Value now $17.3K. Down $32.6K. Minus 65%
Joined August 2026. 10 predictions. Biggest win $345.1K. Volume 3.7M. Already printed Bills +$345K and Betis +$145K.
I’m still on Italy. One goal does not close a Nations League night in Rome. If the Azzurri equalize, this book snaps back fast
A sports trader with $533K in total profit on Polymarket just put $27.7K on tonight’s UEFA Nations League opener
Türkiye vs France. First match of the Zidane era. Mbappé is captain and cleared to start
He’s betting NO on Türkiye to win at 88.2¢ - 31,019 shares, $27,762 on the line
This isn’t a random wallet
phonesculptor
→ joined Oct 2025
→ 1,991 predictions
→ $161.8K biggest single win
→ $73.5M volume
→ +$37.1K in the last day alone
Some of his closed winners:
→ Pirates vs Cubs - Pirates at 42.6¢ → +$161.7K
→ UFC: Kuniev vs Almeida - Kuniev at 38¢ → +$109.2K
→ Switzerland to win - Yes at 49¢ → +$76.5K
→ Jake Paul vs Joshua - No at 89.5¢ → +$58K
→ Chelsea to win - No at 80.9¢ → +$54.5K
He sizes big and the curve is almost only up
Tonight the market already treats a Türkiye win as a long shot. He’s sitting on that side while France walk out with Mbappé in the first XI
I’m on a small 2-pick combo on the same UEFA game:
France in regular time + Under 5.5 goals
$10 → $16.04 (1.6x)
Not copying his size. Just the same side of the board
Definitely worth watching this wallet into kickoff
@Polymarket
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A sports trader with $533K in total profit on Polymarket just put $27.7K on tonight’s UEFA Nations League opener
Türkiye vs France. First match of the Zidane era. Mbappé is captain and cleared to start
He’s betting NO on Türkiye to win at 88.2¢ - 31,019 shares, $27,762 on the line
This isn’t a random wallet
phonesculptor
→ joined Oct 2025
→ 1,991 predictions
→ $161.8K biggest single win
→ $73.5M volume
→ +$37.1K in the last day alone
Some of his closed winners:
→ Pirates vs Cubs - Pirates at 42.6¢ → +$161.7K
→ UFC: Kuniev vs Almeida - Kuniev at 38¢ → +$109.2K
→ Switzerland to win - Yes at 49¢ → +$76.5K
→ Jake Paul vs Joshua - No at 89.5¢ → +$58K
→ Chelsea to win - No at 80.9¢ → +$54.5K
He sizes big and the curve is almost only up
Tonight the market already treats a Türkiye win as a long shot. He’s sitting on that side while France walk out with Mbappé in the first XI
I’m on a small 2-pick combo on the same UEFA game:
France in regular time + Under 5.5 goals
$10 → $16.04 (1.6x)
Not copying his size. Just the same side of the board
Definitely worth watching this wallet into kickoff
@Polymarket
38 GAMES UNBEATEN
AND THE MARKET STILL CAN’T SEPARATE SPAIN AND ENGLAND
World champions go to Wembley. England arrive with World Cup bronze and holes in the squad. On paper it’s tight. My call is simple: Spain wins
Didn’t wait for someone else’s line. Created the market myself on @bopsterfun:
Will Spain win on 26.09.2026 in the UEFA Nations League match Spain - England before 2026-09-26 20:45 UTC?
Yes or no. I’m on YES
Here you don’t just take a side. You can create your own market, take 1% of the pool, help resolve it, or settle it. All on-chain on Base
Market’s open. Take the other side if you want
bopster.fun/profile/@nofad
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Backspin+ recently went 16–1 over two weeks, generating +$17K in user profit
and now @rainmakerdotfun is giving $RAIN holders even more benefits as new AI models launch
you don’t get a different model or different trades
you get better access to the same AI signals:
→ earlier signal
→ lower fees
→ higher stake caps
the signal queue:
9M → 6M → 3M → 500K → retail
and the higher your $RAIN tier, the more of your winning trades you keep
but now comes the interesting part - The Comeback Series
2 new AI models for college football + tennis, built around lower-frequency trades with much bigger upside
→ College Comeback: 34% win rate / +$441 avg PnL on $100
→ Tennis Comeback: ~64% win rate / +$187 avg PnL on $100
and for the launch:
> Comeback opens Sep 26 for first 200 users only
> if you already holding 500K+ $RAIN your Comeback wins are 0% fee
$RAIN doesn’t unlock a better model
it gives you more benefits as Rainmaker keeps building
open your dashboard to see your offer
*past performance is not a guarantee of future results
Introducing Rainmaker's Comeback Series for CFB & Tennis
Two brand new AI models, College Comeback and Tennis Comeback: Deep Value. A winning trade can pay +200% to +1,000%.
Wins less often than Backspin+, but pays far more when it hits.
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KALSHI GOT CAUGHT FAKING THE NUMBERS - AND NOW THEIR OWN APP IS TALKING
First, their volume came under scrutiny
Now someone dug into the Android app and found “people chatting” being multiplied by a variable literally called “boost_strength.”
The funniest part?
They didn’t even hide what it does
REAL USERS IN
BOOSTED NUMBER OUT
At this point, the app isn’t showing the crowd
It’s showing Kalshi’s version of the crowd 💀
beyond just their volume, kalshi is inflating their user metrics
i noticed live chatter count only moves in increments of 5 so i took a look at their android app code
they literally have an amplifier called “boost_strength” that multiplies the actual number of people chatting
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38 GAMES UNBEATEN
AND THE MARKET STILL CAN’T SEPARATE SPAIN AND ENGLAND
World champions go to Wembley. England arrive with World Cup bronze and holes in the squad. On paper it’s tight. My call is simple: Spain wins
Didn’t wait for someone else’s line. Created the market myself on @bopsterfun:
Will Spain win on 26.09.2026 in the UEFA Nations League match Spain - England before 2026-09-26 20:45 UTC?
Yes or no. I’m on YES
Here you don’t just take a side. You can create your own market, take 1% of the pool, help resolve it, or settle it. All on-chain on Base
Market’s open. Take the other side if you want
bopster.fun/profile/@nofad
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THIS IS WHY I READ THE SIGNAL BEFORE THE RANKING SHEET 🔥
Cina was 170. Carabelli was 75. lucky loser vs a guy who should win this match on paper.
DG3 had Cina ML at 56%. it closed 6-3 6-2.
tennis edges live in spots like this, not in the obvious seeds.
want the next read before the slate drops, comment signal or DM. I trade them on
dg3.trade/terminal
Federico Cina vs Ugo Carabelli, Chengdu Open Round of 32 (ATP 250)
Who takes this one? Here's the DG3 Signal.
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nofad retweeted
The UEFA Nations League kicks off today.
And I’m not just watching the matches; I’ve created MY OWN betting market for them
@bopsterfun - this isn't your typical prediction platform where you can only bet on other people's markets.
Here, there are 4 ways to participate and earn:
-> Predict YES/NO
-> Create your own markets
-> Help settle markets via an oracle
-> Finalize markets
And I took full advantage of this - I created a market: "Will at least 4 out of 8 matches on September 24, 2026, end in a draw by 10:00 p.m. UTC?"
You don't just bet based on other people's predictions - you decide for YOURSELF what the whole crowd is betting on.
Plus, as a creator, I receive a 1% fee from the final pool
Everything is on Base; all funds and actions are transparent through smart contracts.
There are profiles, leaderboards, and badges.
It's open to everyone, but the vibe is already awesome. Who's with me for the game today?
My market: share.bopster.fun/c/eyJrIjoi…
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brotherr, your team over there has spent literal years soliciting hit pieces on polymarket for *wash trading* and *rebate activity* that was significantly less egregious and arguably non existent when compared to what kalshi seems to be very accepting of today.
i thought more about it. beni, sorry for being a dick. i shouldn't have attacked you personally. it was cocky and unnecessary, and i should have stuck to the facts.
i do want to clarify one thing: our incentives pay for liquidity, not wash trading. the claim that we’re incentivizing wash trading is incorrect, but i should have explained why instead of making it personal.
this has made clear we need to do a better job explaining how our incentives work and the safeguards we have in place. we’ve laid out the full context here: news.kalshi.com/p/the-facts-…
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This trader @antblack on Polymarket is already down $235k all-time but still loading tennis markets.
Right now he has an open position on St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Borna Gojo.
22,617 shares of Droguet at 58.3c.
Position is already up ~$1.1k (+8.9%), market jumped to 65%.
Before this he caught a bunch of zeros on tennis and football totals:
- Blockx vs Khachanov: -$62k
- Francesca Jones: -$15k
- a stack of Challenger matches at $8-11k going to zero
Classic style: buys mid-favorites/underdogs at 30-55c and holds till resolution.
Today's Droguet play after the Frenchman just beat Gojo in Rennes (6-2 3-6 6-3) looks logical, but with this track record any bounce can eat everything again.
Market is live, $220k volume.
Watching if he actually pulls this one.
LAVER CUP: RANKINGS FAVOR EUROPE. RECENT TITLES FAVOR WORLD 🎾
Alcaraz and Zverev are both top 3. Europe still leads 5-3 all time. On paper it looks settled.
but World has won 3 of the last 4. Last year in San Francisco it was 15-9.
now Paul and Shelton are out in two weeks, and Nakashima walks in for a debut. that is the part the board has not priced yet.
I am taking World. in this format recent form beats a pretty roster.
I sit on DG3 because I can watch the match and trade the side in the same window, no jumping between the stream and the book → dg3.trade/terminal
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This trader @antblack on Polymarket is already down $235k all-time but still loading tennis markets.
Right now he has an open position on St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Borna Gojo.
22,617 shares of Droguet at 58.3c.
Position is already up ~$1.1k (+8.9%), market jumped to 65%.
Before this he caught a bunch of zeros on tennis and football totals:
- Blockx vs Khachanov: -$62k
- Francesca Jones: -$15k
- a stack of Challenger matches at $8-11k going to zero
Classic style: buys mid-favorites/underdogs at 30-55c and holds till resolution.
Today's Droguet play after the Frenchman just beat Gojo in Rennes (6-2 3-6 6-3) looks logical, but with this track record any bounce can eat everything again.
Market is live, $220k volume.
Watching if he actually pulls this one.
LAVER CUP: RANKINGS FAVOR EUROPE. RECENT TITLES FAVOR WORLD 🎾
Alcaraz and Zverev are both top 3. Europe still leads 5-3 all time. On paper it looks settled.
but World has won 3 of the last 4. Last year in San Francisco it was 15-9.
now Paul and Shelton are out in two weeks, and Nakashima walks in for a debut. that is the part the board has not priced yet.
I am taking World. in this format recent form beats a pretty roster.
I sit on DG3 because I can watch the match and trade the side in the same window, no jumping between the stream and the book → dg3.trade/terminal
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I just got whitelisted for the Ventra 10,000 NFT mint on OpenSea — ticket #06029. Drops Sept 25. wl.ventran.xyz
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an AI model generated +$13,400 for its users in one week across just 4 tennis tournaments
all of this can be verified on Polymarket and any of you can be one of those users
@rainmakerdotfun is building an autonomous AI trading agent for Polymarket
their Backspin+ model is already showing strong results:
→ +50% ROI for users who joined
→ 13 wins in a row right now
→ +$13,400 generated in just one week
but the most interesting part is this:
→ you don't need to build your own model
→ you don't need to spend hours analyzing every match
→ you can simply sign up and have the AI trade for you
AI is starting to move from human predictions to profitable AI trading for you
and tennis might be one of the first places where we see it happen at scale
past performance is not a guarantee of future results
try: [rainmaker.fun/r/korens]
Users have won their 13th in a row now on Rainmaker.
Sakkari won her round one match in straight sets: 6-4, 6-1
Backspin has now generated +$13,380 for our users in one week, with no losses.
All they did was turn it on: rainmaker.fun
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LAVER CUP: RANKINGS FAVOR EUROPE. RECENT TITLES FAVOR WORLD 🎾
Alcaraz and Zverev are both top 3. Europe still leads 5-3 all time. On paper it looks settled.
but World has won 3 of the last 4. Last year in San Francisco it was 15-9.
now Paul and Shelton are out in two weeks, and Nakashima walks in for a debut. that is the part the board has not priced yet.
I am taking World. in this format recent form beats a pretty roster.
I sit on DG3 because I can watch the match and trade the side in the same window, no jumping between the stream and the book → dg3.trade/terminal
Europe leads the Laver Cup 5-3 all time. World has won 3 of the last 4. World also just lost Shelton and Paul in two weeks. Rankings say Europe.
Recent history says World. Who actually wins London?
Trade your opinions, only at DG3!
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