Market Update
$BTC $ETH $SOL & Altcoins
The first major question is not what happens over the next few hours.
The real question is:
Where are we in the overall market structure, and what is the NEXT BIG move?
Based on my analysis, indicators and overall market structure, I am still very convinced that we will most likely test the $90K area on
$BTC.
I already placed a limit short for the Vault around that region.
Hopefully, it gets filled.
Now, one very important point:
When did we actually start this Vault?
We started trading around the 21st/22nd.
That means we started directly inside one of the most boring ranges of the market after many of the major altcoin pumps had already happened.
Before the Vault, I traded several of those larger moves privately:
$SUI: roughly +$200K after being around $70K down at one point.
$TAO: roughly +$150K.
$PEPE: roughly +$60K.
$WLD and several others.
And as always, I mentioned many of those coins long before the actual move happened.
Some entries were almost perfect. Others initially went 10–15% against me before the parabolic move started.
And that is exactly the point.
I am not trying to be the guy who perfectly snipes every bottom and every top.
My biggest strength is seeing the bigger picture, building the right thesis and having enough conviction and risk management to stay in the trade when the thesis is still intact.
That is also why I do not overleverage.
The market does not care what we want.
We can only trade what the market gives us.
And people often completely underestimate how quickly performance can change.
We started this Vault roughly two weeks ago.
One exceptional trading day can outperform weeks or months of boring price action.
The big trades are always somewhere in between.
But you only catch them if you remain rational during the boring periods and stick to your strategy.
My current view
First, I expect
$BTC to potentially push into the $90K region.
After that, I still see a much larger correction as a very realistic scenario, potentially into the $79K–$74K area, which I have already shown several times.
But I will trade the market as it comes.
I do not marry one scenario.
For now, the strategy is simple:
Either the current positions play out and generate profits, or lower prices give us better opportunities to build larger positions.
And if BTC pushes into the area I am watching, we potentially take the short as well.
Best case?
We make money on both sides.
The next major leg is where I believe the real opportunity will come.
That is where sizing, patience and positioning matter.
I normally do not need to explain every single thought behind my trades.
But especially with this new Vault format, I think it is important that you understand how I think, how I approach risk, and why sometimes doing almost nothing is part of the strategy.
Patience first. Size when it matters.
Professor