Excited to dive into our sampling uncertainty bound! one of the two uncertainty bounds (along with the scoring uncertainty bound) architecting our scoring and complementing each other. Sampling uncertainty defers a miner's reward until it has history; scoring uncertainty defers a forecast's weight until it has aged; together they ensure that what a miner is finally paid for is many forecasts judged close to the terminal state. ๐Ÿ‘€

Aug 18, 2026 ยท 8:30 PM UTC

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