Sharing a new piece by me and my colleague
@shuizaiping2 where we took a deep dive into Xi Jinping’s newly released book on the “correct view of political performance”, a compilation of his speeches spanning more than a decade, many of them previously unpublished!
The timing, obviously, is no accident. Ahead of the Two Sessions, Beijing is clearly trying to push a shift beyond GDP worship and redefine what counts as bureaucratic success.
In fact Xi has long been frustrated with his bureacrats. He complained about officials who “rack up a mountain of debt, pat their butts, and walk away,” chasing short-term growth at long-term cost. He is equally frustrated with the cadres’ lack of motivation: “some officials won’t lift a finger until the Central Committee issues a written directive… Are you telling me that if I don’t personally issue a directive, the work just grinds to a halt?!”
So what’s the new, better KPI, according to Xi? Our takeaway: it’s a trilemma.
From Xi’s speeches, good cadres should be expected to deliver 3 things all at once: strict political loyalty / compliance; new + better quality growth through technological upgrading eg “new quality productive forces”; systemic security (avoiding risks + containing those accumulated over the past decade.)
The problem? Each of these priorities makes sense on its own. But together, they create a bureaucratic trilemma in which officials can realistically satisfy only two of the three.
Is there a way to escape the trilemma? We offer some thoughts...