Regarding Bitcoin: • ~$87/88K is Monthly Bollinger Band basis line (and formidable resistance) • An Expanded Flat still in play • In an ongoing Bear market, the “C-Wave” of an expanded flat breaches the “A-wave” and wrong-foot’s late longs. Have a magnificent Monday! 😊

DAY TRADING PLAN ($1K) 1. Account Rules •Account size: $1,000 •Risk per trade: 2% ($20) •Max trades per day: 3 •Max daily loss: 4% ($40) – stop trading 2. Market Preparation (Before Open) •Market bias: Trend-following only •Key news & events: Check economic calendar before open •High-relative-volume stocks: Gappers & strong pre-market movers •Index trend (SPY / QQQ): Above VWAP & 9/20 EMA 3. Trade Setup Criteria •Strategy name: VWAP pullback / Break & Retest •Timeframe: 5M for setup, 1M for entry •Trend direction: Trade only with the trend •Volume confirmation: Volume expansion on entry •Key levels: VWAP, Pre-market high/low, Support & Resistance 4. Entry Plan •Entry trigger: Bullish candle close above VWAP / level •Entry price: At confirmation candle close •Position size: Calculated to risk $20 •Reason for entry: Trend + volume + key level confluence 5. Risk Management •Stop-loss price: Below VWAP / last higher low •Risk amount ($): $20 max •Risk-Reward ratio: 1 : 2 minimum 6. Exit Plan •Partial take-profit: At 1R (sell 50%) •Final target: 2R or next resistance •Trailing stop rule: Trail below higher lows •Exit invalidation rule: Loss of VWAP with volume 7. Trade Management Rules •No revenge trades •No chasing entries •No moving stop-loss wider •Walk away after daily loss 8. Post-Trade Review •Followed plan? Yes / No •Emotion during trade: Calm / Fear / Greed •Mistakes noted: Late entry / Early exit / Overtrading •Lesson learned: Follow the process, not emotions Daily Trading Law Small losses are tuition. Big losses are mistakes. Protect capital. Consistency pays.

86% robustness index. Ranked number one in walk-forward efficiency. Here's the Monday strategy that hit both. The setup: > E-mini NASDAQ. > Bollinger Bands as the point of initiation. > ATR for space, tested at periods 5, 20, and 40. > Day trading, entries any time during the day, exit at end of day. > Restricted to Monday only, since Monday tested as a stronger day of week for this market. The candidate: > First strategy in the in-sample list already stood out. > Strong performance over the most recent three years. The robustness checks: > Neighbor values around the 1.8 ATR multiplier performed similarly well, so it isn't a lucky outlier. > Walk-forward efficiency ranked the 1.8 multiplier as the top scoring parameter. Robustness index: 86%. Recent alignment with the data: 100%. Stop-loss testing: > Adding a stop-loss didn't help. It made results worse. > A wide protective stop was kept anyway, for emergencies. It only triggers about 4.2% of the time. Cross-validation across E-mini Dow Jones, E-mini S&P, and E-mini Russell 2000: > Older history didn't hold up well on those markets. > The last three to four years did, across all of them. That last part matters. This is a recent edge, not a decades-old one. Strong right now, but young. Robust doesn't mean guaranteed. It means the numbers survive being questioned.

A 23-page research paper reveals the number 1 method Hedge Funds use to beat the market: Time Series Momentum This is how: 🧵

Jane Street quant openly shared f*cking deadly hedge fund style combination of hmm + jev. in quant forum he leaked "how to build regime adaptive trading system with hmm + jev. Bookmark this before it's lost.