NFL DFS: WEEK 2
A first look at this weeks 12-game main slate through the lens of StatATL.
BROWNS (16.75) 🟤AT RAVENS (28.25)🟣
🟤I’m not sure it’s going to be sneaky, but this feels like another good spot for Joe Flacco. Coming off 45 pass attempts for 290 yards, in a game I expect the Browns to be chasing, Flacco stands out at just $5k flat.
🟤On the ground, rookie Dylan Sampson saw 20 touches last week, including 8 receptions. Assuming Quinshon Judkins is inactive, Sampson stands out as a potential pairing partner with Flacco and is only $5,200.
🟣On the other side of the ball, Derrick Henry had 182 total yards and 2 TDs in week one, and should continue to be the focal point of this Ravens offense.
🟣Zay Flowers led the way for Baltimore last week and appears poised to take a step forward this season. His price has elevated to $6,200 but I intially like him in lineups built around this being a high scoring affair.
🟤For the Browns, Cedric Tillman and rookie TE Harold Fannin stand out at their modest prices.
JAGUARS (22.5) 😼AT BENGALS (26)🐯
🐯Joe Burrow struggled mightily last week, passing for only 113 yards, however this is a spot that stands out as a strong bounce back spot for the Bengals offense.
😼On the other side of the ball, Trevor Lawrence didn’t have to do much against Carolina last week, but this also sets up well for him in a possible shootout.
😼The Jaguars traded Tank Bigsby (their co-starting RB in week 1), to the Eagles, signaling their confidence in Travis Etienne. At $5,700 and with involvement in the pass game, Etienne is an intriguing option.
🐯On the other side of the ball, Chase Brown wasn’t effective in week 1, but was the only Bengal to receive a carry. His 23 touches certainly keeps in him in early consideration as a strong bet on volume play.
🐯Ja’Marr Chase and Brian Thomas Jr. disappointed in week 1, but both saw a price drop for week 2 in what could be a very friendly fantasy environment.
GIANTS (19.25) 🔵AT COWBOYS (25.25)🤠
🔵The Eagles held A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith to 24 yards on 4 catches last week, which doesn’t bode well for Malik Nabers, especially after how uninspiring Russell Wilson looked in week 1.
🤠CeeDee Lamb is priced as the 2nd most expensive WR on the slate, after converting 13 targets into 110 yards last week. He’s in play every week, but initially I prefer Brian Thomas for less or Ja’Marr Chase for $300 more.
🤠On the ground, Javonte Williams converted 17 touches into 20+ fantasy points, but doesn’t stand out here against an above average Giants D.
BEARS (20.75)🐻 AT LIONS (26.25)🦁
🦁The Lions struggled last week, but Jared Goff historically has fared significantly better indoors. He doesn’t stand out initially here though however.
🐻Caleb Williams started the MNF game on fire, but didn’t do much after an opening drive TD. He’s only $5,400 and his rushing upside is interesting, but a divisional matchup on the road on a short week isn’t appealing.
🦁On the ground, David Montgomery out carried Jahmyr Gibbs in a game they were losing throughout. Gibbs salvaged his day with 10 (!!) receptions, but doesn’t stand out here either.
🐻On the other side of the ball, D'Andre Swift was the only Bears RB to receive a rushing attempt, but only averaged 3 yards a carry. Despite the inefficiency, Swift did see 20 touches and at $5,700 that volume is intriguing.
🐻Through the air, Rome Odunze played 94% of the offensive snaps and saw 9 targets, which aligned with preseason reports that Chicago would try to feature him more. At $4,800, he’s my early favorite play from this game.
PATRIOTS (21) 🟦AT DOLPHINS (22)🐬
🐬After allowing Daniel Jones to look like Joe Montana in his prime on Sunday, the Dolphins welcome Drake Maye to Miami this week.
🟦Maye set a career high for pass attempts (46) last week, while continuing to work in designed runs. At $5,200 he’s probably my favorite pay down option at QB.
🏈While Tua struggled last week, Geno Smith had a big day with 362 passing yards as did Jakobi Meyers (8-97) and Brock Bowers (5-103) against this Patriot defense.
🏈I doubt this matchup will catch the eye of many, but it’s a game environment that stands out to me initially.
🏈Through the air, Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, and Kayshon Boutte are interesting, as is TE Hunter Henry.
49ERS (23.25)⛏️ AT SAINTS (19)🟡
⛏️Big news here is the injury status around the 49ers. SF placed George Kittle on IR Tuesday morning. Jauan Jennings suffered a shoulder injury, but the Niners haven’t released an injury update on his situation yet.
⛏️If Jennings misses or is limited, a rule of at least one of Ricky Pearsall or Christian McCaffrey feels appropriate as I expect the offense to be completed condensed around those two.
🟡On the other side of the ball, Chris Olave is coming off a 12 target game, and saw his price DROP to $4,900. He stands out as a screaming value here as well.
⛏️Jauan Jennings and SF backup TE Jake Tonges are both intriguing pay down options as well.
BILLS (26.25) 🦬AT JETS (20)✈️
✈️If you had to guess which week 2 matchup consisted of the two highest combined scoring teams in week one (with 72 combined points), and you guessed the Jets, then Bravo to you.
✈️After giving up 34 points to Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers, the Jets host Josh Allen this week and this spot stands out for both offenses.
✈️Along with both QBs, Garrett Wilson is initially interesting as Zay Flowers just put up a 7-143-1 line against BUF last week and played on 100% of the offensive snaps.
✈️Breece Hall saw 23 touches last week, and at $6,200 also caught my eye in this spot.
🦬On the Buffalo side, Keon Coleman led the team with 88% of the offensive snaps, and is just $5,100.
SEAHAWKS (18.5) 🟢AT STEELERS (21.5)🟨
🏈Despite Pittsburgh’s success last week, this isn’t an offense or game environment that stands out to me. I would expect both teams to lean on the run, however the nature of each split backfield generates very little interest from me.
🟢The only player of initial interest is Seattle WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba at $6,000. JSN saw 13 targets last week and was the only Seahawk with more than 3 targets. He figures to be heavily involved again this week.
RAMS (23.75) 🐑AT TITANS (18.25)⚔️
🏈A matchup between two defenses that held their week one opponent to 20 or less points, this isn’t a game environment that jumps out to me initially at all.
🐑On the ground, Kyren Williams is at least intriguing as he saw 95% of the teams rush attempts, and the Titans allowed 133 yards and a TD on 22 rushes to the combination of J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey last week.
⚔️Tony Pollard operated as a bell cow back last week, however the Texans RBs only totaled 77 yards on 21 attempts last week against this Rams defense.
🐑Through the air, Puka Nacua converted 11 targets into 130 yards and is a consideration every week, however my favorite player in this game is the LA defense.
PANTHERS (19.25) ⚫️AT CARDINALS (25.75)🔴
🔴Neither QB stands out here as I don’t think we’ll see more than 35 pass attempts out of Arizona in a game they likely control throughout.
🏈On the ground, both James Conner and Chuba Hubbard set up well, but neither scares me at their price.
🔴Through the air, Trey McBride continued where he left off last season as the primary focal point of this pass attack, and saw his price drop to $6k. Initially, he’s my favorite play at the TE position on the slate.
⚫️On the Panthers side of the ball, rookie WR Tet McMillan was the unquestioned top wideout, however Xavier Legette saw 7 targets and is priced at only $3,900. He’s an intriguing punt option at the position.
BRONCOS (22.25) 🟠AT COLTS (20.75)🐴
🏈This may be a battle of top defenses as Denver and Indy held their opponents to a combined 20 points in week one.
🏈Both QBs are fairly priced, but neither jumps out upon first pass.
🐴On the ground, Jonathan Taylor saw 21 touches last week and would be a bet on volume in a tough on paper matchup.
🟠The Broncos absolutely suffocated the pass attack of the Titans last week, leaving my only initial interest in TE Tyler Warren at $4,500.
EAGLES (24) 🦅AT CHIEFS (23)🏹
🏈A matchup of last year’s Super Bowl, both teams come in to this game after shaky week one performances.
🏹The Chiefs looked overmatched against the Chargers and will likely be without both Rashee Rice (suspension) and Xavier Worthy (shoulder).
🏹Coming off 16 (!!!) targets last week, Hollywood Brown should operate as the WR1 and at only $5,200 will likely garner some heavy ownership.
🏹Patrick Mahomes saw his price rise to $6,200, however he’s topped 29 fantasy points only once in his last 45 starts.
🦅The Eagles played a tight game against DAL last week where their offense continued to flow through Saquon Barkley (and Jalen Hurts’ legs) in week one.
🦅Barkley is expensive at $8,000, but of initial interest to me in what will likely be the late game hammer.
Upon first pass, the DST units that stood out to me were:
SF, LAR, NE and CHI
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