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When All Else Fails - Send the MAUL Today we're joined by @Team_Harbaugh to discuss his recent trip to Ukraine. We get into his interviews of Russian POWs, the newest CASEVAC innovations at the front, updates on the resistance behind Russian lines and more.
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"Iran’s foreign minister said Thursday that Tehran had proposed to Washington a seven-day plan to cease hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz and then begin comprehensive talks on his country’s nuclear program." nytimes.com/2026/09/24/world…
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Ukraine's 93rd Brigade released new information about the drone dropped UGVs during Operation Vivaldi.
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Russian state agency RIA Novosti published a commentary titled “Russia faces another special military operation. It will be very short,” focused on Lithuania. The author portrays potential Western nuclear deployments in Lithuania as a threat that could force Moscow to act, argues a military conflict in the Baltics would be brief due to geography, and explicitly raises the possibility of Russia using nuclear-armed missiles without deploying ground forces, calling such an outcome “lightning-fast.” #Lithuania
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Preston Stewart retweeted
I'd encourage everyone to read the Danish military intelligence assessment in full, and not rely on excitable social media upsums. Here is the top line: "The Danish Defence Intelligence Service (DDIS) assesses that Russia will intensify its hybrid war by carrying out more frequent attacks against the West and NATO, with greater consequences for the targeted countries than in the past. This could include destructive cyber attacks that cripple critical societal functions as well as sabotage attacks that carry a high risk of casualties." In other words, Russia will continue doing what it's already doing (terrorist attacks against hard and soft targets, cyberoperations), only more so. This is an uncontroversial assessment across Western intelligence services, so far as I've been able to determine. DDIS continues: "At the same time, there is a low but growing risk that Russia will launch a limited military attack against one or several NATO countries bordering Russia....Such a limited military attack could take the form of isolated strikes with long‑range weapons on infrastructure that is vital to the support to Ukraine. In this situation, Russia might then claim that the weapons only struck NATO territory because they were jammed by Ukraine. It could also be a so-called false flag operation, where Russia uses Ukrainian‑made drones to attack a NATO country." The scenario envisaged here (a low but growing risk) is a plausibly deniable conventional attack by Russia. The objective would be twofold. First, to sow panic and confusion in the targeted country or countries, and encourage skepticism of the official government version of what just happened. "Maybe it was the Ukrainians." "Maybe it was an accident." "Maybe no attack took place and the deep state is trying to foment World War III." Thirty seconds on this hellsite should be enough to convince you that counterfactual narratives would be easy enough to amplify, especially in countries with elections forthcoming. A "limited military attack" psychologically would just be a heightened form of "hybrid" war because it's designed to overwhelm and demoralize the population and make its think that supporting Ukraine just isn't worth it since those not at war are now liable to become collateral damage. The second objective of such an attack would be to gauge NATO's response to it -- and this is key bit, because, as DDIS also states: "Russia will likely carry out military attacks only if it assesses that such attacks will not result in a war by triggering a collective NATO military response. However, Russia is likely uncertain about what could trigger such a war. Consequently, there is a risk that Russia assesses that the NATO countries will not respond collectively, especially if Russia assesses that the United States cannot or will not support the European NATO countries in a potential war against Russia." (Italics added.) You wouldn't be wrong to detect a hint of political messaging here. (All intel services deny they do any such thing but they all do.) This is Denmark, a country that just stared down a possible U.S. invasion and annexation of Greenland, which would have meant the disintegration of NATO. Trump has spent his entire second term (and much of his first term) doubting the Inviolability of Article V. His Pentagon has given NATO allies questionnaires to fill out to prove their worthiness as allies, while it undergoes a force posture review with ominous media leaks about what Bridge Colby and his minion might do (25,000 U.S. troops withdrawn, a scuppered U.S. base in Poland, etc.) Now comes a frenzy of intelligence reporting across Europe about a possible Russian attack on NATO, all kickstarted by a CIA briefing delivered to the Poles, Scandinavians and Balts months ago with a warning that they're probably on their own if and when such an attack happens. Never let a good crisis go to waste... Russia isn't sure what would trigger a war with NATO, so how might NATO make it sure? A "limited military attack" can be deterred if Washington telegraphs its intent to enforce Article V in word and deed by stating clearly and repeatedly what would constitute a casus belli in 2026 and, of course, by keeping U.S. troops in Europe.
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"while not a single national vote during Putin’s 26-year rule has been assessed by international observers as free and fair, the sham parliamentary “election” that took place this past weekend has set the record not only as the most unfree but also as the most illegitimate in the modern history of Russia." wapo.st/4AKszHs
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-1,300 shipments of dual-use components that can be used in drones or missiles -Helping Iran to bypass sanctions -Providing satellite imagery for strikes that killed US Soldiers China continues to play a major role in the Iran war wsj.com/politics/china-iran-…
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"Well, the war is winding down. Economically and demographically, Ukraine is exhausted. And so is the Russian Federation. But a ceasefire (if Russia accepts it) will also mean that no "denazification" or "demilitarization" has been achieved. And NATO has not retreated to the borders of 1997, but has moved closer to the Russian Federation (Sweden and Finland). And Ukraine is becoming, de facto if not formally, a forward base for this bloc. Let's see how our leadership reacts to this proposal. Because a protracted war and mobilization of reserves could ruin everything for us." -Russian milblogger Maxim Kalashnikov
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Preston Stewart retweeted
1/ The Russian Ministry of Defence is being called out by Russian warbloggers for exaggerating claims about Ukrainian troops being surrounded in 'cauldrons'. Multiple such encirclements simply don't exist, says Russian journalist Yuri Kotenok. ⬇️
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Preston Stewart retweeted
Ukraine's middle strike campaign has faded from the headlines since the days of the "logistics lockdown," but this domain remains key for the front line. Despite Russian countermeasures, Ukraine's best drone units are keeping the pressure on. My story: kyivindependent.com/inside-t…
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Our campaign has delivered 27 vehicles so far this year! Incredible work everyone! Been an honor to do this alongside all of you🫡
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Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov has since stated that Russia will not pause fighting during negotiations. *there are no negotiations scheduled at this time
Ukraine calls for an immediate and unconditional ceasefire to begin negotiations with Russia.
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Russian mobile counter-drone team caught looking the wrong way by @umftteam
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Source video:
Targeting enemy logistics in the temporarily occupied Donbas. #signum #fpvdrone #warinukraine🇺🇦 #зсу
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In our chat yesterday with @Team_Harbaugh, he mentioned a memorial video the 1st Separate Medical Battalion put together for their MAUL that conducted the most casualty evacuations. Here it is.
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Ukraine calls for an immediate and unconditional ceasefire to begin negotiations with Russia.
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Happy to be working with @Havoc_Six and @dzygaspaw here. Much needed equipment for 3rd Assault Brigade’s anti-drone unit dzygaspaw.com/full-charge-fo…
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