East Asia IR, China's rise, grand strategy, apology-ology. @dartmouth @ChathamHouse @HarvardUSJapan Editor of blueblaze.substack.com
New Hampshire, USA
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China is now a top-10 global innovator and spends over $500bn a year on R&D.
So much for “autocracies can’t innovate.”
How did we get this so wrong? Autocracy 2.0.
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smart thread by Ryan on changing US views of China: the start of a great conversation about its causes. Other factors perhaps: increased value of stable ties with China (esp climate, Russia) & a notable shift in US views about going to war w China over Taiwan
1/ Polling by different organizations captures a shift in America's national mood toward China. The shift toward a more positive view of China is bipartisan and most pronounced among younger Americans. But why? (🧵)
nytimes.com/2026/09/23/us/po…
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Jennifer Lind retweeted
The US and China both face serious domestic strains. As Trump and Xi meet this week to discuss trade, AI and Taiwan, neither side should mistake the other’s weaknesses for strategic decline, writes @profLind (@CH_Americas)
bit.ly/4drc6Oc
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Dysfunction is not decline.
China and the US each have profound weaknessees, but also significant power. See my essay on why Trump and Xi shouldn't underestimate each other, @ChathamHouse
chathamhouse.org/2026/09/tru…
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A real debate over the future of national security policy is underway in the United States.
At Blue Blaze, Daryl Press and I lay it out and explore its implications for America's policy in Europe. blueblaze.substack.com/p/eur…
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In this week’s Blue Blaze, @JyShapiro evaluates the notorious Obama red line, and its implications about US credibility blueblaze.substack.com/p/the…
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Jennifer Lind retweeted
“A security strategy based on a bluff will feel like a bargain until the moment it is challenged,” write @profLind and Daryl Press. “It is better to bolster deterrence today before a military crisis erupts.”
foreignaffairs.com/united-st…
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A fascinating interview—on oil and dollar dominance, on the carbon vs green economies, and how all of this connects to geopolitics. Check it out!
Did an interesting interview with Jen Lind on her Blue Blaze foreign policy substack wondering if IR theory is better than useless and maybe there's more to Trump than randomness. Enjoy, if that's your bag: blueblaze.substack.com/p/bur…
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Jennifer Lind retweeted
Opportunity: My three recent articles in Foreign Policy magazine dealing with the US and world order are open access this week:
"The World-Minus-One Moment,” January 2026, (Cover Story) foreignpolicy.com/2026/01/05…
“Trump Is Shattering the Illusion of the West,” June 12, 2026, foreignpolicy.com/2026/06/12…
“Pharaohs, Maharajas, and the Making of a Multipolar World: Examples from non-Western history offer more promising precedents for the end of U.S. hegemony,” July 25, 2025, foreignpolicy.com/2025/07/25…
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Jennifer Lind retweeted
"Leadership isn't about hoarding technology, it's about building the ecosystem the rest of the world chooses to join."
Missed our event? Check it out here!
Keeping American AI Competitive in the Face of Chinese Competition
Moderator: Our @neil_chilson
@peteryared – CEO, @incountry
@profLind – Professor, @dartmouth
@CarlMeacham – Head of Sovereign AI, @get_hydrahost
Full event link in next tweet.
"What does good look like? ... Countries across Latin America, the Middle East, Europe, Africa, and Asia, building sovereign AI capacity, but with American technology. That's what good looks like. Local ownership, trusted infrastructure, and hardware, and their governance, right? But with American technology"
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Join our panel on allied proliferation at 11:20 EST
Watch our conference live:
“Nuclear Proliferation in US Grand Strategy.”
Join us for a day-long conference with leading experts on the carrots and sticks of US policy and whether they will remain effective at acceptable cost to Americans.
Featuring:
🔹Cato’s @JustinTLogan, @GiltnerBen, and Evan Sankey
🔹@carnegienpp's @james_acton32
🔹@Heritage's @RealBobPeters
🔹@Columbia's @RichardMNephew
🔹@CSIS's @AstridChevreuil
🔹@dartmouth's @profLind
🔹@NTI_WMD's @BrewerEricM
🔹@MIT_SSP's Austin Long
🔹@PAX_sapiens's Jon Wolfsthal
🔹 @CSRisks's Mallory Stewart
nitter.net/i/broadcasts/1OGwbbVwy…
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New @ForeignAffairs w Daryl Press: The US nuclear umbrella has become a dangerous bluff. The Cold War's global stakes made "trade Boston for Bonn" (barely) credible. Today's regional wars + "America First" don't. Time to help allies strengthen deterrence. foreignaffairs.com/guest-pas…
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Of course Washington would prefer the status quo to any nuc proliferation. But a) ultimately it's the allies' decision about their core security needs; and b) on the other side of the ledger is an increased risk of nuclear war.
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The nuclear umbrella was a smart, audacious strategy built for the unique stakes of the Cold War. That era is over. The U.S. should refashion deterrence for the world as it is—not as it was. Full piece in @ForeignAffairs: foreignaffairs.com/guest-pas…
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