The market tells you the move hidden inside the VIX every morning. Most traders never look.
The VIX is one number that shows how much
$SPX options are priced to swing.
At 15.27, it quietly says SPX should move about 75.1 points today, up or down.
Same chart. Same VIX. Two traders reading it two different ways.
The edge isn't a gut feeling. It isn't a hot tip. It's turning one number into points.
Here's the full breakdown 👇
The conversion most traders skip:
→ Take the VIX and divide it by 15.87.
→ 15.27 / 15.87 = 0.96% a day.
→ Apply that to the close and you get the priced move, the size of move options are paying for today.
7,805.45 x 15.27% / 15.87 = 75.1 points
The lines to mark before the open:
1. Priced range: 7,730 to 7,881.
2. Halfway lines: 7,768 and 7,843.
3. Modeled floor at 7,765, the big put strike where buying tends to show up.
4. Modeled ceiling at 7,845, the big call strike where selling tends to show up.
How to use it on your next trade:
→ A strike past 7,881 needs more than the whole priced move just to be reached.
→ The floor and ceiling sit right by the halfway lines, so the middle of the range may get sticky.
→ This week is priced at plus or minus 167.9 points, so one day is only part of the story.
Tomorrow the VIX prints a new number, and every line on your chart moves with it.
I put the VIX-to-points conversion sheet into a playbook.
Follow me (I can only send it to followers) and comment "VOL" below, and I'll send it to you.