🚨 SIX YEARS LATER, THE BMJ HAS CONFIRMED THE CORE OF MY 2020 WARNING. Before the first COVID shot, I warned that FDA’s own safety watchlist made post-market surveillance critical. Now The BMJ reports the system MASKED safety signals—and failed to flag myocarditis. The warning came first. 🧵👇

Sep 21, 2026 · 2:47 AM UTC

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2/This was not a theoretical software glitch. The problem was called “masking.” Because Pfizer and Moderna reports flooded the same database, each vaccine could distort the statistical background used to evaluate the other. A genuine safety signal could be pushed below the alert threshold.
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3/ That happened with myocarditis. By mid-2021, other evidence was already showing an extraordinary concentration of myocarditis reports in young males. Yet FDA’s Bayesian system still produced no alert. A CDC official reportedly wrote: “I’m perplexed that myocarditis isn’t alerting.”
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4/ An FDA medical officer, Ana Szarfman, working with statistician William DuMouchel — one of the architects of the Bayesian methodology itself — warned that the system was missing signals. They developed an alternative analysis. It found signals the official method did not.
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5/And according to The BMJ, officials did not adopt the proposed correction. Instead, the government continued relying on a system it had been warned could suppress signals — while the absence of those signals was still being used to reassure the public. Read that again.
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6/ Now rewind. December 7, 2020. Before the first American received a COVID shot, I published FDA’s own internal safety-surveillance list. It included: • myocarditis/pericarditis • Guillain-Barré syndrome • thrombocytopenia • thromboembolism • death • other serious outcomes greenmedinfo.com/content/cov…
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7/ My warning was simple: These were not proven injuries. They were outcomes FDA itself believed had to be watched after rollout. Which meant one thing: Post-market surveillance was not optional. It was the safety net.
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8/ Two days later, PolitiFact rated my article “Mostly False.” My reporting was also swept into Facebook’s misinformation-enforcement ecosystem. The reason? The FDA list represented possible outcomes to monitor — not harms already proven to be caused by the vaccines. That distinction was fair. But the conclusion was premature. politifact.com/factchecks/20…
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9/pericarditis — was later recognized as causally associated with mRNA vaccination. And now The BMJ tells us something even more consequential: the government’s own detection system failed to alert for it. FDA put myocarditis on the watchlist. I warned surveillance would be critical. The warning was labeled misinformation. The surveillance system failed to flag myocarditis. The risk was later confirmed.
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10/ So the chronology is now impossible to ignore: FDA put myocarditis on the watchlist. I warned surveillance would be critical. The warning was labeled misinformation. The surveillance system failed to flag myocarditis. The risk was later confirmed.
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11/And there is another layer. Internal records later showed officials worrying that safety caution could be “damaging to public confidence.” sayerji.substack.com/p/damag… Meta documents also recorded pressure concerning even true information about vaccine side effects. So this was not just a detection problem. It became an information problem.
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12/ This is the part of history that deserves to be revisited. I am not claiming every VAERS report was causal or every item on FDA’s list became a vaccine injury. I am saying something narrower — and far harder to dismiss: The uncertainty was real. The warning was legitimate. The safety net could miss signals. Officials knew it. And six years later, The BMJ has put that record in black and white. Full investigation: sayerji.substack.com/p/i-sou…
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13/ They called us the “Disinformation Dozen." Six years later, the deeper lesson is clear: Some of what was branded “misinformation” was actually MISSING INFORMATION — safety signals, uncertainties, and questions the official system had not yet resolved. Members of the targeted group took the fight to court. The case ended on procedural grounds before the underlying evidence was reached. Now Restore the First preserves that record and maps the questions Congress can address next. Read the record. See the proposals. Decide for yourself what should happen next: restorethe1st.com/ @mercola @RobertKennedyJr @TyCharleneB @BusyDrT @RizzaIslam @DrButtar @unhealthytruth @sayerjigmi @kellybroganmd @DrChrisNorthrup @DrBenTapper1 @kevdjenkins1 They called it misinformation. History is revealing how much was missing information. Millions more you spoke up, were censored, and still have had to remedy afforded to you. You can change that today. Act now at restorethe1st.com/
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Sort replies: Relevant Recent Liked
Replying to @sayerjigmi
You warned a terrorist organization not to be one? What do you expect from the FDA except terror of the medical and pharmaceutical kind?
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Replying to @sayerjigmi
By safety signals, I assume you mean danger signals.
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Replying to @sayerjigmi
That’s a longwinded thread of anti-vax gibberish 🤣🤣
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Replying to @sayerjigmi
We have 4 main vax surveillance systems in the US.
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Replying to @sayerjigmi
Maybe they are trying to cover ( mask) their butts now. As if that would remedy the distrust the citizens have toward medicine, and medical journals. Some things you just can’t “ fix.” Trust is one of those. Thank you for posting truth. 🏆
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Replying to @sayerjigmi
This was all planned. Just say it.
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Replying to @sayerjigmi
I tried to warn the world April 2020
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Replying to @sayerjigmi
👀👀👀
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Replying to @sayerjigmi
Software made by ? Updated previously by ?
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Replying to @sayerjigmi
↓
The problem arose because, in the first year of the rollout, almost all the reports coming into VAERS—more than 90% of 1.1 million—were for the mRNA covid shots, dwarfing vaccines for all other diseases.4 This meant that analysing the safety of one vaccine, for example Pfizer’s product, involved comparing it to other vaccines, which were overwhelmingly limited to Moderna’s product. But if both mRNA vaccines elevated the risk of an adverse event like myocarditis in roughly equal amounts, the “observed” frequency and “expected” frequency would be similar, resulting in no automated alert.5 The statistical phenomenon is known as “masking.” (This is from the article). The article posted however is missing important context. The PRR used for comparison is a method that the whistleblower Szarfman et al. themselves describe in their own paper as being vulnerable to false positives, while the method she proposed as the primary one is RGPS. link.springer.com/article/10… The same paper explicitly states that VAERS analyses, including both PRR and the improved methods, are for exploratory hypothesis generation. link.springer.com/article/10… The article states that the VSD, which authorities trust, did not detect a signal as of August 2021 (using the official threshold for all ages), but in the 12–39 age group within 0–7 days post-vaccination, there was a highly significant difference with P<0.001, of this signal however determinant effects were seen to be negligible in all but the 12-39 bracket in 2021. In my other responses I was careful to avoid using papers hinged upon US collected data exclusively, hence only two CDC links appear in my prior responses. I have checked against my prior sources, they did not use the mined data discussed in this article. jamanetwork.com/journals/jam… This in TLDR format: Paper is essentially saying the overuse of the VAERS system lead to a deluge of reports on Pfizer and Moderna vaccines, both of which being mRNA vaccines. These were then compared to ALL other vaccines on VAERS (of which none are mRNA) or to each other (similar vaccines) resulting in the mathematical challenge of balancing our abnormal results from a large, unvetted and not-causal database of incidents. For example, the icy road death and gunshot wound were invariably used in statistics and analytical methodologies were applied to the data to disseminate these types of reports en masse (since it was impossible to go through and vet each individual self submitted report). This in theory could have led to a genuine signal of actual side effects being cast aside in the name of statistical purification. It is also important to note other countries did NOT utilize this approach for data collection, and hence other cohort studies (including US studies post 2022) hence remain unaffected by this. It was a big oversight issue for sure, but the phenomena itself is not a new thing and it was possible to annotate even that flawed data for hidden signals, the main regulatory agencies in the US didn't. That doesn't mean study others did not though. Most of the things attached prior in the thread I have checked and they did not utilize this data. Other countries’ active surveillance systems and later U.S. cohort studies (VSD after mid-2021, Nordic registries, England’s 40-million-person analyses, etc.) did not rely on that early VAERS mining algorithm and still found a myocarditis signal after mRNA vaccination that was smaller than the signal after infection itself. The BMJ article documents a genuine process failure in one U.S. signaling tool; it does not by itself invalidate the later, independent evidence.
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