🚨 SIX YEARS LATER, THE BMJ HAS CONFIRMED THE CORE OF MY 2020 WARNING.
Before the first COVID shot, I warned that FDA’s own safety watchlist made post-market surveillance critical.
Now The BMJ reports the system MASKED safety signals—and failed to flag myocarditis.
The warning came first. 🧵👇
Sep 21, 2026 · 2:47 AM UTC
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2/This was not a theoretical software glitch.
The problem was called “masking.”
Because Pfizer and Moderna reports flooded the same database, each vaccine could distort the statistical background used to evaluate the other.
A genuine safety signal could be pushed below the alert threshold.
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3/ That happened with myocarditis.
By mid-2021, other evidence was already showing an extraordinary concentration of myocarditis reports in young males.
Yet FDA’s Bayesian system still produced no alert.
A CDC official reportedly wrote: “I’m perplexed that myocarditis isn’t alerting.”
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4/ An FDA medical officer, Ana Szarfman, working with statistician William DuMouchel — one of the architects of the Bayesian methodology itself — warned that the system was missing signals.
They developed an alternative analysis.
It found signals the official method did not.
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5/And according to The BMJ, officials did not adopt the proposed correction.
Instead, the government continued relying on a system it had been warned could suppress signals — while the absence of those signals was still being used to reassure the public.
Read that again.
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6/ Now rewind.
December 7, 2020.
Before the first American received a COVID shot, I published FDA’s own internal safety-surveillance list.
It included:
• myocarditis/pericarditis
• Guillain-Barré syndrome
• thrombocytopenia
• thromboembolism
• death
• other serious outcomes
greenmedinfo.com/content/cov…
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7/ My warning was simple:
These were not proven injuries.
They were outcomes FDA itself believed had to be watched after rollout.
Which meant one thing:
Post-market surveillance was not optional. It was the safety net.
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8/ Two days later, PolitiFact rated my article “Mostly False.”
My reporting was also swept into Facebook’s misinformation-enforcement ecosystem.
The reason?
The FDA list represented possible outcomes to monitor — not harms already proven to be caused by the vaccines.
That distinction was fair.
But the conclusion was premature.
politifact.com/factchecks/20…
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9/pericarditis — was later recognized as causally associated with mRNA vaccination.
And now The BMJ tells us something even more consequential:
the government’s own detection system failed to alert for it.
FDA put myocarditis on the watchlist.
I warned surveillance would be critical.
The warning was labeled misinformation.
The surveillance system failed to flag myocarditis.
The risk was later confirmed.
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10/ So the chronology is now impossible to ignore:
FDA put myocarditis on the watchlist.
I warned surveillance would be critical.
The warning was labeled misinformation.
The surveillance system failed to flag myocarditis.
The risk was later confirmed.
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11/And there is another layer.
Internal records later showed officials worrying that safety caution could be “damaging to public confidence.” sayerji.substack.com/p/damag…
Meta documents also recorded pressure concerning even true information about vaccine side effects.
So this was not just a detection problem.
It became an information problem.
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12/ This is the part of history that deserves to be revisited.
I am not claiming every VAERS report was causal or every item on FDA’s list became a vaccine injury.
I am saying something narrower — and far harder to dismiss:
The uncertainty was real.
The warning was legitimate.
The safety net could miss signals.
Officials knew it.
And six years later, The BMJ has put that record in black and white.
Full investigation:
sayerji.substack.com/p/i-sou…
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13/ They called us the “Disinformation Dozen."
Six years later, the deeper lesson is clear:
Some of what was branded “misinformation” was actually MISSING INFORMATION — safety signals, uncertainties, and questions the official system had not yet resolved.
Members of the targeted group took the fight to court. The case ended on procedural grounds before the underlying evidence was reached.
Now Restore the First preserves that record and maps the questions Congress can address next.
Read the record. See the proposals. Decide for yourself what should happen next:
restorethe1st.com/
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They called it misinformation. History is revealing how much was missing information. Millions more you spoke up, were censored, and still have had to remedy afforded to you. You can change that today. Act now at restorethe1st.com/
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