Fifty-nine days. That is how long the paper lasted.
On 7 August, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Türkiye signed a defence pact in Mecca. An attack on one would be an attack on all. No enemy named. No force sent.
The water moved first. On 20 July the Houthis declared Bab el-Mandeb closed to Saudi-linked ships. The strait did not stop. It thinned: about 26 commodity ships a day by mid-September, against about 70 before the Red Sea crisis.
Then the coast, and the capital. Mocha taken in September. A missile at Riyadh on the 19th. On 5 October the three capitals invoked the pact, named a Pakistani general as secretary-general, and ordered the agreed forces to deploy — under each country’s own law. They did not name the Houthis. They did not mention Mocha.
The same night told two stories. The government said Mocha had fallen. A Houthi officer called that premature. Other government sources said the troops had only reached the outskirts. The Houthis claimed the airport and a refinery. Those are claims.
The institutional fact is real. The force is not yet visible. Pakistan is the only nuclear-armed state in the trio. Türkiye is not. The order has been given. The hardstands are still empty.
What would settle it is not another statement. It is a unit, on the ground, that was not there on Sunday.
Frames are reconstructions, not news footage. The line is the record.