Three weeks ago, I was sitting in the drawing room of the holiday rental my family always gets in July in Frinton-on-Sea (St Tropez of the UK).
It was midnight and as my grandparents were snoring loudly next to me; my phone suddenly buzzed. It was legendary investor,
@shardul_shah @IndexVentures.
As much as I love Shardul, it is rare for him to send me a deal and so when he does, I pay attention.
Shardul was sharing
@simile_ai with me, suggesting I meet
@joon_s_pk. He spoke of all the companies he has backed, their growth being unparalleled. Given the man did Wiz, that really excited me!
I asked for the intro, and 60 mins later, at 1 AM UK time, I was on a call with Joon. Straight away, it was clear he was one of the most unique talents I had met; an ability to be world-class in two seemingly opposing skills: creativity and scientific rigour. The man was a painter before becoming world class AI mind! Wow.
I committed to invest on the call. Why? Joon is obviously insanely special. Second, I care deeply about upside. If this works, what could this be? If this works, it will change marketing forever. It will change stock markets forever. It will change human decision-making in general. Insane.
I had to be a part of it and so I gave Joon a boatload of cash and asked if I could summarise the notes from our conversation below. (Links in comments)
Huge thanks to
@BennettSiegel @ninaachadjian @kevinhartz @BryanOffutt @karpathy for amazing thoughts, questions and feedback here.
1. The Question to Ask When Assessing Talent
The best way to evaluate talent is to look for consistent performance across multiple stages of a career, not impressive titles. Ask one question: Were they the common denominator behind every success? Exceptional operators repeatedly create great outcomes across different roles, demonstrating rare ownership and adaptability.
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@kevinhartz you are one of the single best talent spotters in tech. What is the single biggest commonality in the best founders you have worked with?
2. The Sign of Truly Great Talent
Exceptional talent combines traits that rarely coexist. While most people have correlated strengths, world-class builders embrace cognitive tension. They are short-term paranoid but long-term optimisticāobsessing over daily execution while maintaining unwavering conviction in the bigger picture.
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@dannyrimer you also have an immense love of art. How has art impacted your view on company building and entrepreneurship?
3. People Will Pay $100 Million for a Single Simulation
AI will enable simulations so valuable that companies will spend tens of millions on a single run. A simulation may cost $20 million in compute, but if it prevents a $500 million product failure, paying $100 million becomes an extraordinary bargain.
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@GavinSBaker does this align to your views on specialised intelligence?
4. Why Simulation Requires Modeling Human Bias, Not Perfect Logic
Frontier labs are racing to build the āCPU of intelligenceā optimized for perfect reasoning. The bigger commercial opportunity may be the āGPU of intelligenceā: models that replicate human judgment, bias, and imperfect decision-making to simulate complex real-world markets at scale.
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@ml_angelopoulos how does the role of evaluations change in this world?