Fulham v Chelsea
J. Brooks takes the whistle. Across his last 9 Chelsea matches one number averages 5.3. His last 10 overall sit at 4.5 and 18 fouls per game, rated consistent by our model.
Fulham have cleared the same threshold in 8 straight home matches, never once dipping below it. Chelsea are trending at 4.6 per game over their last five.
Referee history, home form, away form. Three separate signals from three separate datasets, all pointing the same direction.
The match writes itself. Tell me what breaks the pattern.