There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics. @Kalshi partner.
Few statistical phrases are repeated more often than: “Correlation does not imply causation.” People say it constantly. Usually to sound careful. Sometimes to dismiss data entirely. But here’s the
The average person doesn’t exist. That sounds philosophical. It’s actually statistical. We use averages to simplify the world. But in doing so, we often misunderstand it. The problem with “average”
We like to believe the world is chaotic. Unpredictable. Random. Out of control. But zoom out - and a different picture emerges. One that is quieter, more structured, and harder to notice: The world is
“69% of All Statistics Are Made Up.” Including this one. You’ve seen the quote before. “73% of people prefer…” “92% of success comes from…” “80% of statistics are misleading…” The numbers always
We like to think our lives are made of experiences, emotions, and stories. But beneath every story is a number. How long it lasted. How often it happened. How likely it is to happen again. Strip away
Every day, thousands of people blame the X algorithm for their lack of growth. They say it’s unpredictable. They say it’s unfair. They say it stopped rewarding good content. Almost none of them are
As we close out 2024, it's easy to focus on the year's challenges, but there were numerous positive developments that might not have made the front page. Here's a roundup of some of those heartening
