If price followed earnings, nobody could ever sell you a stock.
Adobe posted record revenue in each quarter this year. The stock is 34% off its high.
AppLovin grew revenue 53%. The stock got cut in half.
If price tracked fundamentals, both would sit at highs. They can't.
A stock trades on what buyers expect next. By the time the number prints, that expectation is already in the price.
Earnings come out four times a year. Price moves every second. Fear, greed and positioning fill the gap.
And if price moved in lockstep with the numbers, nobody would ever sell you a share. Every trade needs someone who believes the opposite at that exact price.
The best headlines show up near the top of wave 5. The worst ones in wave C. The news follows the waves.
I chart the crowd. The balance sheet tells me what to own, the waves tell me when.