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BTC is up 5.8%, but the bigger moves are elsewhere: kPEPE +23.8%, SUI +20.5% and DOGE +11.9%.
Which one are you watching? cipher.gg
119
England–Spain, Serbia–Greece and Netherlands–Germany are all wide open. No team is priced above 42.2%, with draws sitting between 24.2% and 28.8%.
Where’s the upset? cipher.gg
106
Arsenal’s title probability has climbed to 56.0%, with Manchester City up to 29.9%. Chelsea have moved the other way, falling from 10.1% to 5.3%.
Are Arsenal already pulling away? cipher.gg
113
The Madrid derby is closer than the favourite suggests. Real are at 48.9%, while Atlético and the draw are separated by less than two points.
Can Atlético close the gap? cipher.gg
110
The market has nearly doubled HYPE’s chance of touching $100 — from 23.4% last week to 45.6% now.
Is $100 next? cipher.gg
97
The Manchester derby is closer than the league table might suggest. City lead at 46.1%, with United at 29.8% and the draw at 24.4%.
Can United overturn the market? cipher.gg
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The market now gives the Fed an 81.2% chance of raising rates on September 16, up from 48.4% four days ago. No change has dropped to 17.9%.
Does the Fed follow the market? cipher.gg
105
Four AI tokens, four double-digit moves. TAO leads at +14.4%, with WLD, ICP and TIA all gaining more than 12% in 24 hours.
Which one are you watching? cipher.gg
1
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HYPE is trading at $87.43, just 2.9% below $90. The market now gives it an 87.7% chance of touching that level before October, up from 75.8% two days ago.
Does it get there? cipher.gg
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Arsenal are priced at 50.9% to win the Premier League. Manchester City sit at 25.2% — almost exactly half Arsenal’s price.
Do Arsenal justify the gap? cipher.gg
2
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Just 2.8 percentage points separate the top five Champions League contenders. Barcelona lead at 17.6%, followed by PSG, Arsenal, Bayern Munich and Real Madrid.
Who takes it? cipher.gg
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BTC needs another 6.8% to touch $85K by October 1. The market has it priced as a coin flip.
Which side are you taking? cipher.gg
97
HYPE was the only one still above the line. Not anymore. 63.5% YES flipped to 84.8% NO — fell 1.5% below $80.683 with 6h left.
Back your pick. cipher.gg
1
128
BTC went from 84% YES to 1.5% YES. The market flipped hard — $2,324 below the $80,762 line with 6h left.
Your call. cipher.gg
1
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HYPE climbed from $59 to $74 — a 26% recovery in days. 64.5% of the market says it holds above $73.066 through expiry.
Back your pick. cipher.gg
139
BTC ran from $63k to $77k in days. Now 83.9% of the market says it holds above $75,446 through Aug 22 — with a $2,447 cushion.
Your call. cipher.gg
112
78% conviction on HYPE > $58.67 with a 1.57% buffer. The market's made its mind up.
Who you got? cipher.gg
126
Bitcoin clawed back $621 in a single session — sitting $235 above the $63,488 threshold. 66.5% of the market says it sticks through Aug 18 expiry.
What do you think? cipher.gg
115
The market's at 76% YES for HYPE > $57.24 — and with $58.14 on the spot, there's a 1.57% buffer. Not much room for error with hours left.
Who you got? cipher.gg
1
121
SOL's up 2.4% but the binary market still says 70% NO. $75.80 spot, $76.29 threshold. The price is moving but the prediction market isn't following.
Eyes on SOL. cipher.gg
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