New Book: The 2026 American Midterms 🇺🇸
Trump Is Not on the Ballot: Forecasts, Markets, and What They Missed
By
@newsightlabsjay, NewSight Labs
Now available on Amazon:
a.co/d/0iSs7rQR
Trump's name won't appear on a single ballot this November. Still, almost every race is being read as a vote on him. Pollsters, political scientists, and prediction markets all have a view on what that means, and they don't agree.
Jay compares those three signals side by side, using:
- 90 days of on-the-ground reporting
- Interviews with nine political scientists and a Dallas County candidate
- Data from three prediction markets
It shows where the signals line up, where they break apart, and what that gap tells us about how elections are really read.
The book follows one idea: a single number never tells the full story. That's how we build NewSight.
Most prediction markets ask one YES/NO question. But NewSight follows the whole event, how it develops, what could happen next, and how the market reacts at each step.
This is Book 2 of the Election Intelligence Series. Book 1 is held in the collections of Chung-Ang University, ASSIST University, and Stony Brook University.
Get your copy today:
a.co/d/0iSs7rQR