I don't update this very often, because it can actually change pretty rapidly...
But I do understand people like to have an idea.
My largest holding is
$FRSPF (21+%). This started as a much smaller holding that has grown really well with the overall energy thesis. The company sits at the apex of my bullish oil thesis...it's debt free, sits on govt cash, as well as a pile of its own, its vertically integrated, produces batteries, and its supply is some of the rarest of its kind. Frankly, I wish I could find more companies that were basically a bottleneck for the commodity/energry/EV/Battery narrative that were as well positioned as this one. It also sits inside its customers market so there is very little geopolitical risk here. (US might take over Canada but given Canada's lack of a
#2A or military that would take about 5 seconds and the real market for phosphate is in the US anyway)
My second largest holding is
$MLPNF (15-18%). I've got some of this spread across accounts so calculating exact % is time consuming and doesnt benefit me really...so I don't do it(sorry not sorry). Really similar to FRSPF though... great cash position, world class asset, primo location for dispersing to its market, govt support, high demand and low supply with supply constrained by geopolitical tensions/war.
#3&4 are
$WTI and
$SM probably fit somewhere like 12-15% combined? They are more pure play related to the specific SoH/BAM issues as they are US producers/exporers.
$WTI has a nice setup for a short squeeze and the longer term chart is breaking out,
$SM had recent M&A activity that is going to really bode well as oil stays higher for longer.
$SM is the largest component of
$XOP, which I figure might have the most bullish chart of any ETF out there. (a bull pennant inside a bull flag thats inside an inverse head and shoulders pattern spanning decades)
The next part of my portfolio is a lot more evenly sliced but generally is going to be somewhere around 5-8% for the top names here and as low as half a percent for the ones at the bottom of the list.
I'm a strong believer that higher oil(30% of supply is offline) is going to lead to higher alternatives like gas, coal, solar, uranium... and that people are going to want to store that high value energy in batteries.... and that the high energy prices are also going to drive yield demand from farmers who will seek ferts as the only real way to drive yield to offset the higher costs of land(data centers, subdivisions, and solar farms are gobbling it up), energy and labor.
I'm heavily invested in US/North American assets and things that are far away from the SoH/BAM issues. Nationalism is on the rise and it seems prudent to hold companies who are exploring, developing, or producing real assets inside safe jurisdictions.
Tech looks toppy, but I do hold some names like
$INV or
$SMR that are really geared toward data centers, and I like
$ENPH for solar/battery...although my preference for batteries lies within lithium, nickel, copper, and phosphate production. Wildfires and high oil prices are good for lumber. I do own one platinum spec play in case I'm wrong about precious metals.
$SOUTF
$NILIF
$APCOF
$AKEMF
$USCUF
$ENPH
$MYRUF
$INV
$BRWXF
$PTALF
$WFSTF
$DLPRF
$CYDVF
$SMR
$GRO
$CLRMF
$CRECF
$KTOS
$LAC