🚨 THE BOND MARKET IS STARTING TO TELL A MUCH BIGGER STORY. The U.S. 10-year just pushed above 5.13%, the 30-year is around 5.4%, and the curve is flattening rapidly. Meanwhile mortgage rates are back above 7%. This isn't just a Treasury move. It's a liquidity story. 🧵

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🇺🇸🇨🇳 TRUMP–XI MEET IN 48 HOURS, HERE’S WHAT MARKETS ARE ACTUALLY WATCHING. Trump and Xi are set to meet in Washington on September 24. This will be their second face-to-face meeting of 2026, after their May meeting in Beijing. And despite all the headlines, markets aren't really waiting for a historic trade deal. They’re watching one thing: CAN THE CURRENT U.S.-CHINA TRADE TRUCE BE EXTENDED? Here’s the key agenda: → TRADE TRUCE The current framework is expected to expire around November. An extension would reduce the risk of another round of tariffs and give companies more certainty around supply chains. → TARIFFS Both sides could discuss the “30-by-30” framework covering roughly $30B of non-sensitive goods on each side. Any progress here could mean lower tariffs on selected products without touching the most strategic sectors. → RARE EARTHS China’s pause on new rare-earth export controls is critical. Rare earths are used across EVs, electronics, renewable energy and defense. Any change here could quickly become a supply-chain story. → AGRICULTURE, ENERGY & BOEING Markets will watch for follow-through on Chinese purchases of U.S. soybeans, other agricultural products, energy and Boeing aircraft. → AI & CHIPS This is one of the harder areas. The two sides could discuss AI guardrails and semiconductor restrictions, but the broader technology rivalry isn't going away. → INVESTMENT Progress on the proposed investment framework could improve access for companies, but expectations for a major breakthrough remain limited. And there’s a bigger market angle. Equities and AI/chip stocks have already been moving higher as investors price in a more stable US-China relationship. So a lot may already be priced in. That creates two very different scenarios: 📈 CONSTRUCTIVE OUTCOME: Trade truce extended + progress on tariffs, purchases and supply chains → lower near-term escalation risk. 📊 LIMITED OUTCOME: No major breakthrough, but the existing framework survives → stability without a major repricing. 📉 NEGATIVE SURPRISE: No clear path beyond the November deadline or renewed restrictions → trade and supply-chain uncertainty returns. The important point: This meeting isn't necessarily about ending the US-China rivalry. It’s about whether both sides can keep managing it without another major escalation. And for markets, the details matter more than the photo-op. 👀 Watch the readout for three things: TRUCE DURATION. TARIFF MECHANICS. ACTUAL PURCHASE COMMITMENTS. JOIN FREE VIP GROUP : t.me/wiseadvicetrade_bot