Teams and ideas within early-stage crypto private markets are getting much better than they were 6 months ago.
As AI capability improves and anyone can build anything, software itself is no longer a moat. Apps and infrastructure that only have a technical edge are commoditising fast. What's left standing now are apps and infrastructure that are built on things that AI can't replicate, such as relationships, trust, distribution, network effects and proprietary data on real workflows.
Builders are much more astute to this now in crypto and have been working on much stronger / more durable moats from day one. I'm particularly bullish on builders creating and capturing value where incumbents structurally can't build, like credibly-neutral rails for agents.
There is more value now than before in building something like credibly-neutral rails for agents, as agents are getting better at doing high-stakes work reliably. As a result, verifiability, security and evaluation of work is becoming something that people (and agents) are willing to pay for. Agent trust is becoming a scarce, priced thing for the first time.
It's very early, but demand for this kind of infrastructure is now being tested.
In this new world where intelligence is abundant and cheap and where incumbents have entered the playing field, the long-term winners in crypto will be builders who:
- stick true to crypto values / primitives
- understand how to build and capture value, not just create it
- focus on long-term durable businesses
The setup is finally here. Builders who are dedicated to the value proposition of crypto and focus on where value gets captured rather than just created, will be long-term winners in this age of abundant intelligence.
Very optimistic on the quality of crypto teams now building at the earliest stage and how they think about long-term value. I expect these builders will move the crypto industry forward in no time.