judge me by my enemies

Geht es um die Ukranisierung Europas? Geht es darum, Europa als Wegwerffront aufzubauen? Geht es darum, den Konflikt zu eskalieren mit dem strategischen Ziel, Amerikas Rivalen zu erschöpfen, während die USA - wieder einmal - unversehrt bleiben? freigeist.substack.com/p/eur…

Dario has written that we need to “pace the frontier,” and Sam has agreed. People may be surprised by my response: go ahead. You guys are the frontier. By any reasonable metric — market share, revenue growth, model capability — the two of you have a duopoly on frontier intelligence. You’ve also claimed the lead is widening because of recursive self-improvement. I don’t see what you see in the lab. If the unreleased models are scary enough that you think you should slow down, I support your decision to be responsible. But stop pretending you need anyone else’s permission. Stop pretending antitrust law has to be suspended so you can form a cartel. Stop pretending you need a regulatory approval process that supersedes product liability. Stop pretending METR is independent when it is intertwined with Anthropic’s investors and staff. Stop pretending you need those same evaluators to police competitors who aren’t even at the frontier. Most of all, stop pretending the motivation to slow down is purely altruistic. You face massive product-liability exposure if your products enable a truly damaging cyberattack. The market already punishes models that behave in unpredictable or unauthorized ways. After the Hugging Face episode, it is simply good business for OpenAI and Anthropic to trade some raw power for reliability and predictability. Call it alignment if you want. It is also just giving customers what they want. Pacing the frontier would also create breathing room for a more intelligent conversation about regulation than Bernie Sanders’ “shut it all down.” China is very unlikely to join a global agreement, as you know, and that has to be taken into account as well. So go ahead and pace the frontier. You are the ones setting it. The easiest way not to build superintelligence is for you to agree not to build it. Demanding your preferred regulatory framework as the price of that will look like blackmail of the public and the political system. So just do it. If you do, you’ll buy goodwill for the next conversation. If you don’t, we’ll know this was just another bid for regulatory capture — or an election-season psyop.

The US wants its European satellite states to repay all US aid sent to Ukraine. The US instigated the war and is now outsourcing all costs to the Europeans. To the last Ukrainian and the last euro!

🇨🇳🇨🇭 A major milestone for China's relations with the West! China and #Switzerland have agreed to upgrade their Free Trade Agreement, eliminating tariffs on 99.8% of Swiss exports to China. The upgraded FTA is set to bring cutting-edge sectors — including high-end manufacturing, the digital economy, and green low-carbon development — into a tighter institutional framework, fostering deeper bilateral collaboration. Originally signed in July 2013 and in force since July 2014, the FTA has driven rapid growth in bilateral trade and investment. Over the past decade, total bilateral trade increased by 44.1%, with an average annual growth rate of 4.4%.

Some thoughts on Dario’s post: 1. Dario does not actually address Gavin Baker’s account of what he said – something he could easily deny if it were inaccurate. 2. Dario claims his critics live in a “bubble” where all regulation equals regulatory capture. He calls this an overly simplified view and notes that “Many people outside this bubble think of regulation as something that constrains corporate power and benefits ordinary people.” This argument is a straw man. Of course treating all regulation as capture would be overly simplified – but almost no one holds that view. I have repeatedly argued for strong antitrust enforcement to keep industries competitive, especially Big Tech. If Anthropic continues toward monopoly or duopoly status, I would be among the first to demand those rules apply. 3. Regulatory capture is not vague or in the eye of the beholder. Nobel laureate George Stigler defined it as regulation acquired by an industry and designed and operated primarily for its benefit. Stigler challenged the traditional view that government regulation arises from a benevolent state protecting the public from market failures. Rather, industry groups have concentrated stakes and pour resources into influencing regulators, whereas the public’s stake is diffuse and unorganized. The revolving door between companies and the agencies that regulate them compounds the problem. Anthropic understands these dynamics: it has hired multiple senior Biden AI-policy officials and built a substantial government-affairs operation plus a network of aligned organizations to push its preferred frameworks at state and federal levels. 4. Dario has consistently pushed for a new federal agency to review and approve frontier models prior to release – a proposal framed variously as an “FDA for AI,” an “FAA for AI,” and most recently a “FINRA for AI.” I call it a “DMV for AI” because a review process modeled on the FAA or FDA (which takes years) or FINRA (which issues rules for a staid industry widely seen as protecting incumbents) will create long queues as AI models wait for testing and approval. This process will only become more labyrinthine as rules accumulate to prevent theoretical harms. This would handicap the U.S. relative to China, which will not adopt the same constraints. It would also undermine Anthropic’s own business model, whose pricing power depends on remaining ahead of open models. Whatever Dario states today, it is difficult to believe the company would simply accept outcomes that erase that advantage. 5. Anthropic is on track to become one of the most valuable companies in history, with the resources to navigate any approval process and shape the rules while competitors wait. Dario wants open models under heavier scrutiny – he has called them dangerous in Senate testimony, criticized them for not being centrally monitored or withdrawn, and linked them to IP theft. He says he has never sought a ban, but he could achieve a similar result by insisting that identical rules apply to both open and closed models. The U.S. risks becoming an island of costly closed models while the rest of the world races ahead with broader choice. 6. Dario acknowledges that AI is structurally centralizing but attributes this mainly to chips and scaling laws. Access to compute matters, but the deeper risk is who decides which capabilities are available to whom. His preferred pre-deployment testing and FAA/FINRA-style oversight would place that gatekeeping power in a federal bureaucracy working hand-in-glove with a small number of frontier labs – reinforcing centralization rather than countering it. 7. The second part of Dario’s post assumes we have amnesia about Anthropic’s well-orchestrated campaigns hyping AI fears. His May 2025 claim that AI would wipe out 50 percent of entry-level knowledge jobs within five years still lacks supporting evidence fifteen months later. Similarly Anthropic breathlessly promoted its heavily contrived “blackmail” study on 60 Minutes. Yet Dario blames public negativity on a long-standing loss of trust in institutions rather than his own messaging. 8. These narratives have done more than anything to shape public fear. People are left asking the same question Mark Zuckerberg posed: why race to build a future you describe in such negative terms? Thomas Sowell’s "The Vision of the Anointed" captures the mindset – elite intellectuals convinced that only they are enlightened enough to control the outcome. As Zuckerberg notes, concentrating power in the hands of an enlightened few has rarely produced the promised results; the practitioners turn out to be less enlightened in practice than in self-conception. 9. Gavin Baker summarized the disagreement cleanly on our pod: Dario believes frontier AI is too powerful to distribute; we believe it is too powerful to centralize. Dario appears to believe, sincerely, that safety and progress are best served by centralizing authority in a marriage of corporate and state power. The weight of human history gives us reason to fear that outcome.

RT @levelsio: Crazy to think the entire West is literally leaning on one single guy to do things at the same level China does

Don’t fall for the fake Fox/GOP outrage. Two weeks ago the House passed a bill that greenlighted the transfer of Spanish territory to Morocco. Every Republican except me voted for it, but now THEY are acting shocked at the invasion. congress.gov/119/bills/hr859… congress.gov/119/bills/hr949…

Israel is the only on Earth that can: • Bomb 9 countries • Invade 3 neighboring ones • Kill 100,000 people (including 25,000 children) in 1,000 days • Displace nearly 6 million across 3 countries • Starve 2 million in Gaza • Violate every major international convention • Kidnap, rape, torture, shoot, imprison and murder …and still be sold to the world as the victim. Let that sink in.

Releasing the model weights and technical report of Kimi K3. Kimi K3 is our most capable model: a 2.8T MoE model with native visual understanding and a 1M-token context window. New model architecture: 2.5x the intelligence per unit of compute, not just more params. Alongside Kimi K3, we're opening up more of the stack behind it — high-performance attention kernels, MoE communication library, and infrastructure for running agent environments at scale. Model weights: huggingface.co/moonshotai/Ki… Tech report: github.com/MoonshotAI/Kimi-K… Tech blog: kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3

America falsely claims our unfrozen assets will buy their agriculture. Interesting. The only crop we're harvesting is what you planted: decades of mistrust. It's organic, abundant, and homegrown. But apparently the US only exports GMO soybeans, broken promises and trash talks.

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 All mayor Mamdani-backed candidates won New York primaries in clean sweep, per CNN - Brad Lander - Claire Valdez - Darializa Avila Chevalier All three of them rejected AIPAC’s money

In the future, a trillion times a trillion dollars will be spent on making antimatter to travel to other star systems

Laura Loomer says anyone who reposts us should be banned from Twitter. 😂

Holy smokes!! 🔥🔥🔥 JD Vance to Israel opposing the MOU "My response to them would be: What is your exact proposal? You’re a country of 9 million people. You can’t just kill your way out of solving every single national security problem that you have."

Vance: It does bother me that you've seen people within Bibi’s cabinet who have come out and attacked the deal, and personally attacked the President. Trump is the only head of state in the entire world who is sympathetic to the nation of Israel at this moment in time, and he happens to be the head of state of the world superpower. If I was in the cabinet of the Israeli government, I might not be attacking the only powerful ally that I have anywhere left in the entire world. 2/3 of the defensive weapons that have protected your homeland have been built by American hands and paid for by American tax dollars. The problem for Israel is not Donald J. Trump, and anybody in Israel who thinks their biggest problem is the President of the United States needs to wake up and smell the reality of the situation that country is in

Natalie Jaresko, a US-born American citizen working for the US State Department, including at the US embassy in Kiev, received Ukrainian citizenship following the NATO-backed coup in 2014 and immediately became the Finance Minister of Ukraine. Salome Zourabichvili is a French citizen who served as the French ambassador to Georgia. Following the NATO-backed "Rose Revolution", Zourabichvili was granted Georgian citizenship (while still serving as the French ambassador to Georgia). Shortly thereafter, she left the job of France's ambassador to Georgia and took the job as Georgia's Foreign Minister. Later, she took the position of President of Georgia, and has since been a key advocate for allowing Georgia's civil society to be administered by Western "NGOs" financed by Western governments and cooperating with Western intelligence agencies. After holding the presidency, she went to work for the McCain Institute, where she advocates for more intervention, while in Georgia, the current political leadership warns about the West seeking to use these NGOs to topple their democratically elected government to open up another front against Russia. The imperialist design is always celebrated as democracy, and the purge of the opposition is always celebrated in the West as fighting Russian interference. We cannot even have discussions in the West about the extent to which this supports or undermines our security - as all criticism is purged as "Kremlin talking points". In my opinion, Europe is committing suicide.

پایگاه‌های پوشالی امریکا، توان تأمین امنیت خود را هم ندارند؛ چه رسد به آمریکاپرستان منطقه

Those foreigners from thousands of kilometers away, who are greedily carrying out transgressions in the Persian Gulf and Sea of Oman, have no place here except at the bottom of its waters.

Merz positioned himself as Europe’s No. 1 supporter of the attack on Iran when he thought it would be a success. Now he blames Trump for a foolish war. No morality or strategy, Merz is just doing damage control as he continues to destroy Germany’s standing in the world.