Why is Bert from Sesame Street talking about American elections?
Polls are only polls but, caveats aside, the numbers coming out of America now point to a consequential "blue wave" mid-term election 5 weeks from today. The Democrats haven't won the House by 15 percentage points since the 1970's. In this scenario, the gerrymander will backfire and safe red seats will go blue. Ohio voted for Trump three times and is JD Vance's home state. Now it's on course to elect a Democrat governor and senator. Yes, Marist tends to overestimate support for Democrats but not by 6-8%