Ran some updated Phillies playoff numbers: IF PADRES WIN TONIGHT: 4 seed: 4.1% 5 seed: 15.5% 6 seed: 68.3% Miss: 12% Need to not let Arizona gain two on them in the final 3 IF PADRES LOSE 4 seed: 8.1% 5 seed: 33.2% 6 seed: 52.3% Miss: 6.4% The only scenario that knocks them out is Arizona 3-0/2-1 + Phillies go 0-3 this weekend Phillies clinch with a win tomorrow if Padres lose tonight

Extremely long parlays, which have become an ever-growing part of Kalshi’s activity, are creating by far the biggest losses for Kalshi takers, with the prices of the longest combinations more or less completely detached from their probability. That the biggest market maker edge happens on the longest parlays may not be a surprise, but the extent of the difference is stark.

This is tomorrow night in D.C. Butterworth’s. 7:30PM. PIERCE (@saracen_heath) @FarthestHeaven. Yours truly. Panelling. Reading. Drinking. YOU!

Previewing NFL Week 3 with the Ringer Wise Guys. Live on Twitch! @AnthonyDabbundo @iamrahstradamus @HousefromDC twitch.tv/theringer

With Phillies loss tonight, does padres result tonight have any significance on Phillies “magic number”?

YOUR 2026 CHICAGO WHITE SOX ARE HEADING TO THE POSTSEASON!

Josh Shapiro job approval in Pennsylvania, per NYT/Siena/Inquirer: Gen Z: 67% Black: 73% White non-college: 53% Suburban: 72% Indie: 59% Is that good?

America lost one in six of its neighborhood bars in a single decade, and the killer was real estate math. A bar like this can pour $3 beers because the building was paid off decades ago. The owner often lives upstairs. No rent, no investors, no debt service on a Pabst sign that's been hanging there for 40 years. The moment that building sells, the math dies with it. A new operator inherits a market-rate lease, which forces $9 drinks, which forces a renovation to justify $9 drinks, which produces another exposed-brick cocktail bar where the dive used to be. The Midwest kept its dive bars because of how they got built in the first place. Before Prohibition, Milwaukee's breweries put up corner taverns themselves. Pabst and Schlitz wanted guaranteed outlets for their beer, so they built bars directly into residential blocks. That's why these places sit on quiet snowy corners between houses instead of on commercial strips where rent explodes. Chicago had around 3,300 tavern licenses in 1990. It's down to about 1,200. At the worst of the decline, America was losing six neighborhood bars a day. And every single closure is permanent. You can't build a dive bar. You can only inherit one.

I’ve told people that I hate when the Colts play in primetime, and stuff like this is exactly why I’ve had more people jokingly ask me about Carlie Irsay-Gordon this week than ever before it’s like last year when everyone thought the colts were a run first team at 7-1

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