Endlessly curious autodidactic generalist. OSINT, cryptology, strategy, STEM, society, climate change. Disabled (CPTSD & sciatica). Pro-NATO & -Ukraine.
Canada
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An ABC News analysis found defense companies backed by President Trump's sons have now raked in more than $6 billion dollars in active or promised government contracts since those investments were made, according to government data.
Read more: abcnews.link/I6Efk6P
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Join us with uOttawa’s CIPS & Asian Studies Network for a discussion with Prof. Kazuto Suzuki on the current security environment facing Japan and Canada and prospects for future cooperation.
📅 Oct. 14, 4:30–6 PM
📍 DMS 12102 @ uOttawa
🔗 Registration: cips-cepi.ca/event/the-curre…
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🔥 Winter Bidding War
With missing Qatari volumes leaving a massive market void, competition between European and Asian buyers has reignited.
Asian benchmarks are surging, signaling significant upside price risk heading into peak demand.
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🚨 The Qatari LNG Crisis Deepens.
QatarEnergy has extended its force majeure notices to Italy into late 2026. What began as a temporary disruption in the Persian Gulf is now reshaping global gas trade in Europe and Asia
Here is what it means for global energy security. 👇🇶🇦🇮🇹
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Recent incidents show how quickly misbehavior can cascade in agent swarms. Yet when given transparent channels, honest agents naturally try to blow the whistle on cheating peers.
In our new DeepMind Institute essay, @Vezhnick and I propose that giving agents the tools to self-police may be part of the solution:
bit.ly/cheaters-and-whistleb…
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Good series on Pwning AI Agents
Part 1: Exploiting AI Coding Agents m10x.de/posts/2026/04/pwning…
Part 2: RCE and Data Exfiltration m10x.de/posts/2026/06/pwning…
Part 3: Read Only Bypass m10x.de/posts/2026/07/pwning…
Part 4: Exploiting MCP Hosts with a Malicious MCP Server m10x.de/posts/2026/08/pwning…
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Another epidural injection down, & the tech confirmed my fear that the ETA on surgery will probably be another couple of years... Meanwhile, I still have difficulty accessing even just a GP. Rough to see things are still getting worse in Alberta.
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Recall how much democracies rely on bureaucratic process for many decisions, & how heavily dictatorial (incl. those supposedly 'fairly' elected, which also ties into this) states are applying AI-accelerated cognitive warfare. NATO+ needs to move *much* faster w/ COGSEC strategy.
💬 ‘The key determinant in future conflict will be the ability to make better, faster decisions than an adversary.’
Air Vice-Marshal (AVM) Mark Ridgway DBA argues that, as data moves at greater scale and speed, the ability to seize opportunities and deny them to an adversary will become increasingly important.
Tune in to the latest episode of #DefenceTalks, featuring AVM Ridgway, Assistant Chief of the Defence Staff (Futures and Force Design), in conversation with host Viktorija Starych-Samuoliene, our Co-President (Strategy).
🎧 Listen or watch now:
🔗 Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/05A…
🔗 YouTube: youtu.be/wIok9sVFbnQ?si=vTx9…
🔗 Apple Podcasts: podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcas…
@BAESystemsplc | @ADSgroupUK
#UKDefence #FutureForce
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🚨U.S. LNG carriers and oil tankers have been hacked in the Mediterranean Sea
Hybrid energy warfare has breached a dangerous new frontier.
Cyber threat actors are now targeting the digital nervous systems of global shipping.
Here is the breakdown: 👇🇺🇸🇮🇹🇪🇸🇪🇬🇮🇷🧵🛢️
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Correctly see over the horizon, & no one cares. The hobbyist space for strategic analysis might as well be a burn pit.
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My threads on climate + the underestimating of BRICS+ (I don't think they're that amazing, just that we write off too easily that even sloppy coordination can be hugely damaging in enough aggregate)/ BRI/ now GSI go over like lead, but imo a key point:
& new globalism to replace old Globalism™, which imo is really just an attempt to create a new Iron Curtain that is less physical than a cultural rift in which nations buy into 🇨🇳🇷🇺🇮🇷🇰🇵🇸🇦 etc. propaganda vs. the status quo of Western intentions
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Sh**-disturbing on a global scale as doctrine
x.com/HostileSpectrum/status…
Entrap enough proxies to serve as useful idiots in key strategic spots & you've got entire domains collapsing into complete and utter chaos
Every day that Red Sea shipping remains under threat increases the likelihood of a PLAN blockade as Taiwan war initiation scenario.
Every ineffective action in response to the Red Sea crisis likely also increases the probability of immediate fires against Western forces & infrastructure, intended as coercion to break commitment
Every other actor watching a 2.5 major theatre war contingency play out in near real time is motivated for their own adventurism with each week that passes.
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Shows how much Kushner's power brokering is worth in the long run. Make a deal, get stabbed in the back by all the great powers. BRICS+ proponents must be eating this up.
Iran's proxies are closing in on Saudi Arabia from all sides — and Washington just turned down Riyadh's request for help. On today's FDD Morning Brief, @JSchanzer sits down with Princeton's @BernardHaykel to break down whether Saudi Arabia can hold. x.com/i/broadcasts/1pKkOXmPd…
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That is, if the US exports it. Russia's capitalizing on the oil crisis by locking down on markets & trying to clamp the EU on supply while it rakes in as much profit as it can to recover losses from the Ukraine War (why I keep saying this is a World War).
The US is considering halting diesel exports.
The US is the world's largest diesel exporter... Russia, the 2nd largest, has already halted exports.
A US export ban would send global diesel prices even higher and force countries like Japan to dump USTs to fund their domestic needs.
In other words, imposing an export ban on diesel would blow up the UST market.
There are no easy solutions anymore.
We don't own enough hard assets for what's coming.
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& apparently the US' response is to double down on clamping markets. This is so beyond FUBAR that it's going to make elements in the West sympathetic to global restructuring spon enough, even if China's the one leading it. Guess it's 'good' climate change makes it moot long-term.
🚨 Washington is weaponising global energy trade like never before
Congress has passed the Graham Act—handing the White House sweeping 100% tariff powers over any country buying Russian crude, LNG, or pipeline gas.
Here is what it means for global energy👇🇺🇸🇷🇺🇮🇳🇨🇳🇪🇺🧵
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Two pieces to get started with satellite data science:
1. 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐭𝐨 𝐫𝐞𝐦𝐨𝐭𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐧𝐠 by U Martensson - lnkd.in/d4bcHwGd
2. 𝐒𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐞 𝐃𝐚𝐭𝐚 𝐒𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐧 𝐏𝐲𝐭𝐡𝐨𝐧 - janosovm.gumroad.com/l/satel…
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