Opinions are my own, building dimetrics.ai | Corp Dev @nakamoto | Previously Co-Founder Second Gate and VP on Mining @galaxyhq

United States
Bullish on $META's Muse Charm. This feels like a generational wedge device aimed at Gen Z, Gen Alpha, and late millennials as a way to untether them from their phones. I could see it being a hit with Gen Z and Gen Alpha in particular. I certainly expect some flex culture to form around customizing your Muse. What I think these generations will appreciate is that the device keeps you connected without the doom-scroll effect, which is something these generations actually want. To me the clear, obvious use case is as a personal scheduler and planner, and students are a good example for this. You can use the device for reminders for homework, tests, practice, and school events. It also works as a tutor. Don't understand a topic, ask your Muse. Need supplies for a project, your Muse orders them. It translates just as well for young adults juggling work, fitness, and everyday life navigation as well.
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$META Muse coverage is dominating the timeline and media outlets like CNBC. I’m a big fan of Muse and it’s hard to not be bullish, but we may be reaching a local top unless Meta Connect and the release of Watermelon can bring continued momentum, but we’ll really need Q3 earnings to validate the recent run-up and more importantly ROI trend on AI capex for a continuation to ~$850 - $900 price range. Wouldn’t be shocked to hear Meta revise is capex guidance higher.
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Brandon Bailey retweeted
GPU residual value update: - A100 $4,956 (-12.0% YTD) - H100 $20,308 (+3.6% YTD) - B200 $71,057 (14.4% YTD) A month on, the picture has not much changed. A100 ( launched in May 2020) has been roughly flat near $5k since late 2025. H100 and B200 have in fact both appreciated as the rising GPU rental income more than offset time decay! That is not a 2–3 year scrap curve! GPU financiability has increasingly become the central question for the AI buildout: credit, not chips or power, is what stalls smaller builds. Banks still often mark GPU residual to zero after three years of straight-line depreciation. Our estimates are going-concern value or what the GPU should be worth if it keeps running. "Zero after three years" is the wrong prior for that number. A six-year-old A100 still printing ~$5k is the living proof!
As @JensenHuang argued in his essay, we believe that GPUs should be increasingly thought of as financeable capital assets with stable cash flows coming from AI inference. Based on our residual fair value estimates, A100 stopped depreciating since late 2025 as rising rental income offset time decay of value. Meanwhile, the H100 and B200 chips have both meaningfully appreciated in value in 2026 as a result of the strong increase in GPU rental rates! We are still learning when it comes to the question of economic lifespan of GPUs. It certainly doesn't appear to be 2-3 years as some seem to casually assume. The NVidia A100 chip was released on May 14, 2020, well over 6 years ago and its rental rates are still holding steady after a significant run-up in 2026!
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After going through the DWAC process to try to receive shares into my brokerage account I am fully sold on tokenized securities.
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PA Gov. Shapiro signed an EO today converting his voluntary GRID standards into binding requirements which include local approval before state permits, bring-your-own-power, and community benefit agreements. The tightening of datacenter permitting standards only makes approved and permitted capacity more valuable. I expect cap rate compression for stabilized datacenters and a valuation premium for sites with ample natural gas availability that can be tapped for behind-the-meter expansion capacity. $CIFR $HUT $KEEL $CORZ dimetrics.ai/datacenter-mora…
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$RIOT new Rockdale lease prices at ~$199/kW-mo. That continues the clustering we've seen in recent modified-gross leases, which are printing in a tight $188–202 band: - $GLXY / CoreWeave (Helios III): $188 - $WULF / Anthropic (Hawesville): $197 - RIOT / Frontier AI Lab (likely Anthropic) (Rockdale): $199 - $BTDR / Volta (Tydal): $202 Recent triple-net leases cluster lower, at $147–159, from $CORZ ($147, AMD), $HUT ($155, likely NVIDIA), $CLSK (unknown IG tenant $157), and $CIFR ($159, AWS).
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Brandon Bailey retweeted
Unlikely candidate behind some anti-datacenter movements: other datacenters "There could be smaller games being played where competition at the frontier is fierce." says @BrandonKBailey_, @Dimetrics_ founder
Compute & AI Infrastructure’s Daily News: Get updates on data center stocks, HPC, and news impacting the AI trade 5x per week! Join the Blockspace newsletter 👇 $IREN $CLSK $NBIS $GLXY $CIFR $KEEL newsletter.blockspacemedia.c…
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One of the most interesting things from this manifesto to me was Zuck’s comment that $META will offer “a dynamic auction mechanism that will guarantee that everyone gets the lowest price possible” for compute. This sheds some light on how they may be thinking about monetizing excess compute. Instead of building a cloud or a GPU rental business like a traditional neocloud they will build an auction house for compute. Why go for an auction, because selling compute the neocloud way makes you a price-taker on a commodity. A handful of counterparties, thin spreads, and you’re competing with everyone who owns a datacenter. With an auction you need thousands or tens of thousands of bidders, continuously. Neoclouds have five customers. Meta has 3B+ users and millions of advertisers already sitting inside a bidding interface. Meta is the only company that can stand up a liquid compute market on day one, because it already runs one of the largest auctions with its ads auctions. The compute auction would effectively be the inverse of its ad auction. Instead of advertisers bidding for scarce attention, users bid for scarce FLOPs. Same clearing engine, same billing rails, same second-price logic. Two major benefits of this model / approach: 1. Latency becomes the bid dimension. “Answer now” clears at peak. “Have it by morning” clears in the 3am trough. Meta monetizes capacity a fixed allocation contract can’t reach. 2. Meta’s own workloads bid too. ads ranking, self-improvement, consumer inference. That produces an internal shadow price for compute, which turns capex from committee judgment into arithmetic. Clearing price above all-in cost per GPU-hour, build more. Below it, stop or slow growth. Zuck framed it as directing capacity toward what people collectively find most valuable. I interpret that as: he’d rather set the price of intelligence than sell it wholesale. Structurally, this is a power market. Supply is fixed short-run. So price is at the marginal cost until demand hits the ceiling, then spikes. Jobs that can wait get scheduled for overnight or a lower demand timeframe. Free-tier requests get bumped when paying demand shows up. The power and energy market has a name for every one of those: scarcity pricing, demand response, interruptible load. Meta is going for ERCOT for inference with their auction model. More than that Meta wants to be Henry Hub for compute. As the spot price from their auction becomes the backbone from what the forward curve gets built on. Giving Meta a chance to become the de facto clearing house.
I believe everyone should have access to superintelligence, and I wrote a long piece about Meta's philosophy and values for building a positive future for everyone. meta.com/thefutureisforevery…
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Brandon Bailey retweeted
Anti-datacenter community pushback can miss this bigger picture: massive new tax revenue & community investment @BrandonKBailey_ says this applies "especially in smaller counties"
Compute & AI Infrastructure’s Daily News: Get updates on data center stocks, HPC, and news impacting the AI trade 5x per week! Join the Blockspace newsletter 👇 $IREN $CLSK $NBIS $GLXY $CIFR $KEEL newsletter.blockspacemedia.c…
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I’m getting pretty bullish on $META AI and compute business prospects, this is a long race and I think they have a lot compelling opportunities in the medium to long-term.
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It’s ironic to me that coldcard users and bip-110 supporters probably overlap quite a bit. If there wasn’t such strong opposition for keeping Blockspace a free market (ie hatred for JPEGs), we would have likely had some covenants software activation like CTV+CSFS which would have allowed us to create vaults. Which would provide for materially better security for self-custody. But now here we are, the status quo has risk, doing nothing has risk. Asking users to TRUST 3rd parties for the security or with self-custody is much riskier imo than improving the protocol to give users and companies better tools for security and self-custody. Ossification sounds nice in theory but it isn’t realistic. Bitcoin isn’t a complete piece of software and these type of incidents to me only prove that bitcoin isn’t ready yet to be a true SOV for people’s savings or wealth at least in a sovereign way with any type of scalability.
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It’s time for covenants on bitcoin, the coldcard hack is worse than any theoretical “bugs” or gamification related to CTV + CSFS piped.video/bEDFRvFz-RA?is=xXIz…
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Asking users to roll dice and increase complexity is not a real solution and certainly not one that scales self-sovereignty and self-custody.
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Brandon Bailey retweeted
Activating Bitcoin Vaults and CTV needs to happen
Anyone using this situation to shit on self custody is drinking pasta water Having said that, I would completely understand normies refusing to self custody because they're afraid of multisig or because both the L company and the C company have failed users We need to do better
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Brandon Bailey retweeted
67 days until Imagine IF in Nashville, TN. One ask: sound 🆙
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Bullish on $HUT I also believe @ashergenoot has a few tricks up his sleeves. I’m thinking pretty critically about what the company can do with highrise ai especially given Huts recent lease signings with $NVDA and their new financing programs for compute and neoclouds. Plus the playbook they used with their mining operations and $ABTC
Hut 8's 500 MW Logan Prairie campus has been stuck in Logan County, IL politics for 8 months. The county passed a 12-month moratorium in May. Its own State's Attorney recently declared it invalid. Now $HUT gets two attempts to move the project forward in one week: Aug 3: the Village of Latham votes on annexing the site bypassing the county entirely, with an $8–11M/yr community benefit agreement on the table. Aug 6: the county ZBA hears the refiled application, grandfathered from any new ordinance. The full board vote would occur some time in Aug–Sep. The upside case: Hut 8 just fully leased its 1 GW Beacon Point campus 704 MW IT, $19.6B in base-term contract value, $50B+ with renewals. Apply those economics to 500 MW and Logan Prairie is a ~$10B TCV asset sitting behind a single land-use vote with an Ameren interconnection agreement already secured. Hut 8 has said further delay risks the Ameren agreement expiring. So next week could be make or break for the Logan Prairie project. For jurisdictions restricting data center development we track it live at dimetrics.ai/datacenter-mora…
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Brandon Bailey retweeted
Estimated equity value of $CORZ new $AMD lease assuming its triple net. Get access to dimetrics HPC and GPUaaS lease calculator at dimetrics.ai/
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Me looking at my portfolio today
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Brandon Bailey retweeted
$ANY is the only green Bitcoin Miner / power shell company on the day. @mikealfred recently initiated a starter position on the company with 199,000 shares after a constructive meeting with the CEO Joel Block. dimetrics.ai/company/ANY
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$BTC vs the AI trade over the last month. BTC continues to be largely inversely correlated with the AI trade. This is a trend to continue to watch in the near to medium term especially if this earnings season continues to produce several capex revisions higher (which i think it will) we may see a more aggressive rotation trade back out of $BTC and crypto back into certain AI related names.
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