Independent Canadian security analyst & writer. Substack: policyhawk.ca Also published by: @VanguardMag | ras-nsa.ca | cmsn.ca | @navalassn | @DominionReview
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"The federal government has announced a preliminary agreement for the acquisition of six GlobalEye detection aircraft that would be built in Canada by the Swedish firm Saab in collaboration with Canada’s Bombardier."
Basically just saying there's an initial term sheet, and the broad strokes align with what the government said when it selected a preferred bidder.
If anyone know more of the details from the term sheet, my DMs are open.
cbc.ca/news/politics/governm…
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Half a decade ahead of whose schedule... ?
The government deserves a lot of credit for getting from spending 1.41% of GDP in defence in 2024 to 2.03% (still an estimate, but that's NATO's latest figure) in 2025.
Most of that was even new spending. With only a small fraction of the increase (though, admittedly, a fraction that was required to get over 2%) coming from re-designated existing funding.
But NATO's 2% guideline had become a firm floor part way through 2023. We didn't miss NATO targets for decades, as some claim, but we did miss them in 2024. And if we'd missed them in 2025, we would have been the only NATO member to do so.
It strikes me as disingenuous to be among the last members to hit that commitment that all NATO members made to one another, and then claim we did it early because of some statement we made to ourselves about ourselves.
Our new Liberal government achieved NATO’s 2% defence spending target — half a decade ahead of schedule.
In a rapidly changing world, we’re taking full responsibility for defending our sovereignty.
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🇨🇦 Policy Hawk retweeted
Oh, Canada! 🇨🇦
The first test flight of the Canadian F-35 took place this afternoon from Lockheed Martin in Fort Worth. This is the aircraft on landing after completing a 90-minute test flight.
Check out @TheAviationist for the article featuring photos from both myself and my husband!
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Footage, reportedly, from the first test flight of Canada's first F-35.
I can't independently confirm every detail Tori shares here, but that's a Canadian flag on it, and the timing makes sense. No reason to doubt what she's saying.
Oh, Canada! 🇨🇦
The first test flight of the Canadian F-35 took place this afternoon from Lockheed Martin in Fort Worth. This is the aircraft on landing after completing a 90-minute test flight.
Check out @TheAviationist for the article featuring photos from both myself and my husband!
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Canada experienced net negative migration in the first half of 2026. It is also currently below its historical unemployment average.
There are plenty of issues to discuss if you drill down deeper. But POTUS is not engaging with reality in this post.
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In the interest of accountability, I got one fact wrong in my earlier post.
Canada did not experience net negative migration during the first half of 2026. I had seen today’s new Q2 figure before posting, but I had not yet yet caught the revisions to earlier quarters.
Technically, Canada has experienced very modest population growth YTD. That correction does not change my underlying point.
Donald Trump’s claim that Canada is actively “allowing millions and millions of people into the Country” and thereby “causing problems that will soon be too big to handle” is detached from reality.
As today’s report notes, Canada’s population growth over the past year was its slowest since 1915–16, and the smallest in absolute terms since 1945–46.
Canada does not need to reduce the amount of immigration it is currently allowing.
That does not mean Canada has not just experienced a period of very high immigration. It plainly has. Nor does it mean that immigration at those levels imposed no costs. It did.
It was also necessary, if mis-managed. But that's a debate for a different day.
The point that is immediately important is narrower. It is profoundly unhelpful for someone with Donald Trump’s platform—and power—to pretend that the exceptionally high immigration of recent years is still ongoing.
Someone in my replies compared my post to standing in a flooded kitchen and bragging that the water was turned off five minutes ago.
Fair enough. It ignores that the kitchen got flooded as we fought a fire... but that's part of the debate for a different day.
To extend that analogy; my issue is that there is also an idiot with the world’s largest megaphone standing in the kitchen, yelling that the water we shut off five minutes ago still needs to be turned off. That is genuinely unhelpful. He's refusing to stop, and getting everyone to focus on dealing with the real issues we now face requires informing everyone that his message isn't relevant to the reality we face.
That is the purpose of my post.
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In the interest of accountability, I got one fact wrong in my earlier post.
Canada did not experience net negative migration during the first half of 2026. I had seen today’s new Q2 figure before posting, but I had not yet yet caught the revisions to earlier quarters.
Technically, Canada has experienced very modest population growth YTD. That correction does not change my underlying point.
Donald Trump’s claim that Canada is actively “allowing millions and millions of people into the Country” and thereby “causing problems that will soon be too big to handle” is detached from reality.
As today’s report notes, Canada’s population growth over the past year was its slowest since 1915–16, and the smallest in absolute terms since 1945–46.
Canada does not need to reduce the amount of immigration it is currently allowing.
That does not mean Canada has not just experienced a period of very high immigration. It plainly has. Nor does it mean that immigration at those levels imposed no costs. It did.
It was also necessary, if mis-managed. But that's a debate for a different day.
The point that is immediately important is narrower. It is profoundly unhelpful for someone with Donald Trump’s platform—and power—to pretend that the exceptionally high immigration of recent years is still ongoing.
Someone in my replies compared my post to standing in a flooded kitchen and bragging that the water was turned off five minutes ago.
Fair enough. It ignores that the kitchen got flooded as we fought a fire... but that's part of the debate for a different day.
To extend that analogy; my issue is that there is also an idiot with the world’s largest megaphone standing in the kitchen, yelling that the water we shut off five minutes ago still needs to be turned off. That is genuinely unhelpful. He's refusing to stop, and getting everyone to focus on dealing with the real issues we now face requires informing everyone that his message isn't relevant to the reality we face.
That is the purpose of my post.
Canada experienced net negative migration in the first half of 2026. It is also currently below its historical unemployment average.
There are plenty of issues to discuss if you drill down deeper. But POTUS is not engaging with reality in this post.
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Obvious bot responses on my feed are quite rare, except when I talk about immigration.
Curious why.
Canada experienced net negative migration in the first half of 2026. It is also currently below its historical unemployment average.
There are plenty of issues to discuss if you drill down deeper. But POTUS is not engaging with reality in this post.
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Happy to oblige. Just as soon as he resets tariffs to the level they were at when he was re-elected, and offers us something of equal value in exchange for the reduced potash costs.
Trump says U.S. to continue buying Canadian potash but wants cheaper price ctvnews.ca/world/trumps-tari…
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He's going to try to do this with every product the US gets from Canada today.
Trump: "The United States is working on a massive Deal with respect to the purchase of Potash from Belarus. The pricing would be for substantially less than we are currently paying to Canada, very good news for our Farmers and Ranchers. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP"
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Coyne is right about this.
It would be more democratic to let caucuses select party leaders, rather than doing it through a vote of the membership.
We see once again, and for the umpteenth time, one of the consequences of putting the choice of leader, not to the caucus he or she will lead, but to a vote of -- well, i was going to say the membership, but it's not even the membership, but rather thousands and thousands of instant members, most of whom have had nothing to do with the party until voting day and will have nothing to do with it after. Time and again party caucuses are saddled with a leader who is repugnant to them, but who nevertheless has the power of life and death over their careers. Strange but true: the only people in Canada to whom the maxim "government with the consent of the governed" does not apply are the people we elect to represent us.
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🤷♂️
Among "Hawks" - "Who is better to handle Canada-US relations during Trump's presidency?"
Carney: 71%
Poilievre: 17%
Innovative / Aug 25, 2026
(Hawks support policy response that combines pressure/repositioning - They want Canada to push back hard by using economic and escalate if needed)
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Until 2021, every piece of money ever issued by Canada was still legal tender. A rarity among currencies with as much history as ours.
There were some very modest benefits to phasing out older bills but, imo, none worth more than that cool fact about our money.
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"In fact, far more Canadians live in the U.S. than live in every other country combined."
Did Ezra Levant forget Canada exists?
Well, not 100%.
You yourself are “Canadian” but you live in the U.S. Just like Mike Myers.
In fact, far more Canadians live in the U.S. than live in every other country combined.
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🇨🇦 Policy Hawk retweeted
Are you experienced in aircraft maintenance? We want your expertise! 🚁🔧
We’re looking for Aircraft Maintenance Engineers to maintain our aircraft and contribute to our missions.
Take your career to new heights: emploisfp-psjobs.cfp-psc.gc.…
ALT A red and white surveillance aircraft in flight. Text on image: We're hiring! Aircraft maintenance engineer. Locations: British Columbia, Prince Edward Island, New Brunswick, Ontario, Quebec, and Newfoundland and Labrador. Apply before July 2, 2027.
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Uh... This is what happens when you're so used to pivoting to your own talking points that you forget to listen to the question.
Yeesh.
David Cochrane: Is there going to be anything in this legislation that could limit the ability of unions to strike?
Patty Hajdu: No. In fact, what this legislation is focused on is really those 5% of cases that lead to a labour disruption.
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What happened here is Cochrane mentioned Unions' ability to "negotiate or strike" in his premise.
Hajdu heard "negotiate" primed her answer to "Will this legislation impact Unions' ability to negotiate", which (apparently) amounted to "No. Only the small number of cases where they would strike will be impacted".
I think that's a bad answer regardless. But it sounds especially bad when given in response to a question about if this would impact strikes, not negotiations. 🤦
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