🏈 My Favorite TNF NFL Play | 9/24
Jordan Love Over 224.5 Pass Yards
FD -120 | 1u
Cooked w/
@FrannysPlays 🤝
We both see a great game incoming from Jordan Love here in Week 3 against Atlanta.
Green Bay has the FEWEST rushing yards per game through two weeks, while Atlanta is allowing the FEWEST. This should force Green Bay into a pass-heavy game plan on Thursday night.
Aaron Rodgers (221) and Bryce Young (287) have BOTH gone over their respective passing-yard lines against Atlanta, and we are expecting nothing less from Love here.
He is OVER this line in 16/L22 healthy home games. When he has had Watson and Kraft available, he’s OVER in 18/25 games.
Even with Reed out, Love still has plenty of targets available in Golden, Watson, and Kraft. Atlanta should shut down the majority of Green Bay’s rushing attempts, forcing Love into a high volume of passing attempts.
Atlanta utilizes a heavy amount of zone coverage in its defensive scheme. Last season, Atlanta ran zone coverage on around 75% of its defensive snaps, making it one of the highest-volume zone defenses in the league.
That should benefit Jordan Love heavily. He has one of the highest efficiency ratings against zone coverage in the entire league, with a top-five EPA per play against zone.
225+ is not a lot to ask for, especially against this bad defense and possibly the worst team in the entire NFC this season.
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@PropsEdge
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