What's right thing to do? Been with IBM, Greenpeace, ASH, Cabinet Office, Environment Agency, UN in Sudan, Welsh Government, DECC and now my own Counterfactual.

London or Derbyshire, UK
Clive Bates retweeted
It's great to be focusing on older adults in the THR space. Friendly reminder @thr101org does break down the numbers for both older adult smokers and vapers. (And I've got the 2025 numbers on spreadsheets) Not to mention all the @OldiesTours videos. (And more spreadsheets)
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Corrected: UK vape duty will add £2.64 to a 10 ml bottle (inc. VAT on duty) starting 1 Oct. I see it for £1.20 from well-known suppliers. So adding the duty makes a 220% increase - price > triples. What behavioural responses are the supporters of this tax expecting? @AshOrgUK?
New UK vaping products released by manufacturers or suppliers must carry duty stamps from 1 October. Retailers can sell unstamped inventory already held until 31 March 2027. The grace period does not apply to new supply. #TobaccoVanguard #UK #Vaping
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Clive Bates retweeted
"Restricting youth e-cigarette access is associated with more youth smoking"
Thank you @c_lowenstein for an excellent TOPS presentation today! 🥳 Here are key takeaways from his presentation on "Synthesizing Reduced Form Estimates from Heterogeneous Policy Instruments: Evidence from E-Cigarette Regulation":
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"Stakeholders without a stake" - my take on the questionable stakeholder legitimacy of tobacco control activists and the arrogance of dismissing consumers' insights. Consumers are the stakeholders with the greatest stake.
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Here is the Substack link: Stakeholders Without a Stake clivebates.substack.com/p/st… Thanks to @AshOrgUK and @PartnershipFree for the inspiration.
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Clive Bates retweeted
UK politicians are turning their back on success - tell them they are wrong. See our new campaign website (savevaping.org) for more info and have your say in the government consultation by October 2nd. nnalliance.org/nnanews/news/…
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Clive Bates retweeted
Haypp Group has relaunched NicoLeaks, its public database of independent laboratory testing for nicotine pouches, covering measures including nicotine content, pH, moisture, nitrosamines and trace metals. Haypp says more than 400 pouch products were tested during 2025. #Haypp #NicotinePouches #TobaccoIndustry #TobaccoVanguard
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Clive Bates retweeted
It is widely known that NGOs are struggling. Many groups are taking in foundation funding. @zaruk gives 12 reasons why this poison chalice, with conditions and compromises, will lead to a worse situation, loss of public trust and influence. thefirebreak.org/p/ngos-stop…
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Clive Bates retweeted
To reduce youth vaping, many researchers support "focusing on the harms" in isolation (i.e., without also telling them cigs are much more harmful). Lo and behold, this may have negative consequences (not to mention the ethics of accurate messaging): Inaccurately believing that e-cigs are just as harmful or worse than cigs predicts higher odds of complete abstinence, but also higher odds of exclusive cig smoking and other product use. "[misperceptions] may prompt product discontinuation among some but inadvertently encourage shifts toward more harmful NTP products" academic.oup.com/ntr/advance…
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Must-read. Then respond.
🚨The NNA has compiled a briefing for the UK government’s ongoing consultation on “Tobacco and vapes: packaging, appearance and display.” Click through to read our thoughts on the proposals and be sure to submit your response before October 2nd. nnalliance.org/nnanews/news/…
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Clive Bates retweeted
"It scarcely matters who funds these organizations. Their arguments should stand or fall on their merits—and this one is worthy of ridicule." <- More criticism from @RogerBate3 of the malevolent pro-smoking activists at @PartnershipFree rogerbate.substack.com/p/eur…
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Clive Bates retweeted
😫😩😫
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Killing Europeans by banning nicotine pouches "The European activist coalition, Smoke Free Partnership, wants nicotine pouches banned in Germany. It’s hard to think anything more reckless or negligent." clivebates.substack.com/p/ki…
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Clive Bates retweeted
Do read this @Clive_Bates substack about how a heavily financially-conflicted organisation, @PartnershipFree, is quite happy to throw lives under the bus in Europe. @CRUK_Policy, @AshOrgUK and @ASHScotland, you are complicit in this. How do you sleep? clivebates.substack.com/p/ki…
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Clive Bates retweeted
They are so determined to eradicate nicotine, that they try to remove all the safer sources, thus protecting cigarettes from competition. I’m not sure what you are supposed to say to somebody who thinks nicotine should be as dangerous as possible? I’d like to see it as safe as possible because less people will die
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Clive Bates retweeted
"A few dozen comfortable middle-class activists want to influence legislation that denies about 20 million people in Germany and about 94 million people in the EU lawful access to the safest forms of nicotine. They know, or should know, that doing this would have inevitable harmful unintended consequences such as the formation of black markets and more smoking."
I can't believe that the finest minds in European tobacco control have concluded that the right thing to do is to ban nicotine pouches in Germany, home to 17-23 million smokers and almost one third of the EU's smoking mortality burden. New Substack: clivebates.substack.com/p/ki…
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Clive Bates retweeted
"When ASH tells people to respond to a government consultation, that is apparently legitimate advocacy. But when consumer organisations encourage people to respond, it is suddenly described as 'industry mobilisation', an extraordinary double standard." nnalliance.org/nnanews/news/…
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Clive Bates retweeted
I have yet to hear a reasonable answer to the question of: “Why would organisations supposedly concerned for health want to stop millions of people moving from the top bar of this chart to the bottom?” Please continue reading below. clivebates.substack.com/p/ki…
I can't believe that the finest minds in European tobacco control have concluded that the right thing to do is to ban nicotine pouches in Germany, home to 17-23 million smokers and almost one third of the EU's smoking mortality burden. New Substack: clivebates.substack.com/p/ki…
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