TradFi shit is cracking. Crypto is an exit. One shot. One opportunity. Let's go!

Germany
[01/12] Big Debt Cycle Endgame 🔥 This is the most important (and longest) thread you'll read in the next 10 years by me. We're diving deep into the two questions that actually matter: - Where the hell are we in the Big Debt Cycle and where is it headed? - How do you actually position yourself for a Global Depression and rising Global Conflicts? 🧵👇 Disclaimer ⚠️ None of this is financial advice. Think for yourself. DYOR. Own your outcomes. The dates, years, and windows I mention? Estimates. Educated guesses based on current data. I can't see the future. Watch developments, wait for confirmations, don't bet on expectations. I'll keep posting relevant updates here as long as X lets me. Follow if you want the real-time alpha. Like + follow if you're ready to face reality 😉
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ChurchOfTheCycle retweeted
Quick tips for coins: > Trader XO macro trend scanner on TradingView and just scan from daily down. > around the daily bands will typically be value if said coin can bottom +/- into this and develop. > 20-30% is a ballpark number for drawdown to look for (not hard and fast rule) or look for areas of extended consolidation before last significant impulse to observe. > Throw in monthly, quarterly, yearly developing vwaps. > Examine strength against BTC and other alts. > Create watchlist for strong alts. > Create alerts. > Be patient.
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My sister from a other mother is the funniest m'fucka I ever read on twitter 😂.
All woman sisters. Much white man be very weird peoples. Is most important we study hard every day so never rely on the man because so much man be mental ill. For example: Kate before meet Bryan: I’m so hope I marry rich man so I’m live easy life all luxury every day. Bryan: hello white woman. I’m Rich white man marry you give you much good life Kate now:
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ChurchOfTheCycle retweeted
All woman sisters. Much white man be very weird peoples. Is most important we study hard every day so never rely on the man because so much man be mental ill. For example: Kate before meet Bryan: I’m so hope I marry rich man so I’m live easy life all luxury every day. Bryan: hello white woman. I’m Rich white man marry you give you much good life Kate now:
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ChurchOfTheCycle retweeted
Productivity matters most in the long run, but credit matters most in the short run. This is because productivity growth doesn't fluctuate much, but debt does—allowing us to consume more than we produce when we acquire it, and forcing us to consume less when we have to pay it back.
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ChurchOfTheCycle retweeted
If you are ever in doubt….
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ChurchOfTheCycle retweeted
Bittensor $TAO is preparing to leave the station.
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ChurchOfTheCycle retweeted
What to watch out for in the coming week(s): Be thankful, if Bitcoin and Altcoins give a small retrace. You won't get a cheaper entry anymore. But don't expect it. $BTC could just stay above $82k and run up to $95k next week. $Alts are even stronger.
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Your rules don't apply anymore, Part 2 @RESMcycles killing it 👌
Replying to @cantonmeow
I have a concept called Speculative Metrics, that flies in the face of Fundamental Metrics, (PE Ratios, CAPE, etc). These fundamental metrics will be blown out into the next bubble top to values that were never thought possible, because the system is parabolic and runs on rhythmic impulses that peak at regular intervals.
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He right about QE style increases, which I was talking about since December 2025. But he is wrong about comparing it to Covid. You need to look at Total Assets. We are not even close to what they did to print us out of Covid. And we don't need that to keep rising substantially. The money printer is going brrrr continuously. And that is why you should be in assets. Your money loses value every day. Act or be broke, when Global Depression hit us mid 2030s, when money printing and debt hit their peak.
The Fed is printing money to buy US Treasury bills... more than during Covid. - Covid: ~$320B - Last 9 months: ~$355B Everyone is talking about the Fed hike... no one is talking about Warsh printing money Covid-style to buy UST bills. At the same time, Bessent is issuing more UST bills to buy back US long-term debt. In other words, the Treasury buyback is nothing else than QE in disguise. We don't own enough hard assets for what's coming.
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Your rules don't apply anymore. Adapt or die.
A new 35-year interest rate regime started in ~2020. The relationships learned between risk assets, bonds, and yields from 1980 to 2020 will need to be forgotten.
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ChurchOfTheCycle retweeted
// $OTHERS / $VIX 2W Since the cycle, that topped in 2021 we didn't have expansion on this chart. It was basically sideways action since mid 2022. Another chart, that shows, why the cyclical rhythm changed and you can't stick to fixed 4 years anymore. h/t @__LiqHunter__ . I stole that chart from him.
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ChurchOfTheCycle retweeted
Remember: the trend has been reversed. Retracements will happen. Only this time they end up in higher lows, waiting to move to the upside again. The green boxes right now are strong support. Meaning $76-$80k will act is a bouncing area. First support was creating in the low $70s but I don't think we'll actually get there anymore. Support zones are areas where price could visit and bounce but by no means do they always get visitted.
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// bitcoin:native 1W See the green dots? The last four times, they confirmed that the recent upside is not just a corrective move. I have no reason to believe, that this time is different. Add the bull. divs. on the RSI and the Bull Market Support Band to the mix and you know, that the bottom of this mid cycle correction for Bitcoin was set in June 2026.
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ChurchOfTheCycle retweeted
Bitcoin's going higher for longer.
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ChurchOfTheCycle retweeted
Is it just me who finds this absolute silence so very interesting? BTC has made its first 40% vertical move and is consolidating at the highs. Alts are popping right left and center. And yet, crickets…fascinating isn’t it?
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ChurchOfTheCycle retweeted
$BTC.D - tight AF Big move when this range ends
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// $STABLE.C.D (Stablecoin Dominance) 2W The hard part: Buying, when crying. Selling when getting a bon... euphoric. Hope that helps. (Disclaimer: This is a general visualization. No specific levels to watch, based on the emojis.)
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// solana:2pASaZVMQCusTpUc6MdfFBXSML9yKeJQZGLf8L8RyYwQ / $GOLD and bitcoin:native 1M Another one, that shows why Crypto did not have a "normal" bull market since the top in 2021. It worked against headwinds. Thus Altcoins did not get much love. This is extremely bullish. Bitcoin had clear upside despite the surroundings, that did not support it. But they are here now. All of them. With a lot of pressure beneath. This is why most underestimate, how strong the eruption will be. Again: The 4 year cycle is dead. Copper vs. Gold is another chart, that makes it visible clearly. Just compare the red boxes ;D.
// $OTHERS / $VIX 2W Since the cycle, that topped in 2021 we didn't have expansion on this chart. It was basically sideways action since mid 2022. Another chart, that shows, why the cyclical rhythm changed and you can't stick to fixed 4 years anymore. h/t @__LiqHunter__ . I stole that chart from him.
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