Yup. I'm betting on 53 as the top of my probability bell curve, and I know that's a seat or two higher than most people. I'm long on record with ME; NC; OH; IA; TX; and AK. Kansas is 7, Nebraska 8, and South Carolina 9, all three less than 50-50 to me now, but Kansas is close.
Put it to you like this: I’d bet on 54 before I bet on 49 (I think 50-53 is where we end up, which is not a hot take at all)