OSINT driven journalism & analysis of geopolitics & U.S. domestic affairs 🟣🇺🇸🗽🗞️

Tick tock. Bibi. Tick tock.
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Brandon Gil hates Abdul El Sayed because he didn’t pretend his wife wasn’t Indian.
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My jaw is on the floor. We will be having an emergency LIVE today. Details in a bit. I knew it. I knew it. I knew it.
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Israel is going to keep fighting until it loses. So beat it.
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Turkey already burned its last thread of false promises to Iran & Palestine.
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God hates Israel. He wants to Free America & Palestine.
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ANALYSIS: Israel’s wartime economy faces unprecedented existential setbacks, military trajectory unsustainable That conclusion follows from the direction of the underlying variables. Even the Bank of Israel’s recovery scenario assumes de-escalation, fewer reservists and no renewed Iran war—and still leaves GDP below its prewar trajectory through 2027. The IMF projects that without additional fiscal adjustment, debt could reach roughly 74% of GDP by 2031, while elevated defense and interest costs increasingly squeeze already-low civilian spending. The deterioration is already measurable. The Bank of Israel estimates ₪177 billion in cumulative lost economic output through the end of 2025 relative to the prewar growth trajectory—equivalent to 8.6% of one year’s GDP. Israel therefore effectively lost roughly one month of normal economic output for every year of the war while still recording positive headline GDP growth. The Bank of Israel estimates the 2023–2026 fiscal cost at roughly ₪350 billion, with roughly half of earlier war-related expenditures financed through additional debt. Public debt consequently moved from 60.5% of GDP in 2022 to 68.5% in 2025. Investment was still 1.7% below its prewar level at the end of 2025, with construction particularly weak. Much of the rebound in machinery and equipment investment was defense-related, meaning its contribution to expanding civilian productive capacity was limited. The Bank of Israel explicitly reports signs that wartime expenditure is crowding out civilian business activity. Israel also entered this period without unlimited household resilience. Before the war, its disposable-income Gini coefficient was 0.345 compared with an OECD average of 0.316—meaning substantially greater income inequality. Its relative poverty rate was 16.8%, versus 11.7% across the OECD, while median disposable household income was below the OECD benchmark. That vulnerability is visible at the household level. In a December 2025 survey of 504 current or recent Israeli homeowners, 29% said they could not make ends meet, 39% could not absorb an unexpected ₪10,000 expense without credit, and roughly 30% reported chronic overdrafts. Among respondents who borrowed to escape overdraft, 61% subsequently fell back into it. Israel is experiencing a reservist shortage and mounting military-service burden; its technology sector recorded its first decline in domestic R&D employment in a decade while Israeli firms expanded more operations abroad; and institutional trust and political cohesion remain weak. The technology data are particularly important because high-tech is Israel’s primary civilian growth engine. In 2025, the number of Israeli R&D workers fell by roughly 3,500—the first decline in a decade. High-tech employment growth has slowed sharply from its previous pace. The IMF now estimates Israel’s medium-term potential growth at roughly 3.5%, down from around 4% before the conflict, citing military mobilization, fewer non-Israeli workers and demographic pressures. It projects the general-government deficit remaining around 5% of GDP over the medium term and warns that persistently elevated defense spending could increasingly pressure civilian expenditure. If the present security model continues, the likely result is cumulative deterioration: higher debt and taxation, weaker civilian investment, slower potential growth, greater skilled-worker outflow, military manpower exhaustion and deeper domestic political conflict. Israel may have enough wealth, technology and external support to prevent near-term collapse. It does not have enough economic, demographic or military depth to wage permanent multi-front war without eventually paying a massive national price. Permanent war is not economically or socially sustainable for Israel. The current trajectory demands adjustment—reduced military commitments, greater taxation& cuts elsewhere in the state—or otherwise face total collapse.
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Evidently Dracula is Albanian not Transylvanian.
Clash Report
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JUST IN: Jerusalem police close case after Armenian boy pepper sprayed during Yom Kippur Channel 13 journalist Yossi Eli reported that 9-year-old Armenian Christian William was pepper-sprayed near Mamilla while biking with headphones on Yom Kippur. Armenpress and Times of Israel say police closed the case without arrests despite security cameras, per the journalist.
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I’ll never understand why people didn’t support me the way they vouch for others who lose their jobs defending Palestine. I was abandoned. By everyone.
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There are homeless children in the streets of America. Minors. American citizens. Toddlers. I’m in shock. This is not okay. I won’t sit by.
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The problem with institutions is that they become too stale, bureaucratic, broad & boring without the vigor of individual innovation. Healthy compensation is a must, but it doesn’t determine merit alone, integrity & character as well as individual cognition are the main factors.
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Turkey just signed a defense pact with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan—against Iran. And to the benefit of Israel. Erdogan is a charlatan.
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BREAKING: U.S. military reportedly assesses reserve availability for potential operations around Cuba Army Reserve commands were asked to assess units potentially needed within 90–120 days, including military police, medical personnel and logistical support for Southern Command. U.S. officials linked the request to Cuba planning, although the internal message does not name Cuba, specify a mission or indicate that deployment orders have been issued.
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Literally predicted this 2 days ago.
BREAKING: U.S. military is reportedly “laying groundwork” for potential action around Cuba, with Army Reserve units told they could be needed within 90–120 days. — CBS
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NEW: New York sues Polymarket, alleging illegal gambling amid escalating prediction market litigation Attorney General Letitia James sued Polymarket US on Sept. 24, alleging unlicensed gambling and seeking to halt those operations, recover profits and secure restitution and fines. New York previously sued Kalshi in July. The platforms’ central defense is that their event contracts qualify as “swaps”—financial derivatives under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s exclusive jurisdiction. They argue federal law therefore overrides state gambling restrictions. New York argues these transactions meet its legal definition of gambling and require state authorization. This advances the dispute we examined with Kalshi: whether treating wagers as federally regulated financial products exempts them from state gambling laws. That claimed protection remains contested in court.
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Erdogan must no longer be in power in order for Turkey to exit NATO & end its alignment with the EU.
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Jews virtually didn’t exist in the Golan Heights for 1,000 years until 1967.
🇮🇱🇸🇾 Netanyahu just told Syria’s president to open a Bible if he wants to understand Israel’s claim to the Golan Heights. Addressing him directly from the UN podium, Netanyahu invoked Jewish history to make his case: “𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘑𝘦𝘸𝘴 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘣𝘦𝘦𝘯 𝘰𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘎𝘰𝘭𝘢𝘯 𝘏𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵𝘴 𝘴𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘥𝘢𝘺𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘔𝘰𝘴𝘦𝘴. 𝘠𝘰𝘶 𝘤𝘢𝘯 𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘥 𝘪𝘵 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘉𝘪𝘣𝘭𝘦.” Netanyahu’s diplomatic message to Damascus apparently comes with a reading list.
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WATCH: Houthi spokesman Nasr Al-Din Amer tells Piers Morgan accusations of drone attacks targeting Mecca are false, emphasizes importance of holy sites as Muslims themselves, says if any drone targeted Mecca it would be from Israel
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Israel has no plans of ending expansion, ethnically cleansing the West Bank, continuing genocide in Gaza, occupying Syria, Lebanon & warring with Iran. Zionism demands this. Religiously & politically. It is its inevitable fate. Thus, a final showdown must occur, that can castrate the Israeli state militarily, economically & politically that leads to its dismantlement & the establishment of a Palestinian state with Jerusalem as its capital.
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