Director of Economics & Economic Freedom at AIER, Aff. Scholar with Acton Institute and Mackinac Center, husband, and father. Views my own.

Grand Rapids, MI
Dave Hebert retweeted
Per my contention at our @aier Congressional staffer briefing yesterday, higher education is indeed facing its reckoning. With decreased demand for its offerings and higher borrowing costs incoming, it was no surprise to see this discussed nationally. #studentdebt #highered
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Getting an exemption to tariffs has become its own ( highly profitable) industry. When America rewards lobbying more than building, we shouldn't be surprised that we get more lobbying. My latest with @aier's @thedailyeconomy: thedailyeconomy.org/article/…
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As the US and China begin their negotiations, my @aier colleague Ryan Yonk and I have thoughts. Our latest at @rc_markets: realclearmarkets.com/article…
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On David Card and Alan Krueger's minimum wage paper: "Fortunately, only a handful of economists are willing to throw over the teaching of two centuries; we have not yet become a bevy of camp-following whores." -James Buchanan, in the Wall Street Journal (25 Apr. 1996)
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My @aier colleague, @peter_c_earle is in tomorrow’s edition of the @WSJ and @WSJopinion with a brilliant (pun absolutely intended) article comparing AI regulation to electricity regulation. wsj.com/opinion/ai-and-the-d…
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.@DAcemogluMIT absolutely deserved a Nobel Prize and I'm glad that he finally got that recognition. But he would do well to read the work of another Nobel Prize winner, James Buchanan. Regrettably, I think it would be new reading for him. I'd be delighted to be proven wrong!
I want to briefly explain why I joined Abhijit Banerjee, Peter Diamond, Esther Duflo, Paul Krugman and Joe Stiglitz in signing the letter on the California billionaire tax: ft.com/content/94ec0fee-53ab… In principle, I am not convinced that permanent wealth taxes would be necessary if the tax-transfer system were designed optimally. But the US tax system is very far from optimal, and has been for decades. As I have documented in my research (for example, here: mitsloan.mit.edu/shared/ods/…), labor income is taxed much more heavily than capital income. This asymmetry creates two distinct problems. First, it makes the tax system highly regressive at the top. The very rich, who receive much of their income from capital or can use accounting tricks to reclassify their income as capital income, pay remarkably little in taxes. For example, a business owner who runs their own company should receive a significant part of their income as labor earnings for their work as CEO. Instead, they can take their compensation in stock and borrow against those holdings to finance whatever consumption they desire, minimizing their tax obligations. Even their heirs may avoid paying these taxes. Second, the asymmetry distorts automation decisions: it effectively subsidizes machinery and AI relative to hiring workers (for example, here: brookings.edu/articles/does-…). These distortions have allowed a small number of people to amass vast fortunes without paying their fair share of taxes, and have fueled excessive automation. The resulting inequality is a problem in its own right. It is all the more dangerous today because our institutions have become fragile, allowing the very wealthy to exert growing control over the political process. A temporary wealth tax can therefore be justified on three grounds: (1) it partially reverses the effects of more than two decades of tax avoidance by the very wealthy; (2) it acts as a brake on their growing dominance over the political process; and (3) it may pave the way for more comprehensive tax reform at the federal level. The California billionaire tax is not perfect. For example, a federal tax would lessen risks related to capital flight, and removing the rigid earmarking of the revenues for specific purposes would enable the proceeds to reduce the national debt. Nevertheless, with few other options on the table, I believe the California proposal deserves support.
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Dave Hebert retweeted
The national debt has passed $40 trillion....so what? @Dave_Hebert and @thomas_savidge argue that chronic federal borrowing affects more than just Washington's balance sheet. It can mean: → More resources devoted to servicing past debt → Less capital available for private investment → Higher borrowing costs for households and businesses → Slower productivity and wage growth → Fewer choices for future generations Public debt isn't inherently immoral. Borrowing can make sense during genuine emergencies or when it finances productive investments whose benefits extend into the future. The moral problem arises when we enjoy the benefits today while pushing the costs onto people who aren't yet at the table. Fiscal responsibility isn't only an economic question. It's a question of stewardship. Read the full analysis from David J. Hebert and Thomas Savidge.
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Dave Hebert retweeted
A bunch of Nobel Prize-winning economists have endorsed California's proposed billionaire wealth tax. I can't oppose them on authority. But I know some academics who can.
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Look, in a world where we want publicly provided roads and to avoid tolls, the gas tax works incredibly well as a means of providing revenues. Drive more? Pay more! Drive heavier vehicles, like trucks, that do more damage to the roads than light vehicles? Pay more! So simple and elegant. Yes, there are problems with what governments do with the revenues they collect, but that's a separate issue altogether. davehebertecon.substack.com/…
We need to bring costs down. It’s time to suspend the state and federal gas tax.
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🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️
Trump: "If we lose $50 billion a year with a country, and we say 'we're not going to trade with you anymore,' we don't lose $50 billion a year. It's very simple. Right?"
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Ordinally ranking the president's preferences: 1. The Trump-Kennedy Center 2. No performing arts center 3. The Kennedy Center @RonaldReagan's desk plaque said: "There is no limit to what a man can do or where he can go if he doesn't mind who gets the credit." Perhaps 47 can learn something from 40?
and there it is -- Trump says that if the Supreme Court doesn't allow him to put his name on the Kennedy Center then it will close down for good
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Dave Hebert retweeted
My latest with @CivitasOutlook describes the underlying economic demoralization of Gen Z that provides part (not all) of the explanation for their adoption of online wagering as a "Rational Vice". #GenZ #inflation #collegedebt civitasoutlook.com/research/…
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What I don't understand is how this is taken even remotely seriously by anyone and not as a sign of an incredible lack of basic understanding.
EXCLUSIVE: President Trump says he doesn't think his proposed $5,000 dividend payments would need to be approved by Congress. cbsn.ws/4xm3m35
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I've read the first few chapters so far but I can already confidently say that this is a GREAT book! @ElliotKaufman6 and @jeremybob1 combine subject matter expertise, deep dives into the major players, and clear writing to produce something that's as informative as it is captivating. Do yourself a favor and read this book!
Today is publication day! In the War Room: The Inside Story of Israel's Fight Against Hamas and the Iranian Axis is out now. There is else nothing like this available, with inside material from all of Israel's top leaders. Order the book here: amazon.com/War-Room-Israels-…
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My copy is pre-ordered, is yours???
Ladies and Gentlemen, author’s copies have arrived! 🥳📘🎉 Available 🔜 on @amazon and at all good book outlets on October 13th. With thanks to my great publishers @EncounterBooks.
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Peter Navarro says there's a "great transshipment scam" afoot. Back in December, he chastised us for expecting results too quickly, conveniently forgetting that his colleagues in the White House had given deadlines that had already passed. Now, it's because "foreigners" are "scamming" us. Nonsense. My latest with @IndependentInst: independent.org/article/2026…
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Dave Hebert retweeted
How many dividends as he promised at this point? Tariff dividends, DOGE dividends, now “plz elect us” dividends
.@POTUS announces the TRUMP DIVIDEND: If Republicans win both the House and the Senate, because of our tremendous economic success, I will issue a dividend to every adult citizen in the United States for $5,000
Community note
The President of the United States has no constitutional or statutory authority to issue a dividend check on behalf of the US Government. Only the Congress can authorize and appropriate these funds. constitutioncenter.org/the-constituti…
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The New Right keeps lamenting that "we don't make things here anymore." This is a bonkers-insulting statement to the incredible men and women in the US manufacturing sector. Great to chat with @JimVinoski and set the record straight. manufacturingtalks.substack.…
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China has over 200 million workers in manufacturing, right now and produces roughly twice as much output as the 12.6 million American manufacturing workers. In other words, ONE American manufacturing worker is as productive as EIGHT workers in China.
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The American manufacturing worker (and sector) does not need to be "protected" from the rest of the world. They need to be unleashed upon the world.
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