⚡️Now is the time to think about Future Russia.
The current Ruschist state dissolves and splinters. It leaves a remnant based around St Petersburg and Moscow.
Even then, however, the Russia problem will not have been solved.
A state of Moscow and St Petersburg can still be the old empire in a smaller coat.
Inside Future Russia, two Russias will argue over the country. The rest of us need to know, from the first day, which one is speaking.
One is Historical Russia.
The other is Real Russia.
The purpose of this is to explain to you the difference.
Understanding this difference can help us cut through debates today, rhetoric today, and what I call, in other projects, Disinfolklore today.
One is Historical Russia.
The other is Real Russia.
They cannot share one country.
For 30 years, plenty of Russians, plenty of Western experts thought the Russia of the doctrine of Russkiy Mir and the Russia of the map could get along. Indeed, they thought they could even help each other.
They cannot. Sooner or later, one devours the other.
The Real Russia devours the Historical Russia.
Or, as is occurring today, the Historical Russia is devouring itself.
The hardest place to separate the Real Russia from the Historical Russia is not on any map.
It is inside the head of every Russian.
And, indeed, it is inside the heads of those of us who have spent our working lives watching Russia.
I’ve noticed in my own time that Russia experts themselves are just as susceptible to falling for Historical Russia trolls as complete neophytes…
decodingtrolls.net/p/podcast…