Note: Account No Longer in Active Use. Fmr Diplomat. Trade and Negotiations Trainer. Forever D&D DM. (He/Him)

Just a note to say I don't regularly use or check this account anymore. If you're looking to get in touch please use my website (explaintrade.com) and if you're crazy enough to want to know what I think, I now do my shitposting (and rare substance threads) on BlueSky.
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Dmitry Grozoubinski retweeted
Please listen to this @Reuters podcast on my eBook: Why Trump’s trade war fails 👉thx to @peter_tl 👉The Big View podcast, Richard Baldwin of @IMD_Bschool explains why hostility to US imports is now a bipartisan issue, and why the global trading system can survive Trump’s onslaught. Cc: @SimonEvenett @snlester @scottlincicome @ojblanchard1 @zingales @AdamPosen @PIIE @DmitryOpines
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Dmitry Grozoubinski retweeted
WHY POLITICIANS LIE ABOUT TRADE by @DmitryOpines. Narrated by me, now available on Audible! Published by @CanburyPress.
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Oh no! I hope Russia doesn't start firing drones and missiles they received from an ally into Ukrainian territory.
Replying to @Inevitablewest
The problem is that Russia will respond reciprocally
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On Amazon and at all good bookstores now.
GOP Rep: If Trump says tariffs work, tariffs work. Donald Trump is really never wrong. Think about it. He is never wrong.
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I wrote about Trump, trade, Brexit, and why this time it's different for @IanDunt's newsletter Striking 13:
Trade expert @DmitryOpines provides a pain-free cut-out-and-keep guide to everything you need to know about the coming trade war iandunt.substack.com/p/guest…
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Three minutes after arriving in Kursk: A North Korean soldier muttering, "it can't possibly be that easy" as with trembling fingers he types the word "Boobs" into Google and becomes the hero of his entire regiment.
A usually reliable source tells me that the North Korean soldiers who have deployed to Russia have never had unfettered access to the internet before. As a result, they are gorging on pornography.
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Russian General: "Colonel, are the North Koreans here to join our meat assaults?" Russian Colonel: "I'm afraid they're currently too busy assaulting their meat, General."
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Nate Silver: I went forward in time to view alternate futures. To see all the possible outcomes of the coming election. America: How many did you see? Silver: 80,000. America: How many did Kamala win? [long beat] Silver: 40,012. America: Fuck you.

ALT The Avengers Marvel GIF

It's published. We ran 80,000 simulations tonight. Harris won in 40,012. natesilver.net/p/nate-silver…
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When people say Ukraine was invaded because it wasn't neutral enough, and you point out that it was, the response is always, "Right, but it was clearly trending West." Reveals the game. It's not about 'neutrality' it's about having vibes Putin arbitrarily decides he's ok with.
Let me repeat this: Ukraine was not only effectively neutral (not a member of a military alliance) but it was STATUTORILY neutral (banned by law from being such a member) between 2010 and the end of 2014. While Ukraine was STATUTORILY neutral, Russia invaded Crimea and Donbas.
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I have amazing news: The UN has virtually no power. The UN Secretary General, who is elected by the way, can't even move money between his own organization's budget lines without approval from member states in the relevant committee (normally Fifth).
“I'm against globalist power. The UN should not have a lot of power. Who voted for them? I didn't vote for them. We want power to the people! Maximum power to the individual.” Elon Musk
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Is it? Because so far the campaign's message seems to be that America is an impoverished broken garbage fire of worthless institutions and crumbling cities and that the only hope is giving Donald Trump and Elon Musk unchecked power to save it.
A Pennsylvania voter wearing a “Trump 2024” hat asked me to make the case for voting for Trump. To opponents, I usually cite the border, economy, and avoiding war. But I gave this young man the deeper answer: it’s about reviving our national self-confidence.
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Any candidate promising to ban campaigns and their PACs from directly messaging voters who haven't opted-in would win the swing states by margins that would make Kim Jong Un blush.
please, God, anything just to make this end
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If you are one of the apparently tens of thousands of people who believe staffers inside the Harris Campaign are leaking secret information to MAGA engagement farmers then I'm afraid there's a problem with your wallet and as a Wallet Inspector I will need to confiscate it.
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I didn't watch the speeches - do the Tories finally have a leader with the courage to tell octogenarians in the Home Counties the hard truth: that they are right about everything and the only mistake the party made in the last 14 years was not pandering to them hard enough?
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Queing up for hours and filling in a little circle with another man's name on it to make him your alpha for four years? Seems pretty soy behaviour, bros. Time better spent making a YouTube video about how woke DEI is making it harder for you to goon to video game protagonists.
Georgia Update: The turnout gap between women and men has continued to widen. Per @GeorgiaVotes
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This is probably not the most pathetic way a man has tried to explain away the scratches from a wild night with his mistress, but it's got to be top 5.
Tucker Carlson claims that he was physically attacked and mauled by a spiritual demon at night while he was sleeping, and the demon left bloody claw marks on his sides and on his shoulder. mediaite.com/news/tucker-car…
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MOAR LIKE MARXIST POLLS, AMIRITE?
Marist polls Pennsylvania 🔵 Harris +2 Wisconsin 🔵 Harris +2 Michigan 🔵 Harris +3
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Hunter Biden, George Soros, Hillary Clinton and Taylor Swift huddled together in a SCIF deep below a WEF black site, sternly briefing the elite team of pink haired lesbian hackers they'll be tasking with very minorly inconveniencing celebrity Trump endorsers.
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If Trump loses and there's the faintest hint that claiming fraud isn't sticking, he's going to pivot to blaming Elon Musk so fast and viciously lmao.
WILD: actual photo of Musk-hired door knockers being driven around #Michigan. This group of mostly-black workers were driven in the back of a truck with no seats. They say they were flown in, given unrealistic goals, and threatened with their lodging being cut off & being forced to pay their own way home if they couldn't meet them. Some didn't even know which candidate they were working for. Article by @JakeLahut wired.com/story/elon-musk-am…
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That said, I'm sure Musk can rely on Trump's signature sense of loyalty and unblemished record of taking personal responsibility when things go wrong.
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