Former director, @pricedoutuk | geeky liberal | YIMBY

Oxford, Oxford-Cambridge Arc
Duncan Stott 🏗️🔰🇺🇦 retweeted
This is just wrong. We don't spend as much as others on the state pension because we make people save for themselves via auto-enrolment. Actual pension income is just the same in the end.
EXCLUSIVE Andy Burnham has been warned by one of Britain’s largest unions that scrapping the triple lock on state pensions to help fund free social care for the elderly would be “electoral suicide” amid growing cabinet splits The prime minister is expected to address the issue of reforming the triple lock - under which pensions rise each year by the highest of inflation, average earnings or 2.5 per cent - after the next election The issue has exposed deep splits among senior Labour figures. Sharon Graham, the general secretary of the Unite union, told The Times: “I think it would be almost electoral suicide. Morally, I just don’t think it’s the right thing “We’re the lowest in the G7 in terms of how much we spend on pensions. I think that’s an embarrassment, quite frankly, because we’re one of the six richest economies in the world. I think it would be an absolute disaster, it would send completely the wrong message. I cannot understand why we keep going back to pensioners.” Cabinet ministers also appear to be divided on the issue. Bridget Phillipson, the women and equalities minister, warned of the risk of “intergenerational warfare”. However, Douglas Alexander, the Scotland secretary, told Times Radio that young people were getting a “really raw deal”, adding that the government would “have to balance all of these questions over the coming years” thetimes.com/article/3e6abe7…
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Duncan Stott 🏗️🔰🇺🇦 retweeted
I am so fed up with poorer pensioners being used as a reason to keep the state pension triple lock for all 13 million pensioners. Why not focus on those 2 million instead of throwing cash at well-off pensioners.
Replying to @BadCat_1985
2 million pensioners live in poverty, and we have one of the lowest pensions in the G7. Labour seem to hate pensioners 🫠
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5pm traffic seemed worse through the traffic filter on St Clements today than with the congestion charge, which was counter-intuitive. Only day 1, but doesn't bode well.
Traffic filters scheme replaces congestion charge bbc.in/4d2Pd3C
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RT @SadiqKhan: NEW: Oxford Street will start to go traffic free from Monday 26 October. Following strong support from Londoners and busin…
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If true, this is genuinely courageous from Burnham. He should be commended for refusing to take the lazy option and grasping nettles that needed attention. 👍
🚨 BREAKING: Andy Burnham is set to signal the end of the state pension triple lock in his conference speech tomorrow [@Telegraph]
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Duncan Stott 🏗️🔰🇺🇦 retweeted
The door at the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China in Buenos Aires is not your ordinary door
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Duncan Stott 🏗️🔰🇺🇦 retweeted
Britain's most expensive house sold for £265m. Add five small flats to the deal, and Stamp Duty drops by £18.5m. Most buyers don't get that option. We need a new system that's fair for everyone, not just the wealthy. taxpolicy.org.uk/2026/09/22/…
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Duncan Stott 🏗️🔰🇺🇦 retweeted
Help to Buy II is on the way Years ago I did a chart for @FTLex showing how completions, house prices, share prices, dividends and exec pay had evolved under H2B mk 1 The smallest growth was in completions The largest was in exec pay Einstein's dictum on insanity springs to mind
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Duncan Stott 🏗️🔰🇺🇦 retweeted
After 2 years we finally got planning permission for our scheme of 29 apartments and ground floor retail on Tiviot Dale, Stockport. The scheme had no objections from anyone! @andyburnham @mtpennycook you will never deliver 1.5m homes without more radical changes to the planning system.
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Duncan Stott 🏗️🔰🇺🇦 retweeted
It has been about six months since the Fingleton Review, and on most of the recommendations, nothing has been done. The review is clearly being slow-walked by departments, and it isn't obvious anyone has a grip on it. We built the tracker because we suspected this would happen. I thought public accountability might speed things up. Apparently not? Let's change that.
1/4 Everyone agrees that the Fingleton Review needs to be implemented to get our nuclear costs down. Yet progress towards implementing these recommendations is stalling – more and more of them are off track.
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This is just as unacceptable as having the wrong policy to begin with. It's no good having the right strategy if you don't actually deliver.
1/4 Everyone agrees that the Fingleton Review needs to be implemented to get our nuclear costs down. Yet progress towards implementing these recommendations is stalling – more and more of them are off track.
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Duncan Stott 🏗️🔰🇺🇦 retweeted
1/4 Everyone agrees that the Fingleton Review needs to be implemented to get our nuclear costs down. Yet progress towards implementing these recommendations is stalling – more and more of them are off track.
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Duncan Stott 🏗️🔰🇺🇦 retweeted
Mistake lots of “scrap triple lock” advocates make is to pitch it in isolation so it’s just a net loss and lightening rod - see how that went on winter fuel - if there is a path to reform it needs to come as a wider give/take package that looks at old age security in the round
I came away from Andy Burnham’s pre-conference interview thinking he may well promise to fund his new free system of care for the elderly (at least in part) by reforming the expensive triple lock guarantee for above-inflation increases in the state pension. Here were the clues in his chat with the bbc. First he said that the plan would not be implemented in this parliament. It would be in Labour’s next general-election manifesto. And his reason was that he would not break Starmer’s manifesto, which promised to keep the triple lock. Second, he said everyone would contribute to the funding of social care, but that the funding mechanism would be different from that of the NHS. In other words he would not use general taxation to pay for his new national care service. And to state the obvious, if the rate of increase in the state pension becomes less generous - up-rating by inflation perhaps rather than the higher of inflation or earnings, with a floor of 2.5% - this would have an impact both on current pensioners and future ones. All of us would contribute, either now or in the future. Third, he has been listening to what I and others have been querying, which is whether he is prepared to take tough decisions that upset and enrage important sections of the community, when he believes doing so is in the national interest. He made a point, in the context of how he would fund social care, in saying he would show his mettle, his backbone. And to state the obvious, opposition parties and some older people will be angry if he abolishes the triple lock. So why might he choose to make the rate of increase in state pensions less generous? I’ve rehearsed these arguments before. But here they are again. It’s hard to find an economist who believes the triple lock is sustainable given all the other competing claims on government resources. As the Institute for Fiscal Studies says, keeping it would add anywhere between £5bn and £40bn a year to public spending by 2050, with the central estimate being £20bn. This might be fair if there had not been a massive transfer of income and wealth between younger and retired people over the past 20 years. But that transfer is painfully real for working age families struggling to earn enough to pay rent, let alone buy a home. The clincher, for senior members of this government, is that a new free-at-the-point-of-use care service would disproportionately benefit older people (obviously!). And help all of them. So it would be reasonable, they say, to pay for it by adjusting another part of the state’s universal support for them. Finally, Burnham said today he and the Chancellor would show the nation’s creditors - some of whom are sceptical - that they are prepared to take unpopular though rational decisions to slow the growth of the national debt and the public sector’s interest bill. Reforming the triple lock would be the most symbolically powerful manifestation of that fiscal resolve. As I say, Burnham dropped all these hints today. Am I certain that is his plan? Not really. Though he said he would tell us more in his conference speech on Tuesday, and I am struggling to think of another funding plan that is consistent with everything he set out.
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Duncan Stott 🏗️🔰🇺🇦 retweeted
Who this government are really helping with Help to Buy v2. Another attempt to push up prices, yet give it 2+ years and housing will be yet more unaffordable for first time buyers so more props for housebuilders - or yet greater stagnation. Same every time.
Housebuilder shares this morning following the announcement of the new Help To Buy scheme: Persimmon +15.93% Belway +14.57% Barratt Redrow +14.05% Taylor Wimpey +14.03% Berkeley +5.04%
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Duncan Stott 🏗️🔰🇺🇦 retweeted
It's about them.. not the buyers
Housebuilder shares this morning following the announcement of the new Help To Buy scheme: Persimmon +15.93% Belway +14.57% Barratt Redrow +14.05% Taylor Wimpey +14.03% Berkeley +5.04%
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Housebuilder shares this morning following the announcement of the new Help To Buy scheme: Persimmon +15.93% Belway +14.57% Barratt Redrow +14.05% Taylor Wimpey +14.03% Berkeley +5.04%
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Duncan Stott 🏗️🔰🇺🇦 retweeted
Replying to @DuncanStott
It’s also a massive freight hub! Who’s importance stretches far beyond the Home Counties etc
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Duncan Stott 🏗️🔰🇺🇦 retweeted
I'm a bit bored, so I've spent the last 5 minutes trying to recreate the intro to Blue Monday on the hob. It's harder than you'd think.
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Duncan Stott 🏗️🔰🇺🇦 retweeted
Find yourself a lady who loves you as much as British politicians love subsidising demmand and creating new cliff edges
This is huge.
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Even if you think it's a regional matter, Heathrow's importance extends far beyond London across the Thames Valley. Whether you're in Oxford, Reading, Slough, Maidenhead, High Wycombe, Woking or Aylesbury - Heathrow is your main airport.
“Principally, it’s a matter for London” Prime Minister Andy Burnham refuses to commit to building a third runway at Heathrow airport and says “you’ve got to hear the voice of people [in London] first” #BBCLauraK bbc.co.uk/news/live/cj4zwkp2…
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