1/1 Marine Le Pen is running for the French presidency in 2027. For Europe, that means preparing for the possibility of a France very different from the one it knows today, write @celiabelin, @JeremyCliffe, @CamilleLons and Constance Victore. A 🧵 buff.ly/TYm5Gd0

If Marine Le Pen wins: A European guide to a far-right France – European Council on Foreign...

A Le Pen-led France would mean major changes to European politics. Here's how political leaders can begin to prepare.

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2/2 An RN led France could become a far more difficult partner on several of Europe’s biggest challenges, from Russia and enlargement to climate and migration. But the party itself is not monolithic, and important differences remain over France’s place in Europe and in the West.
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3/3 Le Pen is also likely to govern politically in tandem with RN leader Jordan Bardella. Their relationship is close, but their outlooks are not identical. Those differences could matter for how an RN-led France approaches both domestic politics and its European partners.
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Replying to @celiabelin @JeremyCliffe @CamilleLons
4/4 EU leaders should therefore avoid assuming that a Le Pen presidency would automatically produce a unified European far right. But they should also not wait. The paper argues that governments in Europe should start preparing for what an RN led France could mean for the EU.

Sep 24, 2026 · 10:01 AM UTC
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