Prediction markets. Decoded. Streaming LIVE Tues, Weds, & Thurs @ 2:30 ET/11:30 PT
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We're founding this platform to give prediction market traders a home, and to translate their insights to the world.
eventual.news/article/welcom…
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Found: the one place with fewer women than prediction markets
One attendee estimated the ratio of men to women at the pro-data center party as "like, four or five to one."
"Not ideal," he added
w/ @mara_hop
washingtonsun.com/national/a…
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Andrew Scott isn't getting enough love in this year's Oscar race.
"The video of Oprah hugging him coming out of the Telluride screening does not lie. That is the effect it has on people."
- @kateyrich
🔼 22% chance of winning Best Actor 🔽
Made with AI
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Eventual retweeted
If you need something to read during the commercial breaks of the 1PM football games today, check out my first piece on @Substack about why no one knows anything about American politics anymore bencjacobs.substack.com/p/th…
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Ahead of Thursday night kickoff, let's remember @yElff_'s eternal words and why you don't need to be a sports fan to be a successful sports bettor:
"You are sitting there living vicariously through other athletes who don't know you, who don't give a f*ck about you, and you're gonna sit there and watch them as if you're achieving something?"
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20X OPPORTUNITY
📈 Trade it or Fade it 📉
5% chance that Brazil's election is settled without a runoff BUT--
🚩🚩 Corruption allegations around Bolsonaro are mounting
🚩 🚩 The polls missed wildly last time
"I think that smart money goes to the runoff, but I also think that people should be monitoring the news cycle the next few days, maybe on @BrazilianReport, because the thing is we are seeing a news cycle that is extremely rapid and filled with scandal."
-@gnribeiro
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Lula vs. Flavio is a tossup for the next president of Brazil.
Should it be?
"There are so many loose ends in regards to corruption scandals. He [Bolsonaro] has a mass of fragilities around his image."
- @gnribeiro of @BrazilianReport
🔼 Bolsonaro at 57% 🔽
Jair Bolsonaro biopic ‘Dark Horse’ is under police probe in Brazil linked to illegal funding.
Brazilian Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the leading opposition candidate in Brazil’s upcoming presidential election, is under investigation for alleged corruption and money laundering tied to the financing of a film about his father, the country’s disgraced former President Jair Bolsonaro deadline.com/2026/09/jair-bo…
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The best traders in the world know that Susan Collins will win.
"I have a pretty big position on Susan Collins."
-@Domahhhh
MAINE POLL - Senate
🟥 Susan Collins (inc): 49%
🟦 Troy Jackson: 46%
NYT/Siena (A+) | 9/15-22 | 619 LV
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Why has Trump decided to start calling AI "Super Intelligence?"
"It's like he took a positive parenting class and he's like, we gotta, we gotta make AI feel encouraged... He wants to make sure that AI feels like it has freedom to blossom into the best version of itself."
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Susan Collins, Dem Hype, Brazil Election | Gustavo Ribeiro nitter.net/i/broadcasts/1qGoNYgZb…
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TODAY:
🤯 Is it time to start buying @GOP in the midterms?
⬆️ Susan Collins. True survivor?
🤖 AI booms & inflation rips
🇧🇷 @gnribeiro joins to unpack Brazil's election
w/ @Domahhhh and @keendawg
nitter.net/i/broadcasts/1qGoNYgZb…
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"Pretty much everything you see on Twitter in the space is complete f*cking b*llshit. And the real pros, the real traders don't really say much because they don't want to educate people."
- @yElff_
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Eventual retweeted
Did my first post on @Substack on how we have more data than ever on elections but it's somehow become even more confusing to follow the horse race
bencjacobs.substack.com/p/th…
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DM us your mailbag questions.
This one from @NickAPappas: How will the primaries influence the presidential race?
"Democratic free-for-all" is what @pjchougule expects.
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"Don't assume this regulatory environment will last."
- @Austin_Federa's advice to the high-flying prediction market industry
JUST IN: Stanford University is accused of using AI to change students’ race & gender while making others appear thinner in advertising, with one student saying he felt “silenced & erased.”
Made with AI
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Every bro in fintech is selling perps.
But maybe they have a point?
“Do you really care if you own SpaceX, or do you care if you have a one-to-one economic outcome correlated to the price of SpaceX stock?”
— @Austin_Federa
Perps have become one of crypto’s most-traded products.
@guywuolletjr and @jay_drainjr explain where they came from, how they work, and why more of the market is moving onchain.
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Full episode + Midterms, Oscars race, and more prediction market alpha here: piped.video/live/BA95lAHRXYM…
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Possible 2.5X on Man City (and an emotional hedge for Arsenal supporter @KeejayOV3)
piped.video/mVeZgZr4BwY?si=qtQk…
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Best Dem pickups in Texas midterm race piped.video/WynMPfdF6zw?si=lpyN…
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Possible 2.5X on Trump re-naming AI "super intelligence" with Prince Hal piped.video/rfyOjfQ0YEA?si=kEXM…
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