Forecast szn
@ForecastFDN
BREAKING: CFTC PERMITS DEVELOPERS TO BUILD PASSIVE DERIVATIVES SOFTWARE WITHOUT REGISTERING AS BROKERS, INCLUDING FOR CRYPTO MARKETS.
Absolutely huge for perps coming onchain in the USA.
Massive news from both the SEC & CFTC today.
16
3
68
3,608
Trade BTC, the 2028 US election, and soon tokenized equities, sports and other prediction markets with leverage and no liquidations
Forecast enables you to trade with maximum efficiency without the threat of losing your position prematurely. Forecast is not your counterparty. The protocol and LPs earn from demand, not from traders being wrong
We are opening our whitelist one final time before launch. Join here for access: forecastprotocol.xyz/mainnet…
22
15
133
29,567
Imagine trading these with max efficient leverage and no liquidation on @forecastfdn
Soon
Stocks have been updated
Coinbase Tokenized Stocks are live on Base
- Available 24/7, 365
- Composable across Base DeFi
- Own the underlying share held in a regulated trust, backed 1:1
Live now, with new stocks coming soon
14
4
83
5,015
We’re introducing a fundamentally new way to trade btc and other assets built on prediction market rails with perps efficiency
True leverage with no debt and no liquidations
Launching soon
82
35
456
178,864
tldr: we’re cooking
We designed the Forecast kernel to be both immutable and formally provable end to end.
The proof stack now contains 383 machine-checked Lean theorems. The gate rejects placeholders and any proof that relies on more than two standard axioms. A second layer verifies the exact bytecode that Base will execute in KEVM so the proof does not stop at source code and trust the compiler. Every run must also catch a forbidden storage write that we deliberately inject. Miss it, and the run is invalid. This guards against formal verification’s most dangerous failure mode: a valid proof of the wrong claim.
Medusa completed 5m calls against nine safety properties this morning. Echidna completed its 5m by noon. Neither found a violation. Both are coverage gated: if they miss a path we require, the run fails.
Then we attacked the test suite itself. We generated 1,813 mutant contracts, each containing one deliberate defect, and ran the full suite against every one. The suite killed 1,707. We reviewed the survivors by hand and recorded why each survived. The campaign is now running again on the machine pictured, 540 mutants in.
Everything closes into one verification ledger tied to one exact commit. That is the commit we launch.
11
3
93
11,778
The 2028 US election interactive preview is live: 2028election.forecastprotoco…
Whitelisted wallets get first access when real trading opens
*Current data is simulated
7
4
63
6,735
Sneak peak of the first public market coming to Forecast
Whitelisted wallets will have first access before full launch
16
11
106
13,397
We’re opening trading on our private mainnet World Cup market ahead of Sunday’s final.
Join the list here: forecastprotocol.xyz/worldcu…
12
5
63
15,064
Less than 24 hours in and the waitlist for private mainnet is almost full. Claim your spot here:
We’re getting close to launch and just opened 500 spots for trading on our private mainnet.
Link to get on the whitelist: forecastprotocol.xyz/mainnet…
5
3
61
12,974
We’re getting close to launch and just opened 500 spots for trading on our private mainnet.
Link to get on the whitelist: forecastprotocol.xyz/mainnet…
16
13
109
24,960
Congrats to each of the 840 unique wallets that made it into our predeposit campaign and pushed us over the $2m goal
By providing the earliest liquidity, you’ve laid the path for our mainnet launch and will be the first to get access
22
18
161
30,355
Forecast retweeted
Builder Spotlight: @ForecastFDN
Prediction markets did $63.5B in 2025 and now clear $6B+ weekly, but most of that market still runs at 1x.
Forecast is building leverage for prediction markets.
Traders can get leveraged exposure to probability moves without posting full collateral for every dollar of exposure.
A 67% → 69% move is small at 1x.
At 20x, that same move turns $25K into $40K.
At 100x, it turns $25K into $100K.
The other side is USDC supply.
LPs deposit USDC and earn from trader demand for leverage across markets, without choosing sides on outcomes.
Forecast’s design moves solvency to the pool, so binary markets can support leverage without normal price-based liquidations.
Predeposit vault is open now, and depositors get priority access when trading opens.
Forecast is bringing perps-style leverage to prediction markets.
7
7
77
16,904
Forecast retweeted
Perps for prediction markets on @base
For the first time ever, Forecast offers the ability to gain real leverage on prediction markets. Instead of posting a dollar of collateral for a dollar of exposure, you get leverage on the probability itself.
For traders, the same strategies that built perpetual futures into the deepest markets in crypto are now available for real world events.
On Polymarket, France has a 67% chance to win their World Cup match right now. A two cent move to 69% is barely worth trading at 1x. At just 20x, that same move turns $25,000 into $40,000, a 60% gain. At 100x, it turns $25,000 into $100,000, a 300% gain.
For the capital behind those trades, Forecast is a new source of yield. Supply USDC and earn from the demand for leverage across every market, without being directionally exposed to any of them. Your return does not depend on which way a market resolves.
This combination is what sets Forecast apart: real leverage on one side, neutral capital on the other. When action is driven by the best information, true price discovery is achievable. Forecast becomes the place where probabilities are set, and where new information surfaces first. Forecast prices the future.
5
3
40
7,008
