Nostalgic About the Future | NFA

On The Chain
we present Sigma: a general model for digital token distribution and liquidity management through a singular, continuously accessible global market. gagra.vc/writings/sigma this is both a research paper and a reference implementation
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oh my God 🙏💫💖💫💖🙏
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"The fastest way to kill a big dream is to introduce it to a small mind" #gv_quotes
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When your CMO used AI to write the script and you’re forced to read it 😭🤣
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the Silicon Valley AI delusion reminds us how we all thought there's a perfect consumer Web3 app to "onboard billions on-chain" when actually the "real world" adoption was achieved by a simple dollar-pegged token from a company half of the industry considered a fraud, and used on a "scam" chain (Tron) to help rich Chinese and Russians evade capital controls and sanctions in the same way, what we call AI will actually diffuse itself into the economy as: a) cheap slop generator for consumer, polished to perfection over time by Chinese labs b) a work suite SaaS for enterprises and vertical-specific applications, ran by US labs all agentic, of course, but still not fully autonomous whilst maybe the "real" fruits of this technology are borne by scientists who'll have another decade to bring it to reality mostly in Biotech and broader Engineering it will work out just fine and take much longer relax
Replying to @hilbertspaess
The people building AI earnestly believe that it could kill us all by the end of the decade. This is not a marketing stunt. If anything, many executives and senior researchers will couch their phrasing in the press to sound sensible - but I hear the same people express fear privately. No other human activity poses this level of danger.
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expect growing number of small/mid cap publicly-traded company CEOs to praise blockchain markets moving forward not just a meta
update: tracked $VIDAx pools did $32.1m in onchain volume over the past seven days. our NYSE-listed $VIDA stock did an estimated $4.1m over that same period. roughly 7.8x as much turnover onchain. $25.3m happened outside regular U.S. stock market hours. 79%. when i posted sunday, almost $5m had traded since friday’s close. that number is now ~$15.1m. $4.3m traded on labor day alone. $17.6m came from SOL and stablecoin pairs. $14.5m from community-token pairs. the holiday weekend turned out to be a pretty good demonstration of why tokenized stocks matter!
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funny how - a good chunk of the RH DeFi apps look vibe-coded af - their socials posts look generated af - some of the "cracked devs" from the ecosystem we've known from the past to never have been engineers at all and yet we still haven't had any major hacks or bugs yet 🤔
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THIS SH*T NEEDS TO STOP Ethereum (or any L1) is NOT a business it's an economy - i.e. platform for multiple forms of transactions $ETH is the currency price is correlated with supply/demand yes, design isn't perfect but gauging "fair" price through "revenue" is RETARDED
Robinhood Chain grossed 20x more revenue yesterday than 10 days ago. Ethereum got paid half. Aug 22: $54K gross rev Robinhood: $49K (90%) Arbitrum: $5.4K (10%) Ethereum: $248 (0.46%) Aug 30: $1.087M gross rev Robinhood: $978K (90%) Arbitrum: $108K (10%) Ethereum: $155 (0.014%) Ethereum's cut is a fixed-ish L1 data-posting cost, not a revenue share. Arbitrum's cut is a true percentage-of-revenue license. So on a spike day, Arbitrum scales up with REV but Ethereum barely moves in dollar terms. Robinhood's effective net margin rises above its baseline ~90% on big-revenue days, since one of its two "taxes" doesn't scale with volume. Ethereum is running a franchise business that doesn't scale with the store's sales.
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"the future is already here, just not evenly distributed" #gv_quotes
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great, very well-curated, collection, especially the phisical portion goes on to show you how much great digital art there's on Tezos and how, unfortunately, there's no value in keeping it there
bre.art/ is live.
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Gagra Ventures retweeted
Physics is going to be as cooked/cooking as math. I fed Claude an open problem in stochastic thermodynamics of the kind I'd suggest to a mathematically inclined grad student. And over a few days of back and forth, it did months of work and closed the whole problem class.
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Gagra Ventures retweeted
Catching skin cancer early is a home robotics problem. Melanoma is highly treatable when detected early, yet today’s screening process depends heavily on patients noticing tiny changes across their entire skin surface. This requires patients to solve a near-impossible visual-memory and registration problem. I built OpenDerm, an open-source 4-DOF robot that captures high-resolution images of the skin and uses them to reconstruct and track the skin surface in 3D over time. The best way to make skin screening truly routine is to bring it into the home. OpenDerm shows that inexpensive robotic skin imaging is possible, but the path to scale is not a dedicated screening robot in every household—it is to make skin screening one of the many useful things a general-purpose home robot can do. Read more about why I built OpenDerm and how it works here: Blog: marionlepert.github.io/blog/… Project: openderm.github.io/
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"...For to do nothing and be idle are also action...He who endures what he could change, acts no less than he, who interferes to obtain another result...Man is not only homo sapiens, but no less homo agens" #gv_quotes
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Gagra Ventures retweeted
Replying to @mkratsios47
Intellectual property is dead, and you can thank the american frontier labs for accelerating its death. can't have your cake and eat it too
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AI hacked out of its container to cheat on evals, not steal from or kill us relax just means OAI's RL encourages achieving goals by all means necessary (aka downstream effect of Sam's personality) just align to better humans and we're good
Replying to @sama @huggingface
TLDR: During a test, an OpenAI model hacked out of its container to reach the internet THEN hacked into Hugging Face (!) to steal the test's answers
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"fear is just weakness leaving the body" #gv_quotes
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Gagra Ventures retweeted
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the global Anthropic ban is not surprising for attentive observers they were in similar spot for EU customers in '24 too expect more of this moving forward whilst there's literally only 2-3 teams in all of web3 actually preparing for such a future gagra.vc/writings/our-compas…
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance. Access to all other Claude models is not affected. We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible. Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…
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