Staff writer at The New Republic

Many thanks to @UnPopulistMag for reposting my piece on Stephen Miller’s Office of Remigration, which really needs more attention. This agency announces right in its name that white nationalism is the basis for US immigration policy: theunpopulist.net/p/stephen-…
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.@GregTSargent: "The use of the term “remigration” to name a U.S. government agency broadcasts that this naked, undisguised ethno-nationalism is now the foundation for U.S. government policy. Indeed, this is very likely its deliberate purpose." newrepublic.com/article/2157… #USA
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A big reason Dems are overperforming in the Midwest? Trump's tariffs/trade wars. Many Dem candidates in the region (Josh Turek in IA, Rebecca Cooke in WI) told me this. The bigger story is it shows right wing nationalist politics running out of steam: newrepublic.com/article/2146…
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This is amazing, and there's other evidence from the GOP side that it really is this bad. As we reported, Trump's Super PAC is now sinking money into three Iowa House districts, including ones that Trump carried by 8.5 and 10 points in 2024: newrepublic.com/article/2155…
Yesterday, Iowa House Republicans were informed by their own pollsters that if you are in a +15 district you’re within the margin for error, if you’re in a +10 district you’re underwater, and that this might end being an even worse midterm environment than 2006. I slept on whether to share this publicly, because I don’t want to cause anyone to black pill. But this morning I ultimately decided the truth should be shared while there is still six weeks left to do something about it for the good of the country. Because if the environment is this bad in my home state, where Trump has been the most popular political figure over the last decade, I can’t imagine where it is everywhere else. Whatever we’re doing or not doing in Iran/Hormuz has become a 2020 Covid lockdown level of political albatross. This is approaching TARP bailout levels of unpopular in my home state. We are risking what’s left of the Trump presidency on this, because if Democrats take control the legislative branch the Trump domestic agenda we all voted for will largely cease between what a Democrat Congress will do and the courts have already been doing. Not to mention what it will cost individual states like my own, which we have worked so hard to make so red these last 20 years (with Trump’s help). This whatever/kinda/sorta/but not really war has become an existential misuse of political capital. Many of us never thought it was worth it, and more and more it appears voters agree. We have to save our own country and our own way of life first before we can save anyone else. We have to save America before we can save the world. If a plane is endangered, you are told to put on your mask first otherwise you’re of no use to help save anyone else. I desperately want us to win. I desperately want this presidency to fulfill all the great promise it had coming out of the 2024 election. But whatever this currently is, isn’t it. We don’t have to just sit here and take the L. It doesn’t have to end this way. We can still win. There’s plenty of ammunition to hammer the Democrats with. We need the president out on the stump asap. We need better and way more aggressive messaging. Stop running fake and gay ads about how often so-and-so shows up for votes, and instead mercilessly hammer Democrats on the wickedness they’re voting for. Articulate specifically what the mission/victory is in Iran/Hormuz, because out here in the cheap seats it feels like another Middle East War quagmire regular folks are paying for on both ends all over again. And for heaven’s sake, make sure Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas are getting the finest healthcare in America.
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This is smart: Tariffs + Middle East wars are an excellent formula for turning off voters in the Midwest, which explains much of Trump's "blue wave in red states" problem
Replying to @GregTSargent
A lot of House and Senate races will be decided in the Midwest. Trump's trade war with Canada will hurt exports of farm equipment and other things, which are big in the region. As Iowa Dem Senate candidate Josh Turek tells me, many see "betrayal." 2/ newrepublic.com/article/2146…
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Prices Tariffs War That's what this election is about
Replying to @DKThomp
This is smart: Tariffs + Middle East wars are an excellent formula for turning off voters in the Midwest, which explains much of Trump's "blue wave in red states" problem
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A big reason Dems are overperforming in the Midwest? Trump's tariffs/trade wars. Many Dem candidates in the region (Josh Turek in IA, Rebecca Cooke in WI) told me this. The bigger story is it shows right wing nationalist politics running out of steam: newrepublic.com/article/2146…
This is interesting, via @NateSilver538: In 2024, one takeaway was that the Red Wave was especially strong in blue cities. In 2026, the Blue Wave seems especially strong in red states.
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Great stuff here from @NateSilver538, but let's not forget that Trump's tariffs/trade wars are also hitting right in the Midwest, as Midwestern Dem candidates (like Josh Turek and Rebecca Cooke) told me in interviews for the piece threaded below.
Replying to @GregTSargent
A lot of House and Senate races will be decided in the Midwest. Trump's trade war with Canada will hurt exports of farm equipment and other things, which are big in the region. As Iowa Dem Senate candidate Josh Turek tells me, many see "betrayal." 2/ newrepublic.com/article/2146…
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Or the poll is just wrong. It's an outlier, the best poll for Collins yet. Only if corroborated by a couple more quality polls should it be a canary for this race.
New NYT poll finds Susan Collins leading Troy Jackson by 49-46. But the real killer is this: Jackson is only getting 34 percent of noncollege voters. Given that his working class roots are his selling point, something is plainly not working here.
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New NYT poll finds Susan Collins leading Troy Jackson by 49-46. But the real killer is this: Jackson is only getting 34 percent of noncollege voters. Given that his working class roots are his selling point, something is plainly not working here.
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Under Trump, the US has an "Office of Remigration," which is not an Orwellian typo. It's an office giving 100s of millions of taxpayer $$ to random authoritarian countries to admit the migrants that Trump is now kicking out (who in many cases fled other authoritarian countries).
Trump's Office of "Remigration" has just been exposed making sordid payments to authoritarian governments to take third-country deportees, leading to serious abuses. Dems tell me they will try to defund the agency if they win power. Good. 1/ New piece: newrepublic.com/article/2157…
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I could be wrong, but this might be the first time that polling averages show Trump's approval below the benchmark of 35 percent this term:
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Trump's collapse among indys is underappreciated. As veteran NC Dem operative Morgan Jackson told me on the pod: "In the 30 years I’ve been in this business, I don't know that I’ve seen a public official have worse numbers with unaffiliated voters." newrepublic.com/article/2157…
"A brand new CNN poll shows President Trump at an all time low in his approval rating ... look at his net approval rating now with pure independents -- it's negative 71 points! I mean, these are the deep depths of the ocean. You never see numbers like these. An 86 point shift away from the president!"
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As I told @GregTSargent, Congress should demand answers from those responsible for diverting taxpayer funding intended to protect people from persecution to some of the world’s worst authoritarians, for purposes which clearly violate human rights.
Trump's Office of "Remigration" has just been exposed making sordid payments to authoritarian governments to take third-country deportees, leading to serious abuses. Dems tell me they will try to defund the agency if they win power. Good. 1/ New piece: newrepublic.com/article/2157…
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Trump's Office of "Remigration" has just been exposed making sordid payments to authoritarian governments to take third-country deportees, leading to serious abuses. Dems tell me they will try to defund the agency if they win power. Good. 1/ New piece: newrepublic.com/article/2157…
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The whole point of calling this agency the Office of "Remigration" is to deliberately signal to the world that white nationalism is now the basis for US policy. Some thoughts on this whole worldview below. 5/ newrepublic.com/article/2157…
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. retweeted
The whole point of calling this agency the Office of "Remigration" is to deliberately signal to the world that white nationalism is now the basis for US policy. Some thoughts on this whole worldview below. 5/ newrepublic.com/article/2157…
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. retweeted
For Dem House defunding Office of Remigration and nixing 3rd-country deportations are on table. Also: Haul officials who oversee it all before Cong. “Removing individuals to countries where they have no ties is unconscionable,” Rep Lois Frankel says. 4/ newrepublic.com/article/2157…
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