With all eyes turning now to the Trump-Xi summit in DC, here’s the Yates checklist:
Overall: Judge the summit by what China actually implements, not by announcements or ceremony.
AI controls: The test is whether the U.S. holds the line on chips and infrastructure instead of accepting a CCP-managed “dialogue” as success.
Taiwan: Success is not Beijing restating its claim, but Washington refusing to treat arms sales and deterrence as bargaining chips.
Iran and Ukraine: The question is whether China keeps enabling both wars while talking “stability.”
Rare earths / supply chains: Watch whether mineral flows actually resume, or Beijing keeps using them as a pressure tool after the visit.
Fentanyl: The test is whether China shuts down precursor flows, not whether it promises to.
Jimmy Lai: His continued imprisonment is Yates’ acid test of whether Xi’s China will give anything real on human freedom.
For a deeper dive, head over to Nation States with Yates for the latest episode (
iheart.com/podcast/1119-nati…)